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In the absence of data, qualitative risk assessment frameworks have proved useful to assess risks associated with animal health diseases. As part of a scientific opinion for the European Commission (EC) on African Swine Fever (ASF), a working group of the European Food Safety Authority (EFSA) assessed the risk of ASF remaining endemic in Trans Caucasus Countries (TCC) and the Russian Federation (RF) and the risk of ASF becoming endemic in the EU if disease were introduced. The aim was to develop a tool to evaluate how current control or preventive measures mitigate the risk of spread and giving decision makers the means to review how strengthening of surveillance and control measures would mitigate the risk of disease spread. Based on a generic model outlining disease introduction, spread and endemicity in a region, the impact of risk mitigation measures on spread of disease was assessed for specific risk questions. The resulting hierarchical models consisted of key steps containing several sub-steps. For each step of the risk pathways risk estimates were determined by the expert group based on existing data or through expert opinion elicitation. Risk estimates were combined using two different combination matrices, one to combine estimates of independent steps and one to combine conditional probabilities. The qualitative risk assessment indicated a moderate risk that ASF will remain endemic in current affected areas in the TCC and RF and a high risk of spread to currently unaffected areas. If introduced into the EU, ASF is likely to be controlled effectively in the production sector with high or limited biosecurity. In the free range production sector, however, there is a moderate risk of ASF becoming endemic due to wild boar contact, non-compliance with animal movement bans, and difficult access to all individual pigs upon implementation of control measures. This study demonstrated the advantages of a systematic framework to assist an expert panel to carry out a risk assessment as it helped experts to disassociate steps in the risk pathway and to overcome preconceived notions of final risk estimates. The approach presented here shows how a qualitative risk assessment framework can address animal diseases with complexity in their spread and control measures and how transparency of the resulting estimates was achieved. 相似文献
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在非洲猪瘟成为常态化的背景下,疫苗的联合使用可有效优化、重构猪群的免疫程序,在保证防控重大疫病的前提下,减少猪群免疫负担和应激,降低免疫苗时感染非洲猪瘟的风险。为此,本研究用猪瘟E2亚单位疫苗和猪口蹄疫O型/A型二价灭活疫苗在实验室进行混合,测试了其物理性状,并在田间进行了安全性、有效性的临床研究。研究结果表明,2种疫苗按不同比例混合后呈剂型与占比较大的疫苗剂型相同,黏度、通针性均优于猪瘟E2亚单位疫苗,在2～8℃保存7天后,疫苗均一、稳定,未见分层,离心后无水相析出;采用间隔免疫、同步分点注射、同步混合注射的方式免疫试验猪均未引起免疫副反应,同步混合注射的免疫效果优于其他试验组,但各组间差异不显著(P>0.05),未见免疫干扰现象。本研究证实猪瘟E2亚单位疫苗和猪口蹄疫O型/A型二价灭活疫苗可同步混合免疫,不仅安全有效,而且降低了猪群免疫负担和兽医免疫劳动强度,适合在临床中大面积推广应用。 相似文献
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Bazin H 《Comparative immunology, microbiology and infectious diseases》2003,26(5-6):293-308
Infectious diseases have always been a terrible scourge for humans. The appearance of these plagues, as they were called without distinction, was generally connected to various conditions: asters, climatic changes or religious reasons. The concept of contagious, and then infectious, diseases came slowly. Variolation, i.e. transmission of ‘virulent’ matter to induce a natural disease and the immunity against it, was brought from Constantinople to England by Lady Montague, in 1721. This ‘variolation’ technique was also often performed in veterinary medicine against diseases like sheep-pox or pleuropneumonia. As ‘vaccination’ is the term generally accepted for ‘immunisation’, variolation can be the word designating such a technique. The second period of the history of immunisation began, in 1880, with the studies of Pasteur and his collaborators. A great number of bacterial vaccines were developed: dead, live but attenuated or only parts of pathogens. The viruses were produced in animals, then in eggs and at last, in tissue cultures. Second generation vaccines appeared with genetic engineering: recombinant vaccines, vector vaccines, nucleic acids vaccines, and markers vaccines, among others. These novel technologies can permit the development of new ones and improve the quality of the vaccines already existing. 相似文献
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文章介绍了非洲猪瘟的流行史、病原特点、流行病学特征、临床症状,并提出了搭建整体性防控体系、加强疫苗研发等建议,以期为我国非洲猪瘟防控提供借鉴和参考。 相似文献
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Hernández-Jover M Cogger N Martin PA Schembri N Holyoake PK Toribio JA 《Preventive veterinary medicine》2011,100(3-4):171-186
Pigs are considered high risk for the introduction and spread of foot and mouth disease (FMD) in Australia. One of the most likely pathways of introduction of FMD into Australia would be through the illegal importation of FMD-contaminated meat, which is then fed to feral or domestic pigs. Locations where animals from different origins are commingled, such as livestock markets and abattoirs, pose a risk for disease spread. Early detection of exotic diseases at these locations is crucial in limiting the spread of an outbreak. The aims of this study were to evaluate the likelihood of exotic disease detection with current passive disease surveillance activities for pigs at saleyards and abattoirs in eastern Australia, and make recommendations for improving surveillance. Sensitivity (Se) of the current post-farm-gate passive surveillance for detection of exotic diseases was estimated using the scenario tree modelling methodology (Martin et al., 2007a). Four surveillance system components were identified: (i) domestic saleyard, (ii) export saleyard, (iii) domestic abattoir, and (iv) export abattoir. Pig farms were classified according to herd size (Small vs. Large) and subsequently into two risk categories depending on the probability of swill feeding (Swill feeding vs. Not swill feeding). A scenario tree representing the pathways by which infected animals could be detected was developed and the Se of detection in each surveillance system component was estimated. Industry statistics, information on previous exotic disease outbreaks, and interviews with pig producers were used to estimate herd category proportions and the relative risk of swill feeding. Quantitative estimates for probabilities of detection were sourced from State legislation and policies, stakeholder consultation and observational studies at saleyards and abattoirs. Results of a FMD case study showed a Se of detection at a representative location for each surveillance system component during a 2-week period of 0.19 at domestic saleyards, 0.40 at export saleyards, 0.32 at domestic abattoirs and, 0.53 at export abattoirs. This output assumed the country was infected with herd and unit design prevalences of 1% and 30%, respectively. Improving disease awareness of saleyard and abattoir stockmen, increasing the presence of inspectors at these venues and identifying those herds posing a higher risk for FMD introduction, could improve the capacity of the country for early detection of emerging animal diseases. 相似文献
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ASF（非洲猪瘟）是由ASFV（非洲猪瘟病毒）引起猪的一种烈性、急性、出血性传染病。ASFV基因组为双股线性DNA（170~190 kb）,可编码150~200种病毒,已报道ASFV的E165R基因与其复制相关,E165R编码的dUTPase蛋白结构已被解析。本文旨在利用软件和数据库对基因E165R的启动子进行生物信息学分析,进而分析其甲基化。首先,针对不同毒株的E165R启动子序列进行同源进化树分析,结果显示E165R启动子序列高度保守;然后,利用软件和数据库分析E165R启动子活性区域和转录因子,发现E165R启动子含有3个活性区域,启动子含有Sp1、c-Jun和C/EBPalp等6种转录因子,在Sp1、Oct-1和C/EBPalp结合序列上含有cg甲基化位点;最后,成功预测E165R启动子甲基化区域并设计了甲基化检测引物。本研究,首次从DNA甲基化角度出发,对ASFV的E165R基因启动子进行生物信息学分析,为下一步研究DNA甲基化影响ASFV的复制打下基础。 相似文献
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Horst HS 《Tijdschrift voor diergeneeskunde》1999,124(4):111-115
The paper describes the development of the Monte Carlo simulation model VIRiS (Virus Introduction Risk Simulation) and the results obtained with this model. VIRiS simulates the introduction of Classical Swine Fever (CSF) and Foot and Mouth Disease (FMD) into the Netherlands. The model is based on objective information (research, databases), complemented by expert knowledge. Various questionnaire techniques (Conjoint Analysis, ELI) were used in order to elicit the experts' estimates in an objective and quantitative way. VIRiS provides information on the number of primary outbreaks in a certain period, their geographic location, causative risk factor, and causative country (or region). The information provided by VIRiS in combination with the outcome of models describing the spread and economic consequences of epidemics provides a tool that can be used to evaluate prevention strategies for their ability to reduce annual losses due to outbreaks. 相似文献
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Wongsathapornchai K Salman MD Edwards JR Morley PS Keefe TJ Van Campen H Weber S 《American journal of veterinary research》2008,69(2):252-260
OBJECTIVE: To assess the likelihood of an introduction of foot-and-mouth disease (FMD) into the Malaysia-Thailand-Myanmar (MTM) peninsula through terrestrial movement of livestock. ANIMALS: 89,294 cattle and buffalo legally moved into the MTM peninsula. PROCEDURES: A quantitative risk assessment was conducted by use of a stochastic simulation. Patterns of livestock movement were ascertained through review of relevant governmental records and regulations and by interviewing farmers, traders, and local officers when the records did not exist. Parameters identified in the process were the probabilities of livestock having FMD and of FMD infection going undetected during import processes. The probability of an animal accepted for import having FMD was also assessed. Sensitivity analysis was performed to determine the effects that each parameter had on the model. RESULTS: The simulation yielded an average consignment prevalence of 10.95%. Typically, each animal in a quarantine facility had a 2.7% chance of having an inapparent form of FMD infection; hence, it was likely an animal would not be identified as infected. Findings revealed that the mean probability of an animal accepted for import having FMD was 2.9%, and the risk was as high as 11%. CONCLUSIONS AND CLINICAL RELEVANCE: Results of the model allowed for the evaluation of movement regulations currently imposed in the MTM peninsula. Evidence from the study suggested that current practices in animal movement were far from efficient in preventing introduction of FMD-infected animals into the MTM region, and additional measures will be necessary. 相似文献
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A.-M. Neeteson-van Nieuwenhoven J. Merks A. Bagnato A.-E. Liinamo 《Livestock Science》2006,103(3):282-291
Farm animal breeders are facing challenges. More and more powerful technologies are at their disposal for creating genetic change. At the same time, society is concerned about the impact of breeding practices and the use to which new technologies are being put. European breeders must compete in a global market. To meet these challenges, European farm animal breeders have conducted three projects to contribute to sustainable and transparent farm animal breeding and reproduction. In “Farm animal breeding and society”, an overview is presented of farm animal breeding in Europe and its technical, ethical, legal and consumer constraints and possibilities. In ‘SEFABAR’, European breeders, scientists and socio-economists have worked towards sustainable breeding and reproduction scenarios. In ‘CODE–EFABAR’, breeders aim to develop, with experts on ethics, communication and certification, and in close contact with NGOs, farmers' organisations and policy makers, a Code of Good Practice for farm animal breeding and reproduction organisations. Along this Code of Good Practice organisations will be able to explain their goals and practices to the public in a transparent way. This paper reviews these projects. 相似文献
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为了解广西地区口蹄疫(FMD)、猪瘟(CSF)、猪繁殖与呼吸综合征(PRRS)、猪伪狂犬病(PR)、布鲁氏菌病和小反刍兽疫(PPR)等重大动物疫病的免疫动态、疫情流行风险,按照国家动物疫病定点监测实施方案相关要求,2016—2018年运用ELISA和实时荧光定量PCR方法,对玉林市和百色市20个定点监测场点的猪、牛、羊开展病原学监测和抗体监测。病原监测结果显示:2016—2018年,未在牛羊群中检出FMD、PPR病原;2016年和2017年CSF病原检出率均为0.38%;3年内均有PRRS病原检出,检出率介于1.89%~6.32%。抗体检测结果显示:2016—2018年,猪O型FMD、CSF、PRRS和PR-gB抗体阳性率均在70%以上,A型FMD抗体阳性率逐年上升,NSP抗体和PR-gE抗体阳性率呈波动状变化;牛O型FMD抗体阳性率分别为94.78%、18.26%、71.11%,亚洲I型分别为76.52%、25.22%、27.78%,NSP抗体阳性率在22.61%~41.74%之间波动;仅2016年检出1份牛布鲁氏菌抗体阳性;3年间,羊O型、亚洲I型FMD和PPR免疫抗体阳性率都很低,未达到70%,且呈下降趋势,NSP抗体阳性率在0.95%~7.62%之间波动,未检出羊布鲁氏菌抗体。结果表明,广西玉林市和百色市的猪群O型FMD、CSF、PRRS、PR免疫效果较好,但牛羊群FMD和PPR免疫效果较差,猪群中仍有CSF、PRRS、PR等疫病流行,牛羊群中存在FMD流行的风险,但牛羊布鲁氏菌病得到有效控制。结果提示,应继续加强上述疫病的免疫和监测,针对免疫效果较差、病原流行率偏高的疫病,要重点做好防控和净化。 相似文献
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Premashthira S Salman MD Hill AE Reich RM Wagner BA 《Animal health research reviews / Conference of Research Workers in Animal Diseases》2011,12(2):225-234
Foot-and-mouth disease (FMD) is one of the most serious transboundary, contagious viral diseases of cloven-hoofed livestock, because it can spread rapidly with high morbidity rates when introduced into disease-free herds or areas. Epidemiological simulation modeling can be developed to study the hypothetical spread of FMD and to evaluate potential disease control strategies that can be implemented to decrease the impact of an outbreak or to eradicate the virus from an area. Spatial analysis, a study of the distributions of events in space, can be applied to an area to investigate the spread of animal disease. Hypothetical FMD outbreaks can be spatially analyzed to evaluate the effect of the event under different control strategies. The main objective of this paper is to review FMD-related articles on FMD epidemiology, epidemiological simulation modeling and spatial analysis with the focus on disease control. This review will contribute to the development of models used to simulate FMD outbreaks under various control strategies, and to the application of spatial analysis to assess the outcome of FMD spread and its control. 相似文献
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After the foot-and-mouth disease (FMD) outbreak in 2001 the Dutch government implemented movement-prevention regulations to reduce the number of contacts between farms and consequently the risk of spread of highly contagious animal infections in the future. We studied the efficacy of these regulations by comparing registered cattle-movement data from 2000 to those from 2002. We also used the spatial and stochastic simulation model InterFMD to evaluate the consequences of the observed alterations in cattle-contact structure on the spread and control of a FMD epidemic.
There was a significant decrease in the number of cattle movements “for live use”, no difference in the number of group movements “for live use” and a distinct change in the overall contact structure. The most important structure changes were a decrease in the number of group movements from dairy farms to cattle-collection centres (−44%), and an increase in the number of group movements from dairy farms to beef farms (111%).
Our simulations demonstrated that the implemented regulations result in a concentration of the FMD-affected area and therefore in a reduction in size of the epidemics. Based on the intended Dutch strategy to control future FMD outbreaks, the decrease in extreme epidemics (95th percentiles) went from 31 infected farms in an epidemic-length of 65 days to 8 infected farms in an epidemic-length of 53 days in sparsely populated areas. In densely populated areas this decrease went from 135 infected farms to 103, while the duration reduced from 88 days to 81. 相似文献
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Moreira AR Paolicchi F Morsella C Zumarraga M Cataldi A Fabiana B Alicia A Piet O van Soolingen D Isabel RM 《Veterinary microbiology》1999,70(3-4):251-259
Sixty-one Mycobacterium avium subsp. paratuberculosis isolates from cattle and deer from the Buenos Aires province, an important livestock region in Argentina, were typed by restriction fragment length polymorphisms (RFLP) analysis based on IS900. Four different RFLP patterns (designated ‘A’, ‘B’, ‘C’ and ‘E’) were identified in BstEII digests of genomic DNA. The most frequently observed type, pattern ‘A’, was found in 46 isolates (75%). The second, pattern ‘E’, included 8 isolates (13%), while the third, pattern ‘B’, included 6 isolates (10%). Pattern ‘C’ was found for only one isolate. All of the deer isolates were classified as pattern ‘A’, while cattle isolates represented all four RFLP patterns. Twenty-one isolates representing the four different BstEII-RFLP patterns were digested with PstI. Twenty isolates showed identical PstI-RFLP pattern. BstEII-RFLP patterns from Argentine cattle and deer were compared with patterns found in cattle, goat, deer, rabbit, and human isolates from Europe. The most common pattern in Argentina, pattern ‘A’, was identical to a less frequently occurring pattern R9 (C17) from Europe. The other Argentine patterns ‘B’, ‘C’ and ‘E’, were not found in the Europe. These results indicate that the distribution of M. avium subsp. paratuberculosis genotypes in the Buenos Aires province of Argentina is different from that found in Europe. 相似文献
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Cattle transfers between herds under paratuberculosis surveillance in The Netherlands are not random
Weber MF van Roermund HJ Vernooij JC Kalis CH Stegeman JA 《Preventive veterinary medicine》2006,76(3-4):222-236
The rate and structure of cattle transfers between 206 Dutch cattle herds with a ‘Mycobacterium avium subsp. paratuberculosis (Map)-free’ status by November 2002, were analyzed over a 3-year period (November 1999–November 2002). Of the 206 ‘Map-free’ herds, 184 were closed herds during the period studied. In total, 280 cattle had been introduced into 22 herds at an average rate of 0.33 animals per year per 100 cattle present in the 206 herds. Assuming a random herd-contact structure, the observed rate of cattle transfers between certified ‘Map-free’ herds was sufficiently low to relax the surveillance scheme to biennial herd examinations by pooled fecal culture of all cattle ≥2 years of age.
The cattle transfers were not randomly distributed over the herds. Forty-four of the 280 cattle originated from 12 other ‘Map-free’ herds. The other 236 cattle did not originate from a ‘Map-free’ herd and were introduced into a herd before it obtained the ‘Map-free’ status. No cattle were introduced into any of the ‘Map-free’ herds from which cattle were transferred to other ‘Map-free’ herds. Thus, continued propagation of the infection by cattle transfers was impossible in the group of herds studied during the study period. Therefore the surveillance scheme may be further relaxed, and may be differentiated regarding the risk herds pose to other herds. 相似文献
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Foot-and-mouth disease (FMD) is a highly contagious and transboundary viral disease of domesticated and wild cloven-hoofed animals. The present study summarizes the knowledge generated from the epidemiology, diagnosis, and surveillance of the disease in the Maghreb (2014–2015) in assessing its threat to southern European countries. Currently, two serotypes of the FMD virus (O and SAT-2) and four lineages are circulating in the Maghreb region. The introduction of serotype SAT-2 in Libya and Mauritania in 2012 and 2015 respectively sets their neighbors and subsequently south European countries at constant risk of FMD re-emergence. The potential pathways of FMD introduction to southern European countries from the Maghreb are the illegal introduction of infected animals and animal products, particularly meat or meat products carried by refugees.
相似文献18.
J. Callesen D. Halas F. Thorup K.E. Bach Knudsen J.C. Kim B.P. Mullan R.H. Wilson J.R. Pluske 《Livestock Science》2007,108(1-3):117-119
The effects of weaning age, type of creep diet and the classification of piglets as ‘eaters’ or ‘non eaters’ of creep feed on weight gain to weaning were examined. Four antimicrobial-free diets were offered from day 14 of lactation: (i) wheat-soy based diet with animal and vegetable (‘mixed’) protein sources (COMM), (ii) heat-processed rice (HPR) with barley hulls and potato starch and mixed protein sources (RBPS), (iii) HPR with sugar-beet pulp and mixed protein sources (RSBP), and (iv) HPR with mixed protein sources (R). Pigs were weaned at an average of either 27 (early) or 33 (late) days of age. A dye (indigo carmine) was added to each diet at day 24 of lactation in both groups to classify piglets as ‘eaters’ or ‘non eaters’ of creep feed, based on appearance or non-appearance, respectively, of dye in faeces. Pigs weaned late weighed 1.4 kg more (P < 0.001). Weaning age interacted with diet type and eating classification for weaning weight (P < 0.001). Of the 1067 piglets where classification of the faecal dye was possible, 829 (77.7%) were ‘eaters’ and 238 (22.3%) were ‘non eaters’. This qualitative estimate of creep feed consumption did not influence weight gain to weaning (P > 0.05). 相似文献
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非洲猪瘟（ASF）是由非洲猪瘟病毒（ASFV）引起的一种的热性、斑疹性、高度接触性的猪传染病。世界首例ASF于1909年在非洲肯尼亚被发现。由于其传染性强,且发病后致死率高,给生猪养殖带来极大的危害,且严重影响了畜牧经济的发展。特别是在全球禁抗背景下,提高猪只免疫力成为防控ASF的重要环节。文章就ASF特征、临床表现,就如何在禁抗下提高猪免疫力提出一些建议。 相似文献