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Diameter distribution models for even-aged Eucalyptus grandis plantations in Zimbabwe were developed using the two-parameter Weibull function. The analysis was based on data from Correlated Curve Trend (CCT) experiments replicated on four different sites. Parameters of the Weibull distribution were predicted using stand characteristics as regressors. Two sets of parameter models were estimated: a set with and one without stand basal area as a predictor. Stand variables such as dominant height, age, site index and number of stems were used in both sets. The models were further calibrated to result in a given number of stems and stand basal area simultaneously. The usability of constructed models was tested both in prediction of yield in a stand inventory situation and in simulation of growth in connection with different growth models. The results indicated that models not including stand basal area produce considerably less precise stand volume estimates compared to models including also stand basal area. Calibration improved the accuracy of diameter distribution models. In growth simulation diameter distribution models can be connected both to single tree growth models and to stand projection models. The usability of calibration in growth simulation depends on the accuracy of the prediction of stand characteristics. 相似文献
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Fernando Castedo-Dorado Ulises Diéguez-Aranda Juan Gabriel Álvarez-González 《Annals of Forest Science》2007,64(4):453-465
A dynamic whole-stand growth model for radiata pine (Pinus radiata D. Don) stands in north-western Spain is presented. In this model, the initial stand conditions at any point in time are defined by three state variables (number of trees per hectare, stand basal area and dominant height), and are used to estimate total or merchantable stand volume for a given projection age. The model uses three transition functions derived with the generalized algebraic difference approach (GADA) to project the corresponding stand state variables at any particular time. These equations were fitted using the base-age-invariant dummy variables method. In addition, the model incorporates a function for predicting initial stand basal area, which can be used to establish the starting point for the simulation. Once the state variables are known for a specific moment, a distribution function is used to estimate the number of trees in each diameter class by recovering the parameters of the Weibull function, using the moments of first and second order of the distribution. By using a generalized height-diameter function to estimate the height of the average tree in each diameter class, combined with a taper function that uses the above predicted diameter and height, it is then possible to estimate total or merchantable stand volume. 相似文献
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Vindhya Prasad Tewari 《林业研究》2010,21(1):13-18
对用于评价印度拉贾斯坦邦热带干旱区沙漠柚木极限林分密度的公式进行了研究。对5个不同密度的林分基面积预测模型进行测试和比较,这些模型属非线性生长函数的轨迹不变量代数差形式。这些模型可根据林分变量,如优势高／公顷、立木数／公顷,预测林分基面积,还可用于评估不同造林方案。利用所收集的22块样地的数据建立模型。使用各种可能的树龄数据结构,用定性和定量标准比较了这些替代模型。使用Akaike信息准则差异统计来分析各种模型的预测能力。结果表明：Hui和Gadow提出的模型预测效果最好,推荐在本研究区域内使用该模型来预测沙漠柚木林分基面积。但是,此模型并未使用间伐林分数据,因此,不能准确地预测林木有明显自然死亡的林分基面积。 相似文献
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Whole-stand models normally require data on initial stand basal area and dominant height. Dominant height measurements are time-consuming and often imprecise, compromising subsequent predictions. Poplar plantations provide a special case where basal area correlates with site index; a whole-stand model could thus be based on stand basal area. We report a static model constructed by the generalized algebraic difference approach (GADA) for poplar plantations for three different hybrid poplars (Populus × euramericana (Dode) Guinier “I-214”, “MC”, and “Luisa Avanzo”) in northeast Spain. The transition function was based on current stand basal area and was fitted with data from 158 permanent plots ranging from 1- to 17-year-old plantations. Merchantable stand volume was estimated by a volume equation where height was predicted by a height–basal area relationship based on 458 temporary plots. The model differences between clones were compared using the nonlinear extra sum of squares method. Significant differences were detected, while Luisa Avanzo presented the highest merchantable volume at the end of the rotation. Errors in basal area predictions were below 20% within 6 years in the case of Luisa Avanzo and MC clones, and within 3 years in the case of I-214. Our research showed that satisfactory predictions can be obtained using GADA with a single transition function based on an easily measurable variable such as stand basal area. 相似文献
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《Southern Forests》2013,75(3):207-214
This study presents an application of a stand table projection method for varying stand densities of Eucalyptus grandis in South Africa. The projections of diameter at breast height (dbh) class frequencies are compatible with future values of basal area and stem number per hectare. The application requires an individual tree dbh growth function, a current stand table, and estimates of future basal area, and tree survival. The resulting stand table is adjusted by an algorithm that guarantees that the future stand table is compatible either with observed or predicted values of basal area and stem number per hectare. The results, based on a relatively small experimental dataset, are satisfactory. However, further work based on a larger dataset is required to evaluate the general suitability of the method for stand table projection of Eucalyptus grandis in South Africa, especially regarding variable site conditions. The particular contribution of this study is the fact that we were able to demonstrate the suitability of the Nepal and Somers stand table projection method for a unique dataset from a very densitysensitive Correlated Curve Trend spacing trial. We also made an attempt to present a comprehensive example of a projection to facilitate practical application of this method in the KwaZulu-Natal coastal plain of South Africa. 相似文献
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《Forest Ecology and Management》1997,97(1):63-72
Models for predicting tree height were constructed for Scots pine (Pinus sylvestris), Norway spruce (Picea abies) and pubescent birch (Betula pubescens). The data consisted of two separate sets of permanent sample plots forming a representative sample of drained peatland stands in the whole country. A logarithmic height-diameter curve with one nonlinear parameter specific to each tree species was applied. It was assumed that the intercept and slope of the curve would vary randomly from stand to stand. Stand characteristics were used to predict the mean intercept and slope. A nonhomogeneous variance of the residual error was modelled as a function of tree diameter. A mixed linear model technique was applied to fit the models. The diameter of the tree of the median basal area, stand basal area, geographical location of the stand, and site quality were used as fixed independent variables in explaining the variation in the intercept. The diameter of the tree of the median basal area and the stand basal area were used in explaining the variation in the slope. 相似文献
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利用海南文昌2005年森林资源二类调查的木麻黄工业原料林样地资料,通过参数置换法,构建了以优势高模型为基础,以断面积预估为中心,将蓄积量作为目标变量的生长与收获模型系统。结果表明：组成模型系统的各模型的拟合精度较高,各模型的预估值与观测值差异不显著,适应性较好,能对木麻黄的优势高、断面积和蓄积量生长进行正确预估,可用于研究区木麻黄工业原料林的生长与收获预估。研究方法为一次性调查数据生长模型及类似模型的研建提供了经验和借鉴,并为当前缺少长期定位观测数据和大量解析木数据的森林经营单位编制森林经营方案提供了理论基础。 相似文献
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杉木人工林可变密度的全林分模型及其应用研究 总被引：3，自引：1，他引：2
以林分年龄、地位指数SI、林分密度指数SDI为输入变量 ,从模型间的相容性出发 ,建立了杉木人工林可变密度的全林分模型。着重探讨了用Richards方程构造林分断面积生长模型时 ,有关参数与SI和SDI的关系 ,分析了SDI的变化规律 ,采用名义年龄法建立了SDI的动态预估模型 ,最后 ,给出了应用可变密度的全林分模型模拟林分自然生长过程的实例 相似文献
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应用面板数据固定效应模型对杉木人工林单木断面积生长规律进行模拟,在模拟过程中,将胸径(DBH)和活冠比例(LCR)作为自变量,又分别加入密度因子和不同类型的竞争指数,同时引入立地条件和林龄效应来解释单木断面积生长过程中的异质性。结果表明:虽然密度因子与竞争指数有较强的相关性,但是在单木断面积生长中都具有不可忽略的重要影响。立地条件与林龄对单木断面积的拟合偏差在不同的林分密度下略有不同,随立地指数或者林龄增加,其对平均单木断面积拟合偏差的影响也增大。 相似文献
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[目的]建立湖南省楠木次生林林分断面积与蓄积相容性生长收获预估模型,为林分的生长预测和经营决策提供理论依据.[方法]以湖南省1989—2014年6期一类清查样地中的楠木次生林为研究对象,建立其林分断面积和蓄积生长的联立方程组,在此基础上,加入样地效应,构建基于混合效应的联立方程系统.[结果]基础模型包括3个含林分变量的... 相似文献
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This paper describes a growth projection model derived for a selectively cut-over dipterocarp forest in Northern Luzon, The Philippines. In developing the model, different variations of the general functional relationship between stand yield as a dependent variable and initial basal area, site quality and time as explanatory variables were tested. The final form of the functional relationship is a linear model involving the logarithm of stand yield as a function of the logarithm of the initial basal area and time, and the ratio of site quality and time. A set of abstracted time series data from sample plots based on actual logging settings was used. Time was expressed in terms of the number of years elapsed after logging operations. A site indicator for the selectively cut-over dipterocarp forest was developed using the average total height of the dominant and codominant dipterocarp trees which were left after logging. 相似文献
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Sun Hong-gang Zhang Jian-guo Duan Ai-guo He Cai-yun 《中国林学(英文版)》2007,9(1):85-94
Growth and yield modeling has a long history in forestry. The methods of measuring the growth of stand basal area have evolved from those developed in the U.S.A. and Germany during the last century. Stand basal area modeling has progressed rapidly since the first widely used model was published by the U.S. Forest Service. Over the years, a variety of models have been developed for predicting the growth and yield of uneven/even-aged stands using stand-level approaches. The modeling methodology has not only moved from an empirical approach to a more ecological process-based approach but also accommodated a variety of techniques such as: 1) simultaneous equation methods, 2) difference models, 3) artificial neural network techniques, 4) linear/nonlinear regres-sion models, and 5) matrix models. Empirical models using statistical methods were developed to reproduce accurately and precisely field observations. In contrast, process models have a shorter history, developed originally as research and education tools with the aim of increasing the understanding of cause and effect relationships. Empirical and process models can be married into hybrid mod-els in which the shortcomings of both component approaches can, to some extent, be overcome. Algebraic difference forms of stand basal area models which consist of stand age, stand density and site quality can fully describe stand growth dynamics. This paper reviews the current literature regarding stand basal area models, discusses the basic types of models and their merits and outlines recent progress in modeling growth and dynamics of stand basal area. Future trends involving algebraic difference forms, good fitting variables and model types into stand basal area modeling strategies are discussed. 相似文献
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利用黑龙江省孟家岗林场长白落叶松人工林间伐标准地定位观测数据,其于间伐林分断面积与相同年龄、相同立地、相同保留木株数的未间伐林分面积,随时间趋于一致的假设,根据未间伐人工林林分断面积生长的一般预测模型导出了间伐林分的断面积生长预测模型,同时,结合抚育间伐技术批示的确定,进行和林分的动态模拟。 相似文献
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以江西杉木人工林为例,以Korf型、Richards型和Hossfeld型3种模型为基础,通过广义代数差分法(GADA)分别建立杉木林分断面积生长模型。结果表明:以Richards型为基础的杉木林分断面积预测精度最高,以Richards型模型为最优模型,分别基于贝叶斯法和传统法(非线性最小二乘法)估计杉木林分断面积生长模型。研究发现,利用贝叶斯法估计杉木林分断面积生长模型,预测精度相当且预测值的可靠性比传统法好。 相似文献
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Felipe Crecente-Campo Paula Soares Margarida Tomé Ulises Diéguez-Aranda 《Forest Ecology and Management》2010
An individual-tree growth model was developed with data from 54 permanent plots of Scots pine (Pinus sylvestris L.) located in Galicia (northwestern Spain). The study involved two model fitting approaches, one considering constant growth and mortality rates in the period between two consecutive inventories, and another considering variable growth and mortality rates in the same period. The individual-tree growth model was based on annual basal area growth, height growth and survival probability. The model included variables from groups pertaining to tree size, competition and age. Weighted regression was used as a tool for dealing with missing height observations in model fitting. Evaluation of the model via simulation of growth and mortality in the period between inventories showed that the variable growth rate approach provided slightly better results than the constant growth rate approach. The final model was consistent with expected diameter growth, height growth, dominant height growth, stand basal area growth and reduction in number of stems per hectare. 相似文献