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21.
Arjan Stegeman Armin R. W. Elbers Jan T. van Oirschot Wil A. Hunneman Tjeerd G. Kimman Martin J. M. Tielen 《Preventive veterinary medicine》1995,22(4):273-283
Vaccination programs to eradicate pseudorabies virus (PRV) are being considered in several countries. Knowledge of factors that influence PRV transmission within vaccinated breeding herds may contribute to the success of these programs. A multivariate analysis of variance of the PRV-seroprevalence in sows in 209 herds (average seroprevalence 67.0% per herd) in the southern Netherlands revealed the following risk indicators: (1) presence of finishing pigs; (2) production type (producers of finishing piglets had a higher seroprevalence than producers of breeding stock); (3) vaccination of the sows during nursing (in comparison with vaccinating all sows simultaneously at 5 month intervals, or vaccination during the second half of gestation); (4) pig density in the municipality where the herd was located (seroprevalence increased with higher pig density); (5) herd size less than 100 sows; (6) average within-herd parity (seroprevalence increased with higher withinherd parity); (7) replacement pigs raised on the premises; (8) vaccine strain administered to the sows. Purchase policy (breeding pigs purchased between 10 weeks and 7 months of age, or use of home-bred gilts only) did not significantly contribute to the multivariate model. 相似文献
22.
Rob H. G. Jongman Irene M. Bouwma Arjan Griffioen Lawrence Jones-Walters Anne M. Van Doorn 《Landscape Ecology》2011,26(3):311-326
The pan European biological and landscape diversity strategy (PEBDLS) was developed under the auspices of the Council of Europe
in order to achieve the effective implementation of the convention of biological diversity (CBD) at the European level. A
key element of PEBLDS has been the development of the Pan European Ecological Network (PEEN) as a guiding vision for coherence
in biodiversity conservation. PEEN has been developed in three subprojects: Central and Eastern Europe, completed in 2002;
South-eastern Europe, completed in 2006; and Western Europe, also completed in 2006. The methodology of the development of
the three maps has been broadly comparable but data availability, differences in national databases, technical developments
and geographical differences caused variations in the detailed approach. One of the challenges was to find common denominators
for the habitat data in Europe; this was solved differently for the subprojects. The project has resulted in three maps that
together constitute the PEEN. They differ in terms of ecological coherence and the need for ecological corridors; for example,
in Central and Western Europe corridors are essential to provide connectivity, while in Northern, Eastern and South-eastern
Europe larger, coherent natural areas still exist. The future steps in developing PEEN should include the implementation of
national ecological networks and, in particular, the pursuit of international coherence through the development of trans-European
ecological corridors. The big challenge is to develop a common approach among the over 100 European-wide agencies that are
responsible for biodiversity conservation. 相似文献
23.
The performance of pathological findings as a diagnostic tool for the detection of classical swine fever (CSF) outbreaks during the 1997/1998 CSF-epidemic in The Netherlands was evaluated by constructing and analysing receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves. This was done at the individual pig level and at the submission level (a group of pigs from the same herd submitted together for post-mortem investigation). At post-mortem examination, the tonsils, spleen, ileo-caecal valve and renal pelvis were sampled, sent to the reference laboratory, and tested by means of a CSF-specific fluorescent antibody test in combination with a confirmatory test. This resulted in an infection status at the individual pig level. The infection status and pathological findings of 1072 individual pigs from a total of 230 infected herds were included in this analysis. We also included submissions of pigs from herds that were sent to post-mortem examination because of a clinically CSF-suspect situation but afterwards were concluded to be from non-infected herds. Infection status and pathological findings of 1224 individual pigs from a total of 241 non-infected herds were included in the analysis. Pneumonia, pleuritis, chronic bronchitis, pulmonary oedema, chronic gastric ulceration, dry faecal contents in the colon, conjunctivitis, haemorrhages in the renal pelvis, renal haemorrhages, splenic enlargement, haemorrhages in the urinary bladder, haemorrhagic and enlarged lymph nodes were the most frequently recorded pathological findings during a post-mortem examination of pigs submitted in a CSF-suspect clinical situation. However, some of these pathological findings (e.g. pneumonia, pleuritis) were almost evenly distributed in infected and in non-infected pigs, resulting in a high sensitivity combined with a low specificity. The area under the ROC curve of pathological findings at the individual pig level and at the submission level was 0.720 and 0.782, respectively, which was significantly (P<0.0001) larger than the area under the random ROC curve. It was concluded that, although gross pathology is a legitimate test, its quantitative contribution to the detection of CSF is limited. 相似文献
24.
25.
Bos ME Van Boven M Nielen M Bouma A Elbers AR Nodelijk G Koch G Stegeman A De Jong MC 《Veterinary research》2007,38(3):493-504
Despite continuing research efforts, knowledge of the transmission of the highly pathogenic avian influenza (HPAI) virus still has considerable gaps, which complicates epidemic control. The goal of this research was to develop a model to back-calculate the day HPAI virus is introduced into a flock, based on within-flock mortality data. The back-calculation method was based on a stochastic SEIR (susceptible (S) - latently infected (E) - infectious (I) - removed (= dead; R)) epidemic model. The latent and infectious period were assumed to be gamma distributed. Parameter values were based on experimental H7N7 within-flock transmission data. The model was used to estimate the day of virus introduction based on a defined within-flock mortality threshold (detection rule for determining AI). Our results indicate that approximately two weeks can elapse before a noticeable increase in mortality is observed after a single introduction into a flock. For example, it takes twelve (minimum 11 - maximum 15) days before AI is detected if the detection rule is fifty dead chickens on two consecutive days in a 10 000 chicken flock (current Dutch monitoring rule for notification). The results were robust for flock size and detection rule, but sensitive to the length of the latent and infectious periods. Furthermore, assuming multiple introductions on one day will result in a shorter estimated period between infection and detection. The implications of the model outcomes for detecting and tracing outbreaks of H7N7 HPAI virus are discussed. 相似文献
26.
Stegeman A 《Tijdschrift voor diergeneeskunde》2007,132(19):768-769
27.
Bartels CJ Huinink I Beiboer ML van Schaik G Wouda W Dijkstra T Stegeman A 《Veterinary parasitology》2007,148(2):83-92
Ninety-six of 108 randomly selected Dutch dairy herds had one or more cows with a positive serostatus for N. caninum. In these 96 herds, we have quantified the probabilities of vertical transmission (VT) and horizontal transmission (HT) of N. caninum infection by combining serostatus and pedigree data in 4091 dam-daughter pairs. The probability of animals infected by vertical transmission during pregnancy (Prob(VT)) was calculated as the proportion of seropositive daughters among daughters of seropositive dams. The probability of animals infected by horizontal transmission (Prob(HT)) was the proportion of seropositive daughters among daughters of seronegative dams. These probabilities were calculated after the frequencies of observed dam-daughter combinations were corrected for (1) imperfect test-characteristics, (2) underestimation of horizontal transmission in situations that seronegative dams were horizontally infected after the birth of their daughters and (3) overestimation of vertical transmission in situations that seronegative daughters born from seropositive dams were horizontally infected. The incidence rate for horizontal transmission was calculated based on Prob(HT) and the average age of the animals in these herds. Based on the analysis of dam-daughter serology, Prob(VT) was 61.8% (95% CI: 57.5-66.0%) and Prob(HT) was 3.3% (95% CI: 2.7-3.9%). After adjusting the observed frequencies for imperfect test-characteristics, underestimation of horizontal transmission and overestimation of vertical transmission, Prob(VT) decreased to 44.9% (95% CI: 40.0-49.9%) while Prob(HT) increased to 4.5% (95% CI: 3.9-5.2%). Prob(HT) corresponded with an incidence rate for horizontal transmission of 1.4 (95% CI: 1.2-1.7) infections per 100 cow-years at risk. When stratifying herds for the presence of farm dogs, Prob(HT) was higher (5.5% (95% CI: 4.6-6.4%)) in herds with farm dogs than in herds without farm dogs (2.3% (95% CI: 1.5-3.4%)). When stratifying for within-herd seroprevalence, Prob(HT) was higher (10.3% (95% CI: 8.6-12.2%)) in herds with high (> or =10%) within-herd seroprevalence compared with herds with low (<10%) within-herd seroprevalence (2.0% (95% CI: 1.5-2.6%)). Although there was this relation between Prob(HT) and within-herd seroprevalence (crude OR(PREV) = 5.7 (95% CI: 4.0-7.9)), in herds without farm dogs, this relationship was no longer statistical significant (OR(PREV|DOG-) = 1.9 (95% CI: 0.7-5.5)). It indicated that the association between seroprevalence and Prob(HT) depended largely on the presence of farm dogs. In addition, when looking for the presence of specific age-groups with significantly higher seroprevalence compared with the rest of the herd, there were 7 herds in which two or more horizontally-infected animals were present in specific age-groups. This was an indication of a recent point-source exposure to N. caninum. These results reiterate the current control strategies to apply strict dog-management measures as well as to minimize within-herd seroprevalence by monitoring serostatus of animals. 相似文献
28.
Matthew J. Duveneck Jonathan R. Thompson Eric J. Gustafson Yu Liang Arjan M. G. de Bruijn 《Landscape Ecology》2017,32(7):1385-1397
Context
Forests throughout eastern North America continue to recover from broad-scale intensive land use that peaked in the nineteenth century. These forests provide essential goods and services at local to global scales. It is uncertain how recovery dynamics, the processes by which forests respond to past forest land use, will continue to influence future forest conditions. Climate change compounds this uncertainty.Objectives
We explored how continued forest recovery dynamics affect forest biomass and species composition and how climate change may alter this trajectory.Methods
Using a spatially explicit landscape simulation model incorporating an ecophysiological model, we simulated forest processes in New England from 2010 to 2110. We compared forest biomass and composition from simulations that used a continuation of the current climate to those from four separate global circulation models forced by a high emission scenario (RCP 8.5).Results
Simulated forest change in New England was driven by continued recovery dynamics; without the influence of climate change forests accumulated 34 % more biomass and succeed to more shade tolerant species; Climate change resulted in 82 % more biomass but just nominal shifts in community composition. Most tree species increased AGB under climate change.Conclusions
Continued recovery dynamics will have larger impacts than climate change on forest composition in New England. The large increases in biomass simulated under all climate scenarios suggest that climate regulation provided by the eastern forest carbon sink has potential to continue for at least a century.29.
Improved knowledge on the swimming physiology of fish and its application to fisheries science and aquaculture (i.e., farming
a fitter fish) is currently needed in the face of global environmental changes, high fishing pressures, increased aquaculture
production as well as increased concern on fish well-being. Here, we review existing data on teleost fish that indicate that
sustained exercise at optimal speeds enhances muscle growth and has consequences for flesh quality. Potential added benefits
of sustained exercise may be delay of ovarian development and stimulation of immune status. Exercise could represent a natural,
noninvasive, and economical approach to improve growth, flesh quality as well as welfare of aquacultured fish: a FitFish for
a healthy consumer. All these issues are important for setting directions for policy decisions and future studies in this
area. For this purpose, the FitFish workshop on the Swimming Physiology of Fish () was organized to bring together a multidisciplinary group of scientists using exercise models, industrial partners, and
policy makers. Sixteen international experts from Europe, North America, and Japan were invited to present their work and
view on migration of fishes in their natural environment, beneficial effects of exercise, and applications for sustainable
aquaculture. Eighty-eight participants from 19 different countries contributed through a poster session and round table discussion.
Eight papers from invited speakers at the workshop have been contributed to this special issue on The Swimming Physiology
of Fish. 相似文献
30.
Poetri O Bouma A Claassen I Koch G Soejoedono R Stegeman A van Boven M 《Veterinary research》2011,42(1):74
ABSTRACT: Vaccination of chickens has become routine practice in Asian countries in which H5N1 highly pathogenic avian influenza (HPAI) is endemically present. This mainly applies to layer and breeder flocks, but broilers are usually left unvaccinated. Here we investigate whether vaccination is able to reduce HPAI H5N1 virus transmission among broiler chickens. Four sets of experiments were carried out, each consisting of 22 replicate trials containing a pair of birds. Experiments 1-3 were carried out with four-week-old birds that were unvaccinated, and vaccinated at day 1 or at day 10 of age. Experiment 4 was carried out with unvaccinated day-old broiler chicks. One chicken in each trial was inoculated with H5N1 HPAI virus. One chicken in each trial was inoculated with virus. The course of the infection chain was monitored by serological analysis, and by virus isolation performed on tracheal and cloacal swabs. The analyses were based on a stochastic SEIR model using a Bayesian inferential framework. When inoculation was carried out at the 28th day of life, transmission was efficient in unvaccinated birds, and in birds vaccinated at first or tenth day of life. In these experiments estimates of the latent period (~1.0 day), infectious period (~3.3 days), and transmission rate parameter (~1.4 per day) were similar, as were estimates of the reproduction number (~4) and generation interval (~1.4 day). Transmission was significantly less efficient in unvaccinated chickens when inoculation was carried out on the first day of life. These results show that vaccination of broiler chickens does not reduce transmission, and suggest that this may be due to the interference of maternal immunity. 相似文献