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1.
Multimodel approaches in shark and ray growth studies: strengths,weaknesses and the future 
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下载免费PDF全文 Jonathan J Smart Andrew Chin Andrew J Tobin Colin A Simpfendorfer 《Fish and Fisheries》2016,17(4):955-971
Multimodel frameworks are common in contemporary elasmobranch growth literature. These techniques offer a proposed improvement over individual growth functions by incorporating additional candidate models with alternative characteristics. Sigmoid functions (e.g. Gompertz and logistic) are a popular alternative to the commonly used von Bertalanffy growth function (VBGF) as they are hypothesized to better suit certain taxa based on body shape (such as batoids) or reproductive mode (such as egg‐layers). However, this hypothesis has never been tested. This study examined 74 elasmobranch multimodel growth studies by comparing the growth curves of their respective candidate models. Hypotheses regarding model performances were rejected as the VBGF was equally likely to fit best for all taxa and reproductive modes. Subsequently, no individual model was suited to be used a priori. Differences between candidate model fits were greatest at age zero with Gompertz and logistic functions providing estimates that were 15% and 23% larger on average than the VBGF, respectively. However, length‐at‐age estimates of the different models became negligible at older ages. Differences between candidate models were mostly small (≤5%), and the multimodel framework only marginally affected length‐at‐age estimates. However, there were cases where some candidate models provided inappropriate fits that contrasted considerably to the best fitting model. In some of these instances, a single‐model framework could have yielded biologically unrealistic growth estimates. Therefore, no study could pre‐empt whether or not it required a multimodel framework. A framework was subsequently recommended to maximize the accuracy of model fits for elasmobranch length‐at‐age estimates using multimodel approaches. 相似文献
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ABSTRACT: Age and growth of the yellowstriped butterfish, Labracoglossa argentiventris , around Izu Oshima Island were studied using a total of 1450 fish. Age was determined by counting the edge of the opaque zones as a ring mark on sectioned sagittal otoliths. Formation of the first ring was observed during spring or summer, corresponding to 1.5 years after hatching. Thereafter, one ring was formed each year in the same season as the previous year. The growth of the butterfish was rapid until 2 years of age. The maximum likelihood method was applied to the age and length data for estimating parameters in von Bertalanffy, Gompertz, and Logistic growth models. The selected model, based on the Akaike Information Criterion, was the von Bertalanffy growth model, which indicated differential asymptotic length and variance by sex. 相似文献
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怒江细尾高原鳅生长特征与食性 总被引：1，自引：1，他引：0
对2008年从怒江采集到的172尾细尾高原鳅(Triplophysa stenura)进行了生长与食性的研究。并采用von Bertalanffy生长方程、Gompertz生长方程、Logistic生长方程以及三项式方程分别拟合了细尾高原鳅的生长。实验结果显示,耳石适合于细尾高原鳅的年龄鉴定。体长与体重关系式为W=0.9996×10-5L2.9762(R2=0.9680)。体长与耳石半径间关系式为L=0.0027R1.7230(R2=0.9542)。四种生长方程均能反映其生长规律,其中von Bertalan-ffy生长方程表达式为Lt=246.9430(1-e-0.05964(t-0.1689));Wt=132.0300(1-e-0.05964(t-0.1689))2.9762。体重、生长曲线的拐点为18.45龄。食性分析表明:细尾高原鳅为杂食性鱼类,食物组成主要是水生昆虫幼虫,着生藻类,原生动物及有机碎屑等。 相似文献
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2008年～2011年研究了人工养殖条件下的施氏鲟Acipenserschrenckii（6）×达氏鳇Husodauncus（早）杂交后代（f谷称大杂交）的生长特性。结果表明：1～7龄大杂交体长、体重相对增长率及生长指标随年龄的增长而逐渐下降,呈“异速生长一等速生长一异速生长”的变化趋势。不同年龄大杂交的体长与体重均呈幂指数关系,R2值变幅为0．95～0．99。其中,1-3龄大杂交a值〉3,呈强异速生长。此后随年龄的增加,异速生长减弱,发育趋向均匀。5龄时a值为2．94接近3,7龄a值为2．63〈3。大杂交肥满度随年龄增加而增大,其与体重的相关性（R2＝0．94）高于与体长的相关性。采用7种生长方程对不同年龄大杂交的体长生长和体重生长进行拟合,其中Gompertz、Quadratic、VBGF和Cubic4种生长方程式对大杂交体长生长的拟合效果较好,除Cubic生长方程外,其它6种生长方程对其体重生长的拟合度均较低。7种生长模型中,均以Cubic生长方程对大杂交的体长生长和体重生长的拟合R2值最大,RSS值最小,说明Cubic生长方程对不同年龄大杂交的生长具有最好的拟合效果,拐点体重、体长和年龄分别为28．53kg、82．11cm和4．22龄。 相似文献
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Abstract – Relationships between fish length, otolith size, age and weight were assessed for a population of wild Australian smelt ( Retropinna semoni ) larvae and juveniles captured over a 4-year period to aid further interpretation of growth and condition during the early life history of the species. Nonlinear smoothed generalized additive models best described the fish–otolith size relationship during the larval and juvenile period, indicating that the proportionality between fish length and otolith size varies in relation to size. It is proposed that back-calculated predictions of fish size at a previous age or otolith size, accounting for individual variation is possible by assuming a body proportional hypothesis. Growth rate of larval and juvenile Australian smelt was best described using the Gompertz model that indicated a steady decline in growth rate after around 30 days of age. The allometric growth of larval and juvenile Australian smelt established from the length/weight relationship can subsequently be used to assess the condition of fish within this population using a relative condition or relative weight condition index. The results of the study have provided significant information to enable more precise growth reconstruction and condition assessment for the species in Australian lowland rivers. 相似文献
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为检验文蛤(Meretrix meretrix)红壳色选育系F_3的生长性能,连续比较了同等养殖条件下选育系F_3和自然对照组CG的生长情况,并采用Von Bertalanffy、Gompertz、Logistic和Brody 4种非线性模型对文蛤红壳色选育系F_3的生长参数进行生长模型构建,以研究文蛤红壳色选育系F_3的生长规律。结果表明,文蛤红壳色选育系F_3在浮游期、稚贝中间培育期和塘口养殖期内的生长均显著快于对照组CG(P0.05),F_3的平均日生长率均大于CG,490日龄内F_3的壳长相对于CG平均增长率为34.05%。塘口养殖期间,6~9月是F_3生长最为快速阶段,且F_3较CG的粒重增长率在98.27%以上。文蛤红壳色选育系F_3的壳长和粒重之间遵循复合曲线Y=9.028×1.499W,R2=0.977。文蛤红壳色选育系F_3的壳长生长遵循Logistic生长模型,其在575日龄时出现快速生长,这为及时疏苗养殖提供了依据。 相似文献
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Growth model for the endangered cyprinid fish Tribolodon nakamurai based on otolith analyses 总被引：4，自引：0，他引：4
CHIFUMI IMAI HARUMI SAKAI KAZUHIKO KATSURA WATARU HONTO YOUJI HIDA 《Fisheries Science》2002,68(4):843-848
A growth model for the endangered cyprinid fish Tribolodon nakamurai was derived following otolith analyses of 16 wild and 53 reared specimens. The asteriscus was the most appropriate to measure size among three otolith elements, and its height OH mm was used as size index of otolith. Standard length L cm was best back-calculated using the Gompertz model, L = 70.0·exp[–exp{−0.553 (OH – 2.73)}]. Translucent zones on the lapilli, analyzed from 5-year-old-reared fish, were regarded as winter slow-growing zones. The ages of 10 wild specimens of 37.0–48.1 cm standard length were calculated as 7–10 years by counting the translucent zones on the lapilli. Age t was best back-calculated using the allometry model, t = 1.33· OH 1.37 . The growth trajectory of T. nakamurai followed a slender S curve, three typical growth models, von Bertalanffy, Logistic and Gompertz, and Richards' model, which is a general formula of the above three, being fitted using the maximum likelihood method. The Gompertz model, Lt = 60.2·exp[–exp{−0.258( t − 4.68)}], was found by Akaike's information criterion (AIC) to be the statistically most acceptable growth model. 相似文献
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以1~6月龄三疣梭子蟹"中宁1号"为材料,采用Logistic、Gompertz和von Bertalanffy3种模型分别拟合了体质量、体长、全甲宽、甲宽、体高、大螯长节长、大螯不动指长及第一步足长节长共8个形态性状的生长特征,旨在寻找各性状的最佳生长模型,并对其增长规律进行研究。结果表明:三疣梭子蟹体质量性状生长过程以Logistic生长模型(R2=0.999)的拟合效果最佳;除体质量外的其它7个性状则均以von Bertalanffy生长模型(R2为0.990~0.994)拟合效果最好;各性状模型经ANOVA检验后均具有统计学意义(P0.01)。根据各性状的最佳生长模型得出各性状的极限值分别为体质量231.44 g、体长84.45 mm、全甲宽164.44 mm、甲宽128.47 mm、体高43.69 mm、大螯长节长59.96 mm、大螯不动指长90.89 mm、第一步足长节长37.20 mm。体质量的快速生长区间及拐点分别为2.14~3.91月龄及3.02月龄;其它7个性状快速生长区间的始速点为0月龄,终速点为2.05~2.35月龄,拐点在1月龄左右。各性状间的生长速率、生长加速率、相对增长率与绝对增长率存在一定差异。总之,体质量性状生长过程符合"慢-快-慢"的特征,其它性状则表现为"快-慢"的特征。以上结果可为三疣梭子蟹"中宁1号"选择育种及养殖生产提供参考依据。 相似文献
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Vincent Lugert Jens Tetens Georg Thaller Carsten Schulz Joachim Krieter 《Aquaculture Research》2019,50(8):2096-2106
Seeking the most suitable model to describe the growth of turbot, we analysed growth data of two different turbot (Scophthalmus maximus) strains reared communally in a recirculating aquaculture system. We fitted 10 different nonlinear growth models to individual weight gain data (n = 2,010) during the grow‐out phase. Analyses were carried out for each strain, for sexes within strains and for a pooled data set containing both strains and sexes. To assess the model performance, three different criteria are used. Further, a growth‐simulation was performed to evaluate the shape of the generated curve. This way we could assess the capability of the models to predict future growth. The 3‐parametric Gompertz model achieved the best fit in 42.9% of all cases tested and the lowest Bayesian information criterion in 100% of cases. The model produced realistically shaped curves and asymptotic values matching the biological attributes of the species. In contrast, 5‐parametric functions projected unrealistically shaped curves and predicted improbable mature sizes. Our results show that increasing number of parameters do not lead to increasing goodness of fit, but tend to result in overfitting, and demonstrate the advantages of the 3‐parametric Gompertz model for describing the growth of turbot. 相似文献
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The growth of 1-month-old juvenile sole, Solea senegalensis (Kaup, 1858), was monitored for 6 months in earthen ponds of commercial fish farms located at the Tagus and Sado Estuaries. The postlarvae were introduced into net cages at a density of 50 m−2 . Data obtained from different growth experiments carried out under similar environmental conditions were analysed. To describe the growth of juvenile sole, the comprehensive model proposed by Schnute was fitted to the data. This model provides a better fit than, for instance, the Gompertz model, to the length at age of S. senegalensis juveniles. Seven-month-old sole juveniles have 80% probability of attaining a length of 10.9–11.7 cm and a weight between 11.0 and 13.7 g. The growth equation can be used to predict fish growth under these environmental conditions and thus identify appropriate farm management options. 相似文献
12.
Eurasian perch Perca fluviatilis growth and fish community structure,inside and outside a marine‐protected area in the Baltic Sea 下载免费PDF全文
下载免费PDF全文 T. R. Nelson A. E. Jefferson P. T. Cooper C. A. Buckley K. L. Heck Jr J. Mattila 《Fisheries Management and Ecology》2018,25(3):172-185
Growth of Eurasian perch Perca fluviatilis L. and fish community structure between sites within a marine‐protected area (MPA) and unprotected sites in the Baltic Sea were examined. Von Bertalanffy, logistic and Gompertz growth models were fitted to P. fluviatilis length at age data, and the logistic model was the most parsimonious for growth between locations. A larger mean maximum size (L∞) and a smaller instantaneous growth rate (g) were found within the MPA. All three models also predicted that after age seven, fish inside the MPA would be larger. Community structure differed with more P. fluviatilis collected outside of the MPA, and more roach Rutilus rutilus (L.) and bleak Alburnus alburnus (L.) collected inside the MPA. These growth differences may be indicative of recreational fishing effects on P. fluviatilis outside of the MPA, a result of complex interspecific and intraspecific species interactions, or other undetected environmental variation between locations. 相似文献
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利用耳石鉴定头足类年龄与生长研究进展 总被引：5，自引：1，他引：4
年龄和生长是头足类生物学研究的重点内容,利用耳石轮纹鉴定其年龄、分析其生长特性是一种可靠而有效的方法。耳石经提取、研磨、抛光后制备成切片,对切片观察面轮纹进行计数可得到日龄。研磨平面的选择是头足类耳石制片的最关键步骤,通常选择纵截面研磨。轮纹计数时,一般选择轮纹相对比较清晰的背区计数。适合头足类的生长模型有线性、指数、幂函数、逻辑斯谛、Gompertz和Von Bertalanffy等多种。分析认为,同一种头足类在不同生长阶段以及不同种群间,其年龄组成、生长率以及适合的生长模型往往不同,因此,建议应先对研究对象进行不同产卵季节或地理种群的划分,然后根据不同种群分别研究其生长并建立生长模型。 相似文献
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Ivy Elizabeth Baremore Kate Irene Andrews Loraine Frances Hale 《Fisheries Research》2009,99(3):203-209
Several methods were used in an attempt to develop an age and growth model for the Atlantic angel shark (Squatina dumeril). Band counts from vertebral sections, which were fit to the traditional von Bertalanffy growth equation, the Gompertz growth equation, and the two-parameter von Bertalanffy growth equation, did not produce realistic parameter estimates. Additionally, a length-based Bayesian model was applied to fishery-independent length–frequency data, and a full Bayesian model was fitted to length-at-age data to estimate parameters for von Bertalanffy growth equation. Both the length-based and full Bayesian models failed to converge; the length–frequency data showed high bimodality unrelated to season, year, or other factors, and band counts were not predictable by length. Vertebral band counts were not valid for ageing Atlantic angel sharks, and length-based methods, which require normally distributed length–frequencies, were not appropriate for this data set. This study represents the first attempt at modeling age and growth for this species and provides research guidelines for future research initiatives. 相似文献
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The common practice among researchers who study fish growth is to a priori adopt the von Bertalanffy growth model (VBGM), which is the most used and ubiquitous equation in the fisheries literature. However, in many cases VBGM is not supported by the data and many species seem to follow different growth trajectories. The information theory approach frees the researcher from the limiting concept that a ‘true’ growth model exists. Multi‐model inference (MMI) based on information theory is proposed as a more robust alternative to study fish growth. The proposed methodology was applied to 133 sets of length‐at‐age data. Four candidate models were fitted to each data set: von Bertalanffy growth model (VBGM), Gompertz model, Logistic and the Power model; the three former assume asymptotic and the latter non‐asymptotic growth. In each case, the ‘best’ model was selected by minimizing the small‐sample, bias‐corrected form of the Akaike information criterion (AICc). To quantify the plausibility of each model, the ‘Akaike weight’wi of each model was calculated. Following a MMI approach, the model averaged asymptotic length for each case was estimated, by model averaging estimations of interpreting Akaike weights as a posterior probability distribution over the set of candidate models. The VBGM was not selected as the best model in 65.4% of the cases. Most often VBGM was either strongly supported by the data (with no other substantially supported model) or had very low or no support by the data. The estimation of asymptotic length was greatly model dependent; as estimated by VBGM was in every case greater than that estimated by the Gompertz model, which in turn was always greater than that estimated by the Logistic model. The percentage underestimation of the standard error of , when ignoring model selection uncertainty, was on average 18% with values as high as 91%. Ignoring model selection uncertainty may have serious implications, e.g. when comparing the growth parameters of different fish populations. Multi‐model inference by model averaging, based on Akaike weights, is recommended as a simple and easy to implement method to model fish growth, for making robust parameter estimations and dealing with model selection uncertainty. 相似文献
16.
Different cohorts of Corbicula japonica benthic individuals (from new settlers just after larval settlement up to recruits with 12-mm shell length and more) in the
Kiso estuaries, Japan were separated based on temporal changes in shell length histograms. The post-settlement growth and
mortality were examined for cohorts that were successful in fishery recruitment. Three growth models (Logistic, Gompertz and
ALOG) were fitted to the growth data on average shell lengths of different cohorts, the best-fitting growth model varied depending
on cohort and further on cohorts that were grouped according to estuary and to either overwintering or non-overwintering.
Mortality rates were estimated based on regression models fitted separately to the data on temporal changes in the log-transformed
density against sampling dates of individuals before and after fishery recruitment (i.e. attaining 12-mm shell length). For
most cohorts, however, there was no significant difference in mortality rates between individuals before and after fishery
recruitment, although significant differences were detected in initial densities between individuals of these two groups.
It may be suggested that daily mortality rate after fishery recruitment was compensated with fishery mortality, so that total
mortality rate was not different between individuals of these two groups. 相似文献
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鲨鱼类年龄和生长特性的研究进展 总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1
鲨鱼是海洋生态系统的重要生物类群。鲨鱼的年龄与生长作为基础的生活史特征,是资源评估所需的关键种群信息。鲨鱼的年龄与生长研究需要解决样本的选择与处理、年龄鉴定的方法和校正、生长模型的运用和参数估计等基本问题,否则难以得到可靠的结果。总结分析了两大类年龄鉴定方法及3种年龄校正技术的优缺点和应用局限性,比较分析了各种生长模型的应用差别,并对常见大洋性鲨鱼的生长参数进行了总结。研究认为,第一背鳍上部的脊椎骨是鲨鱼年龄鉴定的最佳硬质,硬质的处理需要借助化学方法,以提高轮纹清晰度;对年龄鉴定的校正是避免或减少系统误差的关键,校正方法的选择需要考虑鱼种的寿命;生长曲线的拟合需要选择多种备选模型,建议通过AIC信息准则筛选最优模型,为鲨鱼年龄与生长的进一步研究提供方法和技术上的参考,也可以为有关种类的资源评估提供生长参数。 相似文献
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三疣梭子蟹(Portunus trituberculatus)是中国重要的经济物种,对其进行年龄鉴定有利于其种群资源的评估和管理。该研究对三疣梭子蟹的胃磨进行制片处理,初步探讨了胃磨鉴龄的可行性。三疣梭子蟹胃磨由5个部分(前幽门骨、外幽门骨、尾贲门骨、轭贲门骨和翼贲门骨)组成,依据前人研究结果选取外幽门骨和尾贲门骨进行切片观察。结果显示,三疣梭子蟹胃磨微结构由4个部分(蜡质层、外角质层、钙化层和膜层)组成,用于年龄鉴定的生长纹主要存在于钙化层中。利用7个生长方程拟合三疣梭子蟹生物学数据与生长纹数目的关系,结合赤池信息量准则(AIC)得出甲长与甲宽呈线性函数关系、甲宽与体质量呈幂函数关系;体质量与胃磨生长纹数目的关系适用于Gompertz模型,甲长、甲宽与胃磨生长纹数目的关系则更适用于v-B生长模型。即胃磨生长纹可以作为甲壳类年龄鉴定的材料,但由于实验样本偏小型化,后续需要延长时间跨度进一步验证。 相似文献
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大菱鲆腐败菌生长动力学研究和货架期预测 总被引：4，自引：2，他引：2
采集0、3、7、10℃贮藏大菱鲆中希瓦氏菌生长数据,建立了大菱鲆0~10℃贮藏中特定腐败菌生长动力学模型和剩余货架期预测模型。感官、化学和微生物生长动态分析表明,希瓦氏菌为大菱鲆0~10℃贮藏中的特定腐败菌。Gompertz方程能较好地描述希瓦氏菌的生长。采用Belehradek方程描述的温度对希瓦氏菌最大比生长速率和延滞时间的影响均呈较好线性关系。以5℃贮藏大菱鲆中希瓦氏菌生长数据,对所建立的生长动力学模型和剩余货架期预测模型的准确性进行验证,得到最大比生长速率、延滞时间、货架期的预测值相比实测值的相对误差分别为-14.36%、5.61%和6.74%,表明建立的模型可以快速准确的预测大菱鲆0~10℃贮藏过程中的鲜度变化和剩余货架期。 相似文献
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甲壳类年龄鉴定方法研究进展 总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1
甲壳类特有的蜕壳现象,使其能够记录年龄信息的外骨骼周期性消失,因此甲壳类的年龄鉴定一直未得到较好的解决。年龄鉴定是评估甲壳类渔业资源的基础,鉴定甲壳类年龄的方法主要有饲养法、标记重捕法、体长频度法、脂褐素分析法、放射性同位素分析法和硬组织生长纹分析法。饲养法、标记重捕法和放射性同位素分析法较准确,然而由饲养法得到的数据不适用于实际野生环境,放射性同位素分析法花费较高,因此,这两种方法都存在较大的局限性。应用最广泛的标记重捕法和体长频度法也存在不足之处。相对于体长频度鉴龄技术而言,脂褐素分析法优势明显,但是对劳动强度和技术要求高。硬组织生长纹分析法是最近几年出现的鉴龄技术,也存在人为主观性较强等不足。本文对甲壳类年龄鉴定的方法进行了总结回顾,将不同鉴定方法进行比较,分析优缺点,以期为开展甲壳类资源评估与管理提供基础。 相似文献