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1.
【目的】为综合评价华北落叶松参试家系的速生丰产性、稳定性及各试验地点的区分力和代表性,利用基因型主效加基因型-环境互作效应(GGE)双标图对2017年度华北落叶松区域试验中参试家系的生长数据进行分析。【方法】基于冀北地区4个试验地点26个华北落叶松家系的胸径数据,首先拟合3个线性混合效应模型,各个模型均具有相同的固定效应(“地点”和“地点中的区组”)和残差方差结构(行、列自回归AR1×AR1,以进行空间分析),其中,模型1为随机效应中包含2个公因子的因子分析模型(FA模型),模型2、3分别为随机效应里不含测量误差以及包含测量误差的非结构化矩阵模型(US模型);基于AIC信息准则选出一个最优模型,之后利用最佳线性无偏预测(BLUP)法得到各家系在各地点的胸径BLUP数据;基于胸径BLUP数据做GGE双标图分析,对华北落叶松家系和试验地点进行评价。【结果】基于AIC信息准则,模型3(空间变异结合包含测量误差的非结构化矩阵模型(US模型))被选为最优模型;基于胸径BLUP数据的GGE双标图的前2个主成分的方差解释百分比之和为92.4%,表明结果可靠;4个试验地点被分成2组,地点L1(张家口赤城马营沟)、地点L3(张家口沽源柳条沟)和地点L4(承德围场查字)为一组(以111号家系的胸径最大),地点L2(承德围场御道口)为一组(以78号家系的胸径最大),相对而言,地点L3(张家口沽源柳条沟)能更有效地选择速生丰产且稳定的家系;各家系在不同试验地点上的表现有所不同,总体而言,26个华北落叶松家系中,111号的胸径(产量)最大,接着是78、72、82、76、59、100、77、56、86、96等系号,胸径(产量)最小的是1号,97、116、53、35、46、66和49号等家系的胸径(产量)也较低,68和42号家系的胸径(产量)接近总体均值;96、86、100和76号是速生丰产且稳定的家系,速生丰产家系111、72、56号的稳定性居中,速生丰产家系78、82和77号的稳定性中等偏下,而速生丰产家系59号则不稳定。【结论】模型3(空间变异结合包含测量误差的非结构化矩阵模型(US模型))较另外2个模型而言,结果更为可靠。地点L3(张家口沽源柳条沟)既具高区分力,又具高代表性,能更有效地评价家系。家系96、86、100和76号兼具速生性、丰产性和稳定性,可被广泛推广。基于BLUP的GGE双标图能有效应用于华北落叶松家系及试验地点的评价,本研究可为冀北地区华北落叶松的家系选择和应用提供决策支持。  相似文献   

2.
A provenance trial of Michelia chapensis Dandy in the south of China was carried out in three sites to assess yield and stability analyses. The trials were conducted as randomized, complete block designs with four replications at each site. Additive main effects and multiplicative interaction(AMMI) and genotype main effect and genotype 9 environment interaction(GGE) were employed in the evaluation of provenances; AMMI analyses showed that significant genotype 9 environment interaction effects(P \ 0.05) existed between provenances, capturing 15.11 % of the total sum of squares. The AMMI stability value revealed that provenance 2 was stable, but had low yield. GGE-biplot models showed that provenances 7, 8, 10, and 11 were more stable and highyielding. The GGE results also confirmed that among the three sites, site Jiu Qu Shui was the most ideal environment for representation and discrimination.  相似文献   

3.
林元震 《林业科学》2019,(5):142-151
我国是全球第一大木材进口国和第二大木材消费国,木材对外依存度已连续多年超过50%。然而,我国每公顷森林年均生长量约为林业发达国家水平的一半,这说明我国林木育种水平与林业发达国家相比仍有较大差距。因此,加强林木的规模化试验与精准遗传评估,通过林木良种的精确选育与推广对提高我国人工林的生产力水平具有重要意义。基因型与环境互作是林木规模化试验与精准遗传评估的重要环节之一。基因型与环境互作(G×E)是指基因型的相对表现在不同环境下缺乏稳定性,表现为不同环境下基因型排序变化或基因型间差别不恒定。现有研究证实,林木G×E很普遍且通常很大,要找到具有广泛适应性的优良基因型往往较困难。由于G×E会减小遗传力和遗传增益,因此了解G×E效应及其驱动环境因子,对育种设计、良种选育和种苗配置至关重要。本文归纳了目前研究G×E的主流分析方法(包括因子分析法、BLUP-GGE联合分析法)和遗传力的估算方法,也比较了这些G×E分析方法(包括稳定性分析、B型遗传相关、AMMI分析、GGE双标法、因子分析法和BLUP-GGE联合分析法)的优缺点,其次综述了全球重要经济树种(湿地松、火炬松、欧洲云杉、巨桉、辐射松、花旗松,等)近年来在生长性状(胸径、树高、材积,等)、形质性状(通直度、分枝角度、分枝大小,等)和材性性状(木材密度、弹性模量,等)的G×E研究进展,进而讨论了林木G×E的环境驱动因子及其应对策略,最后针对林木G×E研究新方法开发、加强多性状的G×E分析以及将基因组选择融入G×E分析方面对未来研究方向提出建议:1)新的林木遗传分析模型与G×E分析的联合应用;2)林木多环境、多性状的G×E的模式和幅度;3)特定环境的林木基因组育种值的精准估计。  相似文献   

4.
A provenance trial of Michelia chapensis Dandy in the south of China was carried out in three sites to assess yield and stability analyses. The trials were conducted as randomized, complete block designs with four replications at each site. Additive main effects and multiplicative interaction (AMMI) and genotype main effect and genotype × environment interaction (GGE) were employed in the evaluation of provenances; AMMI analyses showed that significant genotype × environment interaction effects (P < 0.05) existed between provenances, capturing 15.11 % of the total sum of squares. The AMMI stability value revealed that provenance 2 was stable, but had low yield. GGE-biplot models showed that provenances 7, 8, 10, and 11 were more stable and high-yielding. The GGE results also confirmed that among the three sites, site JiuQuShui was the most ideal environment for representation and discrimination.  相似文献   

5.
分别用最佳线性无偏预测和最佳线性预测方法预测了泡桐属植物的育种值。结果表明,根据亲缘相关距阵对育种值的最佳线性无偏预测结果没有显著影响:数据量较大时,可用小区平均值取代单株值,同时也可用最佳线性预测代替最佳线性无偏预测方法预测育种值;预测育种值与真正育种值之间的相关系数与预测育种值之间的方法或误差方差存在极显著的相关关系,可用前者作预测育种值的精度指标。通过比较毛泡桐种源所预测育种值之间的方差和误差方差可以得出:在对研究材料评选时,最佳线性预测比最小平方估算法具有优越性,但当重复数大于5次,每个小区内的植株多于6时,这两种预测方法的精度非常接近。  相似文献   

6.
《Southern Forests》2013,75(3-4):155-163
Collinearity potentially has a negative impact on the prediction of genetic gains in tree breeding programs. This study investigated the reliability and impact of best linear unbiased prediction (BLUP) using various collinearity mitigation techniques and of two computational numerical precisions on the genetic gains in breeding populations. Multiple-trait, multiple-trial BLUP selection scenarios were run on Eucalyptus grandis (F1 F2 and F3) and Pinus patula (F1 and F2) data, comparing predicted breeding values of parents (forward prediction) with those realised in progeny (backward prediction of parents). Numeric precision had an impact on intergenerational correlations of BLUPs of some scenarios, indicating that it may not always be optimal to use higher precision when there is collinearity in the data. The relative difference in genetic gains between techniques varied by up to 0.38 standard deviation units in the less-stable pine population. This highlights the potentially large impact that instability can have on the efficiency of a breeding programme. BLUP performed close to expected in the relatively stable (less collinear) population (eucalypt F.,), and performed poorly in the other two populations. In the unstable pine data, some of the techniques resulted in improved intergenerational correlations coming in line with expected performance. This study indicates that BLUP can perform as expected and also confirms the potential problem of instability and consequences thereof. BLUP users should examine the nature of the population of predicted values and should these be outside expectation, various mitigation techniques should be explored.  相似文献   

7.
运用BLUP模型对不同林龄尾叶桉家系进行家系和个体遗传值评估,同时进行了主成分分析。结果表明:不同林龄尾叶桉自由授粉家系在树高、胸径、单株材积上存在显著的差异。不同林龄家系遗传力存在着差异,其中家系遗传力大于单株遗传力。随着林龄的增大,树高、胸径和材积在家系遗传力和单株遗传力上均呈现先缓慢增大、后逐步变小的趋势。早晚性状之间存在显著相关性。尾叶桉家系选择可从第3年开始。根据主成分分析获得综合性状权重,利用秩次排名得分,选出优良家系。  相似文献   

8.
以汤旺河林业局1988年和2008年两期林相图、地形图和森林经理调查数据为基础资料,利用地理信息系统软件ArcGIS9构建两期森林资源空间数据库,运用叠加分析法对6种地类、7种林型和2种起源的森林资源的空间消长情况进行研究的结果表明:1988--'2008年,有林地作为该地区的优势景观要素,面积增加了9.38%;红松林...  相似文献   

9.
土壤水分含量是对地表生态过程有着重要影响的生态因子,在三峡库区生态环境保护中具有重要作用。选取三峡库区典型植被类型杉木、马尾松混交林(A)和马尾松纯林(B),通过网格(3.00 m×3.00 m)取样,地统计学方法研究群落(30.00 m×30.00 m)0.00 - 20.00 cm土壤水分的空间特征。结果表明:(1)两种典型植物群落土壤含水量空间变异性不同,样地A和样地B土壤含水量的变异系数分别表现出弱和中等强度的变异性;(2)两种典型植物群落土壤水分具有良好的半方差结构,半方差函数曲线可以用球状模型进行拟合。土壤水分的空间相关范围存在明显的差异,有效变程分别为51.00 m和12.37 m;土壤水分分布格局呈明显的斑块状分布;(3)在本研究区域内,植被、地形和地貌等是影响土壤含水量空间异质性的主要因素。  相似文献   

10.
Two series of experiments with Pinus sylvestris L., 10 and 20 years old, were analysed with regard to genotype‐environment interaction. The series cover a wide range of site conditions with regard to length of growing season, environmental differences within localities and spacing between trees. The genetic material comes from factorial crosses in one of the series and a mixture of full‐sib, half‐sib and provenance material in the other. The origin of the parents is south‐central Sweden, and the trials cover approximately the same geographical range as the parent trees. Despite few replicates and large experimental error, the following conclusions could be drawn: (a) genotype‐environment interaction for Pinus sylvestris in south‐central Sweden seems to be of importance for growth capacity, but the reaction differs between young and old plant stages; (b) the origin of the genetic material, as long as it is restricted to south‐central Sweden, does not seem to have any significant effect on genotype‐environment interaction; (c) a large part of the interaction seems to be explained by a linear relationship between the genotypes and an environmental index.  相似文献   

11.

Context

The gain in accuracy of breeding values with the use of single trial spatial analysis is well known in forestry. However, spatial analyses methodology for single forest genetic trials must be adapted for use with combined analyses of forest genetic trials across sites.

Aims

This paper extends a methodology for spatial analysis of single forest genetic trial to a multi-environment trial (MET) setting.

Methods

A two-stage spatial MET approach using an individual-tree model with additive and full-sib family genetic effects was developed. Dispersion parameters were estimated using Bayesian techniques via Gibbs sampling. The procedure is illustrated using height growth data at age 10 from eight large Tsuga heterophylla (Raf.) Sarg. second-generation full-sib progeny trials from two series established across seven sites in British Columbia (Canada) and on one in Washington (USA).

Results

The proposed multi-environment spatial mixed model displayed a consistent reduction of the posterior mean and an increase in the precision of error variances $ \left( {\sigma _{e}^{2}} \right) $ than the model with ??sets in replicates?? or incomplete block alpha designs. Also, the multi-environment spatial model provided an average increase in the posterior means of the narrow- and broad-sense individual-tree heritabilities (h N 2 and h B 2 , respectively). No consistent changes were observed in the posterior means of additive genetic correlations (r Ajj??).

Conclusion

Although computationally demanding, all dispersion parameters were successfully estimated from the proposed multi-environment spatial individual-tree model using Bayesian techniques via Gibbs sampling. The proposed two-stage spatial MET approach produced better results than the commonly used nonspatial MET analysis.  相似文献   

12.
卞立平 《林业研究》1996,7(3):66-72
Traditionallykraftwasusedaslinerforlinerboard.Thekrafpulpingyieldwaslow,andairpollutionhigh.SomeresearcheshaveshownthattheyieldofAS-AQpulpwasmuchhigherthanthatofkraft,andthestrengthwasequaltothatofkraft,exceptforasome-whatlowertearstrength.Thewashingprofi-clencyofAS-AQpulpwashigherandairpol-lutionwasmuchlowerthanthoseofkraft.SoAS-AQpulpwasthoughtasapromisingre-placementofkraftforlinerboard.lntheresearchPinuskoraiensiSandLarljgmehniwereusedasrawmaterials,withtheL,(3')experimentaldesignan…  相似文献   

13.
Forty wildtype isolates of Sphaeropsis sapinea were grouped into the morphotypes A and B based on previously defined differences in cultural and morphological criteria as well as restriction sites for Dde I and Bst UI endonucleases in nuclear ribosomal DNA amplicons. Thirteen of 20 type A isolates and nine of 20 type B isolates contained detectable dsRNA (55%) of different molecular weight and size. dsRNA was transmitted into conidia at a frequency of 71–100%. By selecting single conidia, dsRNA‐free subcultures were obtained from six of 22 isolates containing dsRNA. Pathogenicity tests on expanding buds of landscape trees of three species of Pinus showed highly significant statistical interactions between isolate virulence, Pinus species, and year. Pine species‐year had a profound impact on virulence. The pattern in the interactions was revealed by principal component analysis of the interaction sums of squares of the anova (Additive Main Effects and Multiplicative Interaction; AMMI). Pinus sylvestris was highly interactive in its susceptibility to S. sapinea with seasonal effects. P. nigra and P. resinosa were more stable. The interactivity analysis was used to apportion interaction to specific isolates to improve the accuracy of the estimates of virulence. Estimates of the relative virulence of isolates were predicted over five different Pinus species‐years. Isolates were ranked in virulence and interactivity using the AMMI model. This model permitted mean separation tests of the relative virulence among isolates over the combined Pinus species‐years. One isolate was identified as potentially having dsRNA‐mediated hypovirulence based on the significantly greater virulence of its isogenic, dsRNA‐free subculture, as expressed over the three Pinus species and 2 years. Type A isolates containing dsRNA ranged from stable to highly interactive and from low to high in virulence. Type B isolates containing dsRNA were similar in interactivity but virulence ranged from avirulent to moderate, seldom exceeding the mean for S. sapinea. dsRNA‐free isogenic subcultures tended not to express higher virulence than their dsRNA‐containing parent strains but often changed in interactivity. Therefore, in one year a dsRNA‐free subculture might be more virulent than its dsRNA‐containing parent. In another year the dsRNA‐free subculture might be less virulent.  相似文献   

14.
矢量竞争分析法是一种用于评价存在相同资源竞争的两种植物种之间的生长和营养交互作用的图形分析方法 .它基于矢量分析和线性分析 ,将代表生物量和营养吸收值的参数相对于无种间竞争的对照在一个两维的坐标系内表达为矢量并进行定位比较 .应用该方法对北京西山地区的 4 4年生人工混交林中油松和侧柏树种间生长和营养 (N ,P和K)吸收状况进行了比较和分析 .研究表明虽然混交有利于侧柏生物量的相对增加 ,但伴随有植物体内营养元素的相对亏缺 .相反 ,混交对油松生物量和高、径生长的抑制作用却伴随有营养元素吸收相对过剩 .以上结果表明矢量竞争分析可用于正确地揭示混交林树种之间营养交互作用  相似文献   

15.
依据2020年在澜沧江流域分层抽样调查的120个云南松样地数据,提取云南松群落数据和地形因子数据,采用典型对应分析法研究澜沧江流域云南松群落的分布与海拔、坡向和坡度的相关关系。结果表明,地形因子中对澜沧江流域云南松群落分布影响较大的因子为海拔,其次为坡度,坡向对云南松林分布的影响较小。  相似文献   

16.
Throughfall varies in space, which complicates measurements and makes it difficult to achieve accurate spatial representation. In the present research, we measured gross rainfall and throughfall from May 2011 to September 2012, leaf area index, and locations of trees within a Pinus tabulaeformis plantation forest in the Loess Plateau of northwestern China. The spatial heterogeneity of throughfall and related factors, as well as the minimum number and locations of collectors needed to measure throughfall accurately, were analyzed by statistical techniques. The results indicated that the throughfall was concentrated at the canopy edge, indicating that the edge of the canopy of P. tabulaeformis had a convergence effect on throughfall. The analysis of semivariance of throughfall demonstrated that canopy structure was a key factor influencing spatial variation of throughfall in low rainfall events, but measurement errors and other nonspatial variables were the primary factors affecting the variation of throughfall in high rainfall events. Based on the mean throughfall at different proportions of canopy radius centered on the individual tree stem, the minimum number and locations of collectors needed to accurately measure throughfall was estimated. In this study, four rain collectors (diameter 20?cm) at the 3/5 canopy radius could reasonably represent the average throughfall under the individual P. tabulaeformis canopy.  相似文献   

17.
为揭示不同发育阶段马尾松人工林经营效果的动态变化特征规律,对青羊湖林场不同发育阶段的马尾松人工林(幼龄林、中龄林、近熟林)林分空间结构、物种多样性、土壤肥力、林木生长等指标进行动态分析,运用主成分分析法,对不同发育阶段的各经营样地的经营效果进行综合评价。结果表明:不同发育阶段的马尾松林在经营改造后,空间结构明显改善,物种多样性指数均明显提高,土壤肥力也有所改善;幼龄林、中龄林和近熟林9块样地抚育间伐补植改造效果综合评价得分依次为0.079,-0.021,-0.241,0.528,0.438,1.028,-0.145,-0.780,-0.886,得分越高说明改造经营效果越好。经营促进了不同发育阶段马尾松人工林林分空间结构的优化、树种多样性的提高、土壤肥力的改善和林木蓄积生长的提高,林分向异龄复层混交林方向发展,为马尾松人工林经营提供理论依据。  相似文献   

18.
Abstract

Wood properties, including tracheid cross-sectional dimensions, show a large degree of variation. To improve the properties of products made from wood, different methods to control variation have been developed. This study aims to determine the theoretical efficiency of three control strategies: the fractionation of pulped tracheids into earlywood and latewood, the separation of juvenile and mature wood, and sorting of logs according to tree size. The efficiency of each method was studied by first constructing virtual trees from measured tracheid cross-sectional dimensions, then simulating the efficiency of above-mentioned methods. The tracheid dimension data include Norway spruce (Picea abies (L.) Karst.) and Scots pine (Pinus sylvestris L.). The simulations show that separation into earlywood and latewood classes has the highest theoretical efficiency and yields the lowest variances in raw material. Classification into juvenile and mature wood groups is the second most efficient method, and the sorting of logs according to the size class of the tree is the least efficient method. It was also concluded that the variation in cell-wall thickness and radial diameter mainly originates from differences between earlywood and latewood, whereas the variation in tangential diameter mainly originates from differences between mature and juvenile wood.  相似文献   

19.
We used spatial, global trend and post-blocking analysis to examine the effectiveness of a progeny trial in a tree breeding program for Chinese fir(Cunninghamia lanceolata(Lamb.) Hook) on a hilly site with an environmental gradient from hill top to bottom. Diameter at breast height(DBH) and tree height data had significant spatial auto-correlations among rows and columns. Adding a firstorder separable autoregressive term more effectively modelled the spatial variation than did the incomplete block(IB)model used for the experimental design. The spatial model also accounted for effects of experimental design factors and greatly reduced residual variances. The spatial analysis relative to the IB analysis improved estimation of genetic parameters with the residual variance reduced 13 and 19%for DBH and tree height, respectively; heritability increased35 and 51% for DBH and tree height, respectively; and genetic gain improved 3–5%. Fitting global trend and postblocking did not improve the analyses under IB model. The use of a spatial model or combined with a design model is recommended for forest genetic trials, particularly with global trend and local spatial variation of hilly sites.  相似文献   

20.
基于高空间分辩率影像的林分冠幅估计   总被引:5,自引:0,他引:5  
冯益明  李增元  张旭 《林业科学》2006,42(5):110-113
以高空间分辨率遥感影像QuickBird的全色波段为数据源,应用空间统计学半方差理论,对郁闭度较高的人工白皮松林冠幅尺寸进行较为准确地估计.结果表明:空间统计学半方差方法可以作为郁闭度较高纯林林分冠幅估计的一种有效方法.研究为解决林分冠幅的自动估计问题,提供了一种新的手段与方法.  相似文献   

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