共查询到20条相似文献，搜索用时 15 毫秒
1.
ABSTRACT Field and in vitro trials were conducted to establish the influence of the biological control agent Microsphaeropsis ochracea on the ejection pattern of ascospores by Venturia inaequalis and on apple scab development, and to establish the best timing of application. The ejection pattern of ascospores was similar on leaves sprayed with M. ochracea and on untreated leaves. Fall application of M. ochracea combined with a delayed-fungicide program was evaluated in orchards with intermediate and high scab risk. For both orchards, it was possible to delay the first three and two infection periods in 1998 and 1999, respectively, without causing significant increase or unacceptable leaf and fruit scab incidence. To evaluate the best timing of application, sterile leaf disks were inoculated with V. inaequalis and then with M. ochracea 0, 2, 4, 6, 8, 10, 12, 14, and 16 weeks later. After incubation under optimal conditions for pseudothecia development, the number of ascospores was counted. Similarly, M. ochracea was sprayed on scabbed leaves on seven occasions from August to November 1999 and 2000. Leaves were overwintered on the orchard floor and ascospore production was evaluated the following spring. Ascospore production was reduced by 97 to 100% on leaf disks inoculated with M. ochracea less than 6 weeks after inoculation with V. inaequalis, but ascospore production increased with increasing period of time when M. ochracea was applied 8 to 16 weeks after the inoculation with V. inaequalis. In the orchard, the greatest reduction in production of ascospores (94 to 96% in 2000 and 99% in 2001) occurred on leaves sprayed with M. ochracea in August. The production of ascospores was reduced by 61 to 84% in 2000 and 93% in 2001 on leaves sprayed with M. ochracea in September, reduced by 64 to 86% in 2000 and 74 to 89% in 2001 on leaves sprayed in October, and reduced by 54 and 67% in 2000 and 2001, respectively, on leaves sprayed in November. It was concluded that M. ochracea should be applied in August or September and that ascospore maturation models and delayed-fungicide program could be used in orchards treated with this biological control agent. 相似文献
2.
Philion Vincent Carisse Odile Paulitz Timothy 《European journal of plant pathology / European Foundation for Plant Pathology》1997,103(5):441-452
As part of an ongoing research project on biological control of apple scab, this study presents a novel approach for the in vitro selection of potential antagonists of the saprophytic phase of Venturia inaequalis. A collection of forty-two fungal isolates were tested for their in vitro ability to degrade apple leaf tissue, inhibit pseudothecia, and ascospore production. The inhibition of ascospore production cannot always be linked reliably with leaf degradation or the evaluation of pseudothecia production. Consequently, ascospore production was retained as the most useful screening parameter. Six isolates proved to significantly reduce the ascospore production of Venturia inaequalis. Two were as effective as Athelia bombacina, a previously reported antagonist of pseudothecia formation and inhibited over 98% of the ascospore production. These new organisms are now available for future field tests. Future selections from a large collection of fungal and bacterial saprophytes can now be based on a reliable and simple in vitro screening method. 相似文献
3.
ABSTRACT Apple scab (Venturia inaequalis) causes important economic losses in many apple production areas of the world. The disease is controlled by numerous fungicide applications regardless of the presence of ascospores in the orchard. Airborne ascospore concentration (AAC) can be measured in real time to time fungicide applications. However, the level of heterogeneity of the AAC in commercial orchards was unknown. Consequently, the spatial distribution of V. inaequalis ascospores was studied in a commercial apple orchard of 0.43 ha. The potential ascospore dose (PAD) and AAC were measured in 40 quadrats each of 108 m(2). In each quadrat, the AAC was monitored during the major rain events in spring 1999 and 2000 using spore samplers. The variance-to-mean ratio for the PAD and for most of the AAC sampling dates was >1, indicating an aggregated pattern of distribution. None of the frequency distributions of the most important ascospore ejection events followed the Poisson probability distribution, indicating that the pattern of distribution was not random. For all events, AAC had an aggregated pattern of distribution as suggested by the negative binomial distribution. The PAD followed neither the Poisson nor the negative binomial distribution. Geostatistical analyses confirmed the aggregated pattern of distribution. The cultivars had an effect on the PAD and AAC distribution pattern, but both PAD and AAC were not uniformly distributed within a block of the same cultivar. Therefore, the number, location, and height of samplers required to estimate AAC in orchards need to be investigated before using information on AAC for decision making. 相似文献
4.
ABSTRACT Ascospore release in 20 populations of Venturia inaequalis was generally suppressed in wind tunnel tests during darkness and simulated rain, but the following relieved this suppression: (i) exposure to low relative humidity during simulated rain and (ii) protracted incubation of leaf samples and the consequent senescence of the pathogen population. No counterpart to (i) was observed under orchard conditions. Although V. inaequalis also released a high percentage of ascospores during darkness in field studies under simulated rain late in the season of ascospore release, this phenomenon has not been reported for natural rain events. A threshold value of 0.5 muW/cm(2) at 725 nm was identified as the minimum stimulatory light intensity. Ascospore release increased with increasing light intensity from 0.5 to 5.2 muW/cm(2) at 725 nm. There was also an intrinsic increase in ascospore release as duration of rain increased. In orchards, the combined impact of both processes is probably responsible for a delay in reaching peak ascospore release at several hours after sunrise. Ascospore release during darkness will generally constitute a small proportion of the total available supply of primary inoculum. Significant ascospore release, and therefore infection periods, can be assumed to begin shortly after sunrise, when rain begins at night in orchards with low potential ascospore dose (PAD). A PAD level of 1,000 ascospores per m(2) of orchard floor per season is suggested as a threshold, above which the night-released ascospores should not be ignored. 相似文献
5.
ABSTRACT Mills' infection period table describes the number of hours of continuous leaf wetness required at temperatures from 6 to 25 degrees C for infection of apple leaves by ascospores of Venturia inaequalis and reports that conidia require approximately two-thirds the duration of leaf wetness required by ascospores at any given temperature. Mills' table also provides a general guideline that more than 2 days of wetting is required for leaf infection by ascospores below 6 degrees C. Although the table is widely used, infection times shorter than those in the table have been reported in lab and field studies. In 1989 a published revision of the table eliminated a potential source of error, the delay of ascospore release until dawn when rain begins at night, and shortened the times reported by Mills for ascospore infection by 3 h at all temperatures. Data to support the infection times below 6 degrees C were lacking, however. Our objective was to quantify the effects of low temperatures on ascospore discharge, ascospore infection, and infection by conidia. In two of three experiments at 1 degrees C, the initial release of ascospores occurred after 131 and 153 min. In the third experiment at 1 degrees C, no ascospores were detected during the first 6 h. The mean time required to exceed a cumulative catch of 1% was 143 min at 2 degrees C, 67 min at 4 degrees C, 56 min at 6 degrees C, and 40 min at 8 degrees C. At 4, 6, and 8 degrees C, the mean times required to exceed a cumulative catch of 5% were 103, 84, and 53 min, respectively. Infection of potted apple trees by ascospores at 2, 4, 6, and 8 degrees C required 35, 28, 18, and 13 h, respectively; substantially shorter times than previously were reported. In parallel inoculations of potted apple trees, conidia required approximately the same periods of leaf wetness as ascospores at temperatures from 2 to 8 degrees C, rather than the shorter times reported by Mills or the longer times reported in the revision of the Mills table. We propose the following revisions to infection period tables: (i) shorter minimum infection times for ascospores and conidia at or below 8 degrees C, and (ii) because both ascospores and conidia are often present simultaneously during the season of ascospore production and the required minimum infection times appear to be similar for both spore types, the adoption of a uniform set of criteria for ascosporic and conidial infection based on times required for infection by ascospores to be applied during the period prior to the exhaustion of the ascospore supply. Further revisions of infection times for ascospores may be warranted in view of the delay of ascospore discharge and the reduction of airborne ascospore doses at temperatures at or below 2 degrees C. 相似文献
6.
ABSTRACT In an attempt to better understand the mode of action of the antagonistic fungus Microsphaeropsis sp., the interaction between this fungus and Venturia inaequalis was studied, using both light and electron microscopy. Cytological observations indicated that the antagonistic interaction between the two fungi likely involves a sequence of events, including (i) attachment and local penetration of Microsphaeropsis sp. into V. inaequalis hyphae; (ii) induction of host structural response at sites of potential antagonist entry; (iii) alteration of host cytoplasm; and (iv) active multiplication of antagonistic cells in pathogen hyphae, leading to host cell breakdown and release of the antagonist. The interaction was investigated further by gold cytochemistry. The use of gold-complexed beta-1,4-exoglucanase and wheat germ agglutinin/ovomucoid-gold complex to localize cellulosic beta-1,4-glucans and chitin monomers, respectively, resulted in regular labeling of V. inaequalis cell walls. This finding supports other studies refuting the classification of ascomycetes as only a glucan-chitin group. At an advanced state of parasitism, the labeling pattern of cellulose and chitin, which clearly showed that the level of integrity of these compounds was affected, suggested the production of cellulolytic and chitinolytic enzymes by Microsphaeropsis sp. Wall appositions formed in V. inaequalis in response to the antagonist's attack contained both cellulose and chitin. However, penetration of this newly formed material frequently succeeded. This study provides the first detailed picture of the cytological events associated with mycoparasitism in V. inaequalis. 相似文献
7.
ABSTRACT Venturia pirina (the pear scab pathogen) and V. inaequalis (the apple scab pathogen) were detected as ascospores discharged from apple leaf litter in New Zealand (spring 1998). Pseudothecia of both species were located on dead apple leaves; however, only those of V. inaequalis were associated with scab lesions. V. pirina was identified by rDNA sequence analyses, because morphological characters could not distinguish this fungus from V. asperata (a rare saprophyte on apple) and other Venturia spp. pathogenic on rosaceous fruit trees. Species-specific polymerase chain reaction primers designed to the 18S end of the internal transcribed spacer 1 region differentiated Venturia fruit tree pathogens reliably. V. pirina field isolates were pathogenic on pear, but only weak saprophytes on apple. In rare instances, when appressoria of V. pirina appeared to penetrate the cuticle of apple leaves, epidermal cells responded with a localized hypersensitive response (HR). To our knowledge, this is the first report of induction of HR-like events by V. pirina on its nonhost, apple, and also the first record of sexual reproduction of V. pirina on apple. It is assumed that V. pirina pseudothecia formed from saprophytic lesions in senescing apple leaves when active defense mechanisms such as HR were no longer induced. 相似文献
8.
Based on existing physical theories and models, a dynamic model estimating the concentration of Venturia inaequalis ascospores in the orchard air and their deposition on apple leaves was elaborated. The model produces two main outputs: number of ascospores deposited per leaf and proportion of ascospores discharged from pseudothecia deposited onto the leaves. The model has a relatively simple structure, and computations are based on few algorithms, which are implemented on an electronic data sheet of common use. Nevertheless, it preserves the accuracy of more complex physical models reasonably well. The model includes the effect of meteorological conditions and horticultural characteristics, and thus provides information for each type of orchard. Few input variables are required: wind speed and rainfall rate can be measured in standard meteorological stations; horticultural characteristics of the orchard can be determined for each type of orchard. The model produces conservative estimates of ascospore deposition, because it assumes a complete retention of the spores deposited by rainfall and does not consider either deposition on stems and flowers or the spatial distribution of plant surfaces. After further validation under orchard conditions, the model will be used to obtain better estimates of scab infection risk in current scab control strategies. 相似文献
9.
Imre J. Holb 《European journal of plant pathology / European Foundation for Plant Pathology》2006,115(3):293-307
A two-year study was conducted to determine the effect of six sanitation treatments on leaf litter density (LLD), relative ascospore production of Venturia inaequalis and scab incidence on spur-leaf clusters, leaves and harvested fruits, on two cultivars with low and high scab susceptibilities, in Hungarian integrated and organic apple orchards. The following sanitation treatments were used: sprays of lime sulphur in autumn, collecting fallen leaves in autumn, straw mulch cover in late winter, sprays of lime sulphur followed by mulch cover, collecting fallen leaves followed by mulch cover, collecting fallen leaves followed by covering the orchard floor with plastic foil, and non-sanitized control. LLD decreased continuously in all treatment plots by 0–23% by mid-May in both orchards and years; however, LLD reduction was 1.4–4.2 times higher in the organic orchard compared to the integrated one. All treatments, except for the lime sulphur treatment, resulted in significant (P < 0.05) reduction of LLD and ascospore production in both the integrated and organic apple orchards compared to non-sanitized plots. The most efficient treatment was leaf collection combined with plastic foil cover, followed by leaf collection combined with mulch cover, leaf collection alone, mulch cover alone, and lime sulphur spray combined with mulch cover, with a reduction in the ascospore production of >95, 72–92, 56–79, 24–38, and 27–46%, respectively, in the mean of both orchards and years. However, only treatments of leaf collection applied alone, or in combination with mulch or with plastic foil cover reduced significantly (P < 0.05) leaf and/or fruit scab incidence by 18–57% compared to non-sanitized plots. These three leaf collection treatments are recommended in both integrated and organic orchards and the possibilities of successfully incorporating these methods into orchard management practices are interpreted. 相似文献
10.
A new dynamic model of the infection of apple leaves by Venturia inaequalis is described. The model begins with the release of spores by rain and incorporates the effect of light on the discharge of ascospores from pseudothecia. The model then simulates infection through the sub-processes of germination, appressorium formation and penetration, separately for ascospores and conidia landed concurrently on wet leaves. The rate of the infection process is determined using different equations for ascospores and conidia. Spore mortality when leaves dry is determined by the stage of infection and RH in the dry period. The infection process is driven by surface wetness, temperature and RH. The progress of each infection period is measured as infection efficiency (IE), namely the percentage of landed spores which have penetrated and thereby infected leaves. The final IE quantifies the favourability of weather in each infection period. In orchard tests in each of three years, the new model detected crucial infection periods in spring and early summer which accounted for outbreaks of leaf scab. These periods were not detected by a static model based on Mills'criteria. The models performed similarly in detecting infection periods later in summer. 相似文献
11.
J. C. Meitz-Hopkins S. G. von Diest T. A. Koopman A. Bahramisharif C. L. Lennox 《European journal of plant pathology / European Foundation for Plant Pathology》2014,140(3):527-541
Apple scab caused by the fungus Venturia inaequalis can result in significant crop losses if not managed effectively. Sanitation as part of an integrated management strategy aims to significantly reduce primary inoculum to lower the disease pressure. This study evaluates the possibility of molecular detection and quantification of ascospore discharge and the use of this method to test for efficacy of orchard sanitation treatments. A method to detect and quantify airborne ascospores was developed using volumetric spore traps (VSTs). V. inaequalis specific primers were tested on daily VST samples from two orchard sections (leaf litter removed compared to leaf litter left) during spring. A molecular method to detect and quantify ascospores was tested by amplifying genomic regions of the mitochondrial CYP51A1 gene, and the ITS region using SYBR® green. Timing of ascospore discharge was compared to predicted infection risk and a degree day model using weather data. The average spore detection limit was estimated to be at levels of 1 pg μl?1 DNA (approximately 37 ascospores) per daily spore trap reading using CYP51A1 primers. Using the CYP51A1 primer pair, primary inoculum was estimated to be 51 % lower in the orchard sections where leaves had been removed, indicating that this method could be used to evaluate the efficacy of alternative control strategies such as leaf removal to reduce potential ascospore dose. This is the first report of combining VSTs and quantitative PCR to monitor airborne V. inaequalis ascospores. 相似文献
12.
渭北旱塬苹果黑星病的初侵染来源 总被引：4，自引：0，他引：4
苹果黑星病是世界各苹果产区的重要病害之一,也是我国渭北旱塬苹果产区的新病害。近5年调查研究证明,渭北旱塬苹果落叶上分生孢子数量随时间推移呈急剧下降趋势,在春季苹果芽鳞萌动之前,分生孢子呈无色透明薄片状,均已失去存活力,芽鳞内外检测到分生孢子的数量很少,且均已丧失萌发力。果园中孢子捕捉结果表明,子囊孢子出现在先,分生孢子在后,两者出现时间相差15d以上,且捕捉到分生孢子的日期是在黑星病发病以后。对洛川县、白水县、长武县、永寿县、泾川县和平凉市等地苹果黑星病普查中未发现发病枝条,以菌丝体在枝条上越冬的可能性极小。综合以上试验结果,初步确定子囊孢子是渭北旱塬苹果黑星病的初侵来染,分生孢子不能越冬。 相似文献
13.
Leonardo Araujo Felipe A. M. F. Pinto Camila C. L. de Andrade Valmir Duarte 《Plant pathology》2022,71(3):654-667
During European canker monitoring in an apple experimental orchard, 14 mummified fruit (two and three trees with 10 and four positive records in 2018 and 2019, respectively) showed perithecia. Perithecium production on apple fruit, confirmation of pathogenicity of Neonectria ditissima isolated from mummified fruit, and ascospore release from fruit tissues has rarely been reported, and their role in the epidemiology of European canker has been largely overlooked. Thus, the objectives of our study were to (a) prove the presence of both conidia and ascospores of N. ditissima in mummified fruit in an experimental field, confirming pathogenesis in different apple cultivars, and (b) monitor production of the two types of inoculum in infected apple fruit over time. Canker incidence in this orchard was 47% of trees with symptoms in 2018 and 48% in 2019. Molecular and morphological tests confirmed that the fungus detected in the mummified apple fruit was N. ditissima. Apple fruit with sporodochia and perithecia washed immediately after collection from the orchard showed conidia but no ascospores of N. ditissima. However, after 4 days’ incubation, perithecia on mummified fruit showed many ascospore cirri. Koch's postulates were fulfilled on apple plants and mature fruit. Fruit inoculated with N. ditissima released spores for over a year under Brazilian field conditions. The release of both spore types peaked in May (Brazilian leaf fall) and October (spring); release of conidia also peaked in February (early harvest). These results support our hypothesis that fruit can serve as primary inoculum for European canker in Brazilian apple orchards. 相似文献
14.
Ascospores of Mycosphaerella pomi, the pathogen of Brooks fruit spot of apple, were produced in pseudothecia on previously infected and overwintered apple leaves from late April through early August in Aomori Prefecture, Japan. In June 2003, the ascospores were germinating and producing Cylindrosporium-type conidia on apple fruit and leaf surfaces in an orchard. After ascospores were sprayed on apple leaves, Cylindrosporium-type conidia developed on the leaf surfaces. Such Cylindrosporium-type conidia caused typical symptoms of Brooks fruit spot on apple trees after inoculations. These results suggested that the Cylindrosporium-type conidia also serve as an infection source, in addition to the ascospores, for Brooks fruit spot in apple orchards. 相似文献
15.
We investigated the diurnal pattern of ascospore discharge of the Japanese pear scab fungus (Venturia nashicola Tanaka & Yamamoto) in an orchard. Ascospores of V. nashicola were mainly discharged during the day. Most ascospores were discharged from 7:00 to 19:00: 99.6% in 2001, 99.3% in 2002,
and 93.8% in 2005. Because the ascospores were discharged only when the fallen diseased leaves were wet from precipitation,
the wetness of these leaves is probably imperative for spore discharge. Ascospore discharge began immediately after precipitation
in the daytime. When it rained at night, however, ascospore discharge did not begin until the following morning and never
began immediately after precipitation. We also investigated other meteorological factors. When fallen diseased leaves were
wet, the percentage of ascospore discharge was positively correlated with the amount of solar radiation and atmospheric temperature
and negatively correlated with relative humidity. Ascospore discharge was interrupted by a decrease in solar radiation and
atmospheric temperature and by increased relative humidity at night. This report is the first that V. nashicola discharges ascospores primarily during the day. 相似文献
16.
ABSTRACT Mycosphaerella citri, the cause of citrus greasy spot, produces pseudothecia and ascospores in decomposing leaf litter on the grove floor. In laboratory studies, the effect of wetting and drying and temperature on the formation, maturation, and production of pseudothecia and ascospores was evaluated on mature, detached grapefruit leaves. Production of pseudothecia was most rapid when leaves were soaked five times per week for 2 h per day, but pseudothecial density and total ascospore production were greatest when leaves were soaked three times per week for 2 h per day. In duration of wetting studies, 3 h per day, 3 days per week brought about the most rapid production, but 10 to 30 min per day resulted in production of the most pseudothecia and ascospores. Pseudothecia and ascospore production were greatest at 28 degrees C and declined rapidly at lower and higher temperatures. Maturation of pseudothecia was slow at 20 and 24 degrees C, but production was high at 24 degrees C; at 32 degrees C, pseudothecia matured rapidly, but degenerated quickly. No mature pseudothecia were produced on leaves maintained continuously under wet conditions. In field studies, leaves were placed on the grove floor monthly from April 2000 to September 2001. Pseudothecia production was rapid during the summer rainy season from June to September. Pseudothecia produced on leaves placed in the grove from October to May developed and matured more slowly but were produced in much larger numbers than in summer. The number of days to first pseudothecial initials, 50% maturation, first discharge of ascospores, leaf decomposition, as well as pseudothecial density and incidence, were negatively related to average temperature. Total ascospore production was unrelated to temperature. 相似文献
17.
ABSTRACT During formation of appressoria produced from conidia and ascospores of Venturia inaequalis, a dark brown ring structure was detected at the base of appressoria. This melanized appressorial ring structure (MARS) was attached to the leaf surface like a sealing ring and formed the fungus-plant interface; it is believed to be required for pathogen penetration of the cuticle. Neither germ tubes nor infection structures beneath the cuticle were found to be visibly melanized. MARS were formed not only on apple leaves but also on leaves of nonhost plants and artificial surfaces differing in hydrophobicity; the formation of appressoria and MARS was confined to hard surfaces. The melanin nature of the ring was confirmed by using melanin biosynthesis inhibitors. Applications prior to inoculation largely inhibited the melanization and reduced infection rate by 45 to 80%; curative applications were not effective. Transmission electron microscopy verified a localized melanization of the cell wall around the penetration pore, and melanin was incorporated into all layers of the fungal cell wall. Appressoria without MARS were not able to infect the plant, suggesting that this structure can be considered to be a pathogenicity factor in V. inaequalis. 相似文献
18.
Antonio Vicent Daniel D. M. Bassimba Concha Hinarejos Jose L. Mira 《European journal of plant pathology / European Foundation for Plant Pathology》2012,134(2):289-299
The epidemiology of circular leaf spot of persimmon, caused by Mycosphaerella nawae, was studied in a semi-arid area in Spain for two consecutive years. No conidia were observed on diseased leaves and all infections were thought to be caused by ascospores formed in the leaf litter. Ascospores were released mainly in April and May, but relatively low numbers in June were able to induce severe symptoms on trap plants. Temperature was not significantly correlated with ascospore catches or disease incidence on trap plants, indicating that it was not a limiting factor for disease development during the period of study. Rainfall was above normal, but still considerably lower than in endemic areas of Korea. Most infections coincided with rains, but the disease was observed also on trap plants exposed to less than 1?mm of precipitation and even in the absence of rain. Orchards were flood irrigated once inoculum deposits in the leaf litter had already been depleted, so it was not possible to determine its effects on ascospore release and disease development. The use of a wind tunnel to determine inoculum production allowed detection of physiologically mature ascospores of M. nawae in the leaf litter 1?C2?weeks before they were released to air in the orchard. Disease progress was fitted to the monomolecular growth curve, associated with monocyclic pathogens and diseases with a variable incubation period as a function of the host phenology. 相似文献
19.
The relative importance of conidia and ascospores as primary inoculum of Venturia inaequalis in a southeast England orchard 
下载免费PDF全文
下载免费PDF全文 Apple scab, caused by Venturia inaequalis, can lead to large losses of marketable fruit if left uncontrolled. The disease appears in orchards during spring as lesions on leaves. These primary lesions are caused by spores released at bud burst from overwintering sources; these spores can be sexually produced ascospores from the leaf litter or asexual conidia from mycelium in wood scab or within buds. The relative importance of conidia and ascospores as primary inoculum were investigated in an orchard in southeast England, UK. Potted trees not previously exposed to apple scab were placed next to (c. 1 m) orchard trees to trap air‐dispersed ascospores. Number and position of scab lesions were assessed on the leaves of shoots from both the potted trees (infection by airborne ascospores) and neighbouring orchard trees (infection by both ascospores and splash‐dispersed, overwintered conidia). The distribution and population similarity of scab lesions were compared in the two tree types by molecular analysis and through modelling of scab incidence and count data. Molecular analysis was inconclusive. Statistical modelling of results suggested that conidia may have contributed approximately 20–50% of the primary inoculum in early spring within this orchard: incidence was estimated to be reduced by 20% on potted trees, and lesion number by 50%. These results indicate that, although conidia are still a minority contributor to primary inoculum, their contribution in this orchard is sufficient to require current management to be reviewed. This might also be true of other orchards with a similar climate. 相似文献
20.
ABSTRACT Apple scab (Venturia inaequalis) is a perennial threat to apple production in temperate climates throughout the world. In the eastern United States, apple scab is managed almost exclusively through the regular application of fungicides. Management of the primary phase of disease is focused on preventing infection by ascospores. Management of secondary cycles of infection is largely dependent on how well primary infections were controlled. In this study, we used receiver operating characteristic curve analysis to evaluate how well mid-season assessments of the incidence of apple scab on cluster leaves, clusters (i.e., the whorl of cluster leaves), or immature fruit can serve as predictors of apple scab on harvested fruit (harvest scab) and whether these mid-season assessments of scab could be used reliably to manage scab under various damage thresholds. Results showed that assessment of scab on immature fruit was superior at predicting harvest scab than were assessments made on clusters or cluster leaves at all damage thresholds evaluated. A management action threshold of 7% scab incidence on immature fruit was identified by Youden's index as the optimal action threshold to prevent harvest scab incidence from exceeding 5%. Action thresholds could be higher or lower than 7% when economic assumptions were factored in to the decision process. The utility of such a predictor is discussed. 相似文献