首页 | 本学科首页   官方微博 | 高级检索  
相似文献
 共查询到20条相似文献，搜索用时 15 毫秒
1.
In the UK, critical loads have been mapped for both soils and freshwaters and the maps indicate that discrepancies may occur between these two receptors over sensitive areas of the UK. Freshwater critical load maps were prepared by calculating the Henriksen critical load for the most sensitive water body in each 10 km grid square. Critical loads for soils were calculated according to the mineralogy and associated soil properties of the dominant soil at a 1 km resolution. To examine the differences between the soil and freshwater data sets it is necessary to calculate critical loads at a smaller scale using the catchment as the focus for study. This was done by selecting a catchment on granitic parent material in the North of Scotland. Data on water chemistry, collected on a weekly basis, was used to calculate temporal variations in critical loads for freshwaters using the Henriksen method. Soil sampling across the catchment was conducted on a grid based system to provide estimates of spatial variability in sensitivity. Profile characteristics and soil chemical data obtained from detailed soil sampling programmes were used in the PROFILE model to determine the spatial variation in critical loads for soils. In general, the results show that the critical loads for soils tend to be lower than those for freshwater. The spatial variation in the soil critical load tends to be small whilst the temporal variation in critical load for freshwaters is large. In order to account for these differences it is important to identify the key processes within the catchment which play a major role in controlling streamwater chemistry. This procedure improves the relationship between critical loads for soils and waters.  相似文献   

2.
Current applications of the critical loads concept are geared primarily toward targeting emission control strategies at a national and international level. Maps of critical loads for freshwaters have been produced in grid form based on water samples of representative sites within each grid square. However, the water chemistry data required to calculate freshwater critical loads are not always readily available at a national level and maps are therefore limited to catchments where such data exist. This paper describes the development of an approach that uses nationally available secondary data to predict freshwater critical loads for catchments lacking the appropriate water chemistry information. An empirical statistical model is calibrated using data from 78 catchments throughout Scotland. Water chemistry for each catchment has been determined. Each catchment is characterized according to a number of attributes. Redundancy analysis of these data shows clear relationships between catchment attributes and the critical load derived from the water chemistry. The key variables that explain most of the variation in critical load relate to soil, geology and land use within the catchment. Using these variables as predictors in a regression analysis, the critical load can be predicted across a broad gradient of sensitivity (R2 adj=0.81). The predictive power of the model was maintained when different combinations of explanatory variables were used. This accords the approach a degree of flexibility in that model parameterization can be geared toward availability of secondary data. There are limitations with the model as presently calibrated. However, the approach offers considerable scope for environmental managers to undertake national inventories of catchment sensitivity and specific assessments of individual catchments.  相似文献   

3.
Current applications of the critical loads concept are geared primarily towards targeting emission control strategies at a regional and international level. Freshwater critical maps in the UK have been produced at a resolution of 10 km grid squares and do not take into account variations of water chemistry within the mapping unit. They are therefore of limited use at the catchment scale. This paper assesses the potential for the development ofn empirical statistical model to predict catchment critical loads using readily available secondary data. Multivariate statistical analysis of existing critical loads chemistry data together with data obtained from the Institute of Terrestrial Ecology (ITE) identifies strong relationships between surface water chemistry composition and a variety of site-specific catchment attributes, particularly rainfall, altitude and site sensitivity. Although there were problems with the data used, particulaly in terms of noise, collinearity and spatial resolution, the strength of the relationships indicates that accurate prediction of catchment scale critical loads should be possible using a higher resolution, catchment specific dataset.  相似文献   

4.
Critical loads are used in international negotiations to reduce acid deposition resulting from emissions of sulphur and nitrogen compounds within Europe. For freshwater ecosystems, the First-order Acidity Balance (FAB) model is used to generate national maps of critical loads and exceedances for both sulphur (S) and nitrogen (N). In Wales, two survey datasets have been used to calculate critical loads and exceedances; one based on water bodies selected to be "most-sensitive" to acidification within a 10 km grid and the other based on a random selection of standing waters. Both datasets indicate that critical loads were exceeded in 1990 in a significant proportion of Welsh lakes and streams; 36% of sites in the grid-based survey and 31% of sites in the random survey. However, implementation of the Gothenburg Protocol would protect all but 6% of sites in the grid-based survey and all sites in the random survey. Assessment of the relative success of the Gothenburg Protocol in protecting Welsh freshwater ecosystems therefore depends on the site selection strategy employed.  相似文献   

5.
Critical loads maps for UK freshwaters have been produced on a 10×10 km grid square basis, and used to map critical load exceedances under various deposition scenarios. A single lake or stream site was selected to represent the most sensitive water body in each grid square using predefined criteria. In the UK a major programme of data screening and validation has been undertaken in order to address issues of accuracy and validity. A major part of this validation exercise, the within-square variability study, is designed to test the extent to which the site chosen for mapping represents the most sensitive water body within each grid square or mapping unit. Sampling of all lake sites in thirty-two randomly chosen 10 × 10 km grid squares has shown that in two thirds of cases, the selection exercise has identified a site in the lowest critical load class within a square. However, up to a third of all sites selected to represent grid squares could be replaced by more sensitive sites with a critical load smaller by at least one Skokloster class. The mean overestimate of diatom model critical loads for sulphur in the within-square variability study is 0.188 keq ha–1 yr–1. This means that current critical load maps show overestimates for some grid squares. In order to determine where the most sensitive site has not been identified, further work on catchment scale classification of freshwater sensitivity is being carried out.  相似文献   

6.
The critical loads approach to quantifying areas at risk of damage requires deposition and critical loads data at the same spatial scale to calculate exceedance. While maps of critical loads for soil acidification are available at a 1 km scale no monitoring networks in Europe measure wet and dry inputs at this scale and, further, the models currently used to estimate deposition incorporate a number of assumptions which are not valid at the 1 km scale. Simulations of 1 km deposition from 20 km data show that the uncertainty introduced by using 20 km scale estimates of deposition is small, except in mountain areas where it can give misleading results, but a major problem is the uncertainty in estimates of deposition at the 20 km scale produced by the current models.  相似文献   

7.
The effects of input data uncertainty on the critical loads andexceedance estimates for Swedish forest soils was assessed usingMonte Carlo simulations of the PROFILE model. The study focuseson the effects of data uncertainty on the 5%-ile critical loadat 150 × 150 km resolution and the 95%-ile exceedance at150 × 150 km and 50 × 50 km resolution.The results indicate that datauncertainty limits the possibility to differentiate grid cellson 150 × 150 km resolution. The confidence interval for agiven percentile can generally be reduced if the uncertaintiesin calculated critical loads are addressed simultaneously forall sites in a grid cell. The resulting best estimates of the5%-ile critical load were found to be lowered, therebyadvocating larger deposition reductions to comply with a givengap closure of exceedance. The results further indicate that thenumber of sites within the grid cells is important for the rangeof the confidence interval for a given percentile.Re-aggregation of exceedance estimate in 50 × 50 km gridcells showed that differentiation may be improved as compared to150 × 150 km resolution. For 70% of the grid cells on 50× 50 km resolution, the confidence interval forcalculated exceedance covers both negative and positive values.  相似文献   

8.
DEM栅格分辨率对丘陵山地区定量土壤-景观模型的影响   总被引：2，自引：2，他引：0  
基于数字高程模型（Digital Elevation Model,DEM）的定量土壤-景观模型的精度依赖于DEM栅格分辨率,而DEM栅格分辨率如何影响土壤-景观模型及其预测精度目前研究较少。以西南丘陵山地区一典型汇水盆地为研究对象,以该区2.5、5、10、20和30 m DEM为基础,利用逐步线性回归方法建立起研究区不同分辨率下的定量土壤-景观模型,并应用这些模型预测研究区内土壤表层碱解氮含量的空间分布,进而比较DEM不同分辨率下土壤-景观模型及其预测精度。结果表明,随着DEM栅格分辨率的降低,比汇水面积、地形湿度指数的均值逐渐增加;平均坡度逐渐降低;曲率变化的范围逐渐减小。地形指数的这一变化规律对土壤-景观模型及其预测结果产生显著影响,模型的校正决定系数、平均绝对误差和均方根误差都以5 m栅格分辨率为转折点,分辨率低于5 m,模型的校正决定系数显著减小,平均绝对误差和均方根误差显著增加。  相似文献   

9.
Critical loads for sulphur and nitrogen are defined to produce effective control strategies over Europe, such as those of the new sulphur protocol. To determine the critical load exceedances on the European scale it is necessary to simplify and generalize. The spatial variation on a scale smaller than the 150 × 150 km EMEP grid squares is considered for critical loads, via a cumulative frequency distribution and the 95 percentile for the grid square is determined. The deposition is assumed to be uniform over the area and the exceedance over the 95 percentile critical load is determined. In reality, the spatial variation is considerable for critical loads as well as for deposition. Calculations based on the frequency of local critical load exceedances have been made for two grid squares in southern Sweden. Local critical loads for acidity are compared to local deposition. Deposition variations due to pollution gradients within the square and to ecosystem structure have been considered. The results are similar for the two squares. The calculations based on local exceedances on 50×50 km grid squares and consideration to landuse variability, indicate that in order to protect 95% of the ecosystems in the square, emission reductions 25% greater than the large-scale European approach are needed. The effect of enhanced deposition at forest edges is of relatively small importance for the total exceedance.  相似文献   

10.
Erosion is a natural geomorphic process occurring continually over the Earth's surface and it largely depends on topography, vegetation, soil and climatic variables, and therefore, exhibits pronounced spatial variability due to catchment heterogeneity and climatic variation. This problem can be circumvented by discretizing the catchment into approximately homogeneous sub‐areas using GIS. In this study, the remote sensing and GIS techniques (through Imagine®8.6 and ArcGIS®9.1 software) were used for derivation of spatial information, catchment discretization, data processing etc. for the Himalayan Chaukhutia watershed (India). Various thematic layers for different factors of USLE were generated and overlaid to compute spatially distributed gross soil erosion maps for the watershed using 18‐year rainfall data. The concept of transport limited accumulation was formulated and used in ArcGIS® for generating the transport capacity maps. Using these maps, the gross soil erosion was routed to the catchment outlet using hydrological drainage paths, for derivation of transport capacity limited sediment outflow maps. These maps depict the amount of sediment rate from a particular grid in spatial domain and the pixel value of the outlet grid indicates the sediment yield at the outlet of the watershed. Up on testing, the proposed method simulated the annual sediment yield with less than ±40% error. Copyright © 2009 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.  相似文献   

11.
Environmental organisations in the UK have shown increasing interest in freshwater critical loads and acid sensitivity maps as a means of assessing pollution at the local and regional level. These maps can be used to identify sensitive areas when considering catchment management plans. The use of national data sets to map the sensitivity of freshwaters to acidification, highlighted the problems of relating national datasets to smaller, localised areas. The study described here investigated the use of detailed large-scale maps to predict the sensitivity of surface waters to acidification for two river catchments. Three large-scale acid sensitivity maps were produced and validated using measured freshwater critical loads. In addition, a score system relating to the buffering capacity for each soil and geology type was devised. The score value was found to have a better correlation with water chemistry and freshwater critical loads than the acid sensitivity maps. The study concluded that it was not necessary to use the largest scale data available in order to improve predictions of sensitive areas.  相似文献   

12.
以都阳湖信江流域为研究区,分析了网格大小选择对大尺度分布式水文模型水文过程模拟的影响.研究结果显示,在同样参数条件下,1,2和4 km这3种不同尺寸网格对模拟的总径流量影响较小,但网格大小显著地改变着模拟水流在地表径流和地下径流间的分配;不同网格的模型计算的实际蒸发量的差别不显著;大网格的模型计算的地下水补给量大.经过率定后的3种不同网格的模型均能较好地模拟流域的径流过程,但2 km网格模型模拟的总体效果要好于1 km网格模型和4 km网格模型.研究表明,对于分布式水文模型,网格的精细并不一定提高模型的模拟效果,一定精度空间数据的翰人条件下,分布式水文模型存在一个合适的网格大小使得模型的模拟效果最佳.在流域水文模型的具体应用中,应考虑流域本身的尺度以及模拟的目的和精度要求,选择合适的网格大小,同时应结合模型机理,解释模拟结果.  相似文献   

13.
Vautz  W.  Busch  A. U.  Urfer  W.  Klockow  D. 《Water, air, and soil pollution》2003,145(1-4):215-238
  相似文献   

14.
Within the framework of the GCTE Soil Erosion Network the Limburg Soil Erosion Model (LISEM) has been tested and validated in two catchments in South-Limburg (the Netherlands) and Zululand (South Africa). The calibration and validation of the Green–Ampt version of the LISEM model using 10 storms from the Catsop catchment in the Netherlands shows that differences in measured and simulated hydrographs and sediment loads can be large. These differences may be caused by the sensitivity of the model to some of the input variables, such as saturated hydraulic conductivity and the initial soil moisture content. Given the uncertainty in the input maps of these variables and a limited number of point data that is used to create these maps, a large part of the differences between measured and simulated data can be explained by these uncertainties. Thus, it is clear that detailed process-based models such as LISEM require very detailed and high-resolution input data in order to produce quantitative reliable results. The runoff processes in the Zululand catchment appeared to be dominated by slow throughflow and groundwater flow, which are processes that are not incorporated in LISEM.  相似文献   

15.
  相似文献   

16.
The Critical Load concept provides a method for the assessment of an ecosystem's sensitivity to acidification. This paper examines how variations in critical loads for freshwaters are reflected by the diversity and abundance of macroinvertebrates. The results indicate that acidified sites, those with the lowest critical loads, have significantly fewer species than less sensitive sites. The data are discussed in terms of ordination analysis relating catchment attributes to critical loads and macroinvertebrate status. It is concluded that although critical loads provides a good predictor for biotic status it is not as sensitive as parameters such as pH or alkalinity.  相似文献   

17.
The United Kingdom National Materials Exposure Programme was initiated in 1986 to study the effects of acid deposition on building materials. The output data in the form of empirical dose-response equations (described elsewhere) have been incorporated into a geographical information system (GIS). In addition, data for the stock at risk of building materials has also been used. The dose-response relations indicate a dominance of dry deposition of sulphur dioxide in the decay process. Critical level/load maps have been determined for a number of materials. General pollution and meteorological data sets are also included in the mapping process. Maps give ‘exceedence squares’ on a 20 km square grid basis, indicating the unprotected areas or those still at risk for a given scenario for SO2 reduction in the context of the UNECE protocol for sulphur. In order to derive maps of areas sensitive to pollutants in the future a model, HARM 7.2, is used for the prediction of distribution of emissions of pollutants in the UK. A series of maps has now been produced for different materials at 70% and 80% scenarios for the reduction of SO2. Studies of the sensitivity of the exceedence maps to the accuracy or variation of the components in the dose-response equations have been undertaken. Results from the mapping programme and the sensitivity analysis are presented together with discussion of the concept of critical loads of materials.  相似文献   

18.
Critical loads are estimated in the UK by the Department of Environment's Critical Loads Advisory Group and sub-groups. The Mapping and Data Centre at ITE Monks Wood acts as the National Focal Centre for the UNECE programme for mapping critical loads. The centre is responsible for the generation of UK data sets and their application for national and European purposes. To make effective use of these data, it is necessary to draw upon other environmental data and examine the issues of scale, uncertainty and the way that data are presented. This paper outlines the methodologies which have been employed to derive national maps. Early critical load maps were not vegetation specific, but now critical loads for acidity and for nutrient nitrogen for soils, critical levels maps for ozone and sulphur dioxide, and sulphur deposition maps, have been generated on a vegetation or ecosystem specific basis. These have been used to derive a number of different types of critical load and exceedance maps. The results show the importance of the method selected and the data used for the interpretation. The visualisation of critical loads and the corresponding exceedance data is an important aspect in producing information for pollution abatement strategies.  相似文献   

19.
Concern about acidification in upland areas has brought about the need to model the stream hydrochemical response to deposition and land-use changes and calculate critical loads. Application of dynamic models such as MAGIC are preferable to steady-state methods, since they are able to produce an estimate of the time scale required to meet some water chemistry target given a reduction in acid deposition. These models typically consider annual changes in stream chemistry at one point. However, in order to protect biota from 'acid episodes', quantification of temporal variability needs to encompass event responses; in addition spatial variability across the catchment also needs to be considered. In this paper, modelling of both spatial and temporal variability is combined in a new framework which enables quantification of catchment hydrochemical variability in time and space. Both low and high flow hydro-chemical variability are quantified in terms of statistical distributions of ANC (Acid Neutralisation Capacity). These are then input as stochastic variables to an EMMA (End-Member Mixing Analysis) model which accounts for temporal variability and ANC is hence predicted as a function of time and space across the whole catchment using Monte-Carlo simulation. The method is linked to MAGIC to predict future scenarios and may be used by iteration to calculate critical loads. The model is applied to the headwaters of the River Severn at Plynlimon, Wales, to demonstrate its capabilities.  相似文献   

20.
Since 1990 the Institute for Ecology of Industrial Areas, acting as National Focal Center, is actively involved in an international research programme aimed at the calculation and mapping of critical loads of acidifying compounds. Following the methodological guidelines elaborated under the leadership of UN/ECE Task Force on Mapping and Coordination Center for Effects, national maps of critical loads and their exceedances for acidity, sulphur and nitrogen have been produced. These maps have already been utilized in derivation of European maps of critical loads of acidity and sulphur submitted to the UN/ECE LRTAP Convention as scientific input to the negotiations on the Second Sulphur Protocol. The lessons learned from the critical loads mapping exercise can be summarized as follow:
–  the majority of Polish territory is covered with forest soils sensitive to acidification at an average Central European level;
–  the exceedances of critical loads, estimated on the basis of national deposition data reveal the tune changes of ecological risks on the territory of Poland as a reflection of economic transition. The significant difference in the scale of those risks (measured by the percentage of the country territory with the maximum exceedances of critical loads) that appear in the period between 1987, representing the period of central planned economy and 1990, representing the early transition phase to a market economy, is particularly notable.
  相似文献   

设为首页 | 免责声明 | 关于勤云 | 加入收藏

Copyright©北京勤云科技发展有限公司  京ICP备09084417号