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SUMMARY A decision analysis model was designed to evaluate the cost effectiveness of a vaccination program for preventing endemic or epidemic porcine parvovirus (PPV) Induced reproductive failure in a 100-sow pig herd. The results showed that the cost of vaccination was less than the cost incurred by continuing endemic PPV infection, or the cost of a severe epidemic. A long term vaccination program is a cost effective method for controlling PPV-induced reproductive failure in pig herds suffering endemic and epidemic PPV infection. 相似文献
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Small plots of potatoes were inoculated with a mixture of Erwinia carotovora (E. c.) subsp. carotovora and E. carotovora subsp, atroseptica strains resistant to rifampicin. Subsequently the population off, c. subsp, carotovora and E. c. subsp, atroseptica (rifampicin-resistant and wild types) present as epiphytes on the surface of potato leaves was assessed using three methods, qualitative, semi-quantitative and quantitative, during 1986 and 1987. The population was generally low (< 102 colony forming units (> 104 cfu/g leaves) but reached higher levels (> 104 cfu/g) on occasions later in the growing season, Rifampicin-resistant erwinias were reisolated only infrequently throughout this study. Different methods of haulm destruction (herbicide, pulverization, sulphuric acid treatment and natural senescence) greatly influenced the number of erwinias present in the resulting plant debris. Pulverization resulted in the highest population (106 -107 wild-type cfu/g) in both seasons. In 1987. the wettest of the two seasons of this study, herbicide treatment resulted in similarly high populations. The results suggest that the high numbers of erwinias found in the haulm debris were probably derived from the generally low populations of epiphytic bacteria previously present on healthy leaves, E. c. subsp, carotovora was the most frequent subspecies in the rotting plant debris; E. c. subsp, atroseptica was more commonly found on healthy leaves. The implications of the results are discussed in relation to the production of seed potatoes with a low risk of blackleg. 相似文献
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Two groups of 4 Hereford steers were housed in a controlled environment room and exposed to simulated high summer temperatures. Both groups were fed a barley grain and hay diet ad libitum. The barley in one diet contained 0.5% w/w ergots of Claviceps purpurea. Within one week of feeding the ergot diet mean rectal temperature was significantly elevated (P less than 0.05) each afternoon (up to 41 degrees C) but returned to normal overnight. Elevated rectal temperature was accompanied by other signs of heat stress, reduced feed intake, body weight loss and depression or serum prolactin concentration. Symptoms disappeared within 1 week of ceasing to feed the ergot diet. 相似文献
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An isolate of Gliocladium virens from disease-affected soil in a commercial sunflower field proved highly antagonistic to Sclerotinia minor in culture. Significant disease control was obtained when a conidial suspension was applied over a limited area of potting medium and lateral roots were inoculated outside the treated area at the edge of the pot. Most promising, in terms of minimizing the amount of G. viren s required for disease control, was the significant bioprotection obtained by seed treatment. In glasshouse experiments following inoculation of lateral roots with S. minor at 6–7 weeks after sowing, disease incidence was reduced from 60.0% to 15.8% in potting medium and from 66.7% to 12.5% in field soil. Seed treatment was also effective in field microplots, where disease incidence was reduced from 37.0% to 22.2%. G. viren s applied on seed did not affect the dry weight of the lateral root system. 相似文献
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SUMMARY The epidemiology of ovine brucellosis was investigated in 6 ram flocks in which anomalous reactions to the complement fixation test was recorded. It was shown that rams can become infected as young as 4 months of age. Naturally infected animals have an epididymitis and excrete Brucella ovis in their semen or they may only show a serological response for a short time then recover. The base line titres of chronically infected animals stay relatively constant. The importance of abortive infection and possible reinfection is discussed. 相似文献
38.
Kriging is a means of spatial prediction that can be used for soil properties. It is a form of weighted local averaging. It is optimal in the sense that it provides estimates of values at unrecorded places without bias and with minimum and known variance. Isarithmic maps made by kriging are alternatives to conventional soil maps where properties can be measured at close spacings. Kriging depends on first computing an accurate semi-variogram, which measures the nature of spatial dependence for the property. Estimates of semi-variance are then used to determine the weights applied to the data when computing the averages, and are presented in the kriging equations. The method is applied to three sets of data from detailed soil surveys in Central Wales and Norfolk. Sodium content at Plas Gogerddan was shown to vary isotropically with a linear semi-variogram. Simple punctual kriging produced a map with intricate isarithms and fairly large estimation variance, attributed to a large nugget effect. Sloniness on the same land varied anisotropically with a linear semi-variogram. and again the estimation error of punctual kriging was fairly large. At Hole Farm. Norfolk, the thickness of cover loam varied isotropically, but with a spherical semi-variogram. Its parameters were estimated and used to krige point values and produce a map showing substantial short-range variation. 相似文献
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A sampling strategy is presented for soil survey in which an individual soil property is of interest and can be measured. It depends on first determining accurately the semi-variogram for the property, and this must be done in a prior reconnaissance stage of a survey. Then from the semi-variogram estimation variances can be found for any combination of block size and sampling density by the methods of kriging. Alternatively for a given block size the sampling density needed to achieve a predetermined precision (maximum estimation variance) can be determined. The strategy is optimal in the sense that the sampling effort is the least possible to achieve the precision desired. An equilateral triangular configuration of sampling points is best where variation is isotropic, but a square grid at the same density is very nearly as good, and will usually be preferred for convenience. Where there is simple anisotropic variation optimal sampling is achieved by choosing a rectangular grid with sides in the same proportion to one another as the slopes of the semi-variogram in the directions of maximum and minimum variation. 相似文献
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Estimates of mean values of soil properties within small rectangular blocks of land can be obtained by kriging provided the semi-variogram is known. This paper describes optimal rectangular grid sampling configurations whereby estimation variances can be minimized. For linear semi-variograms square blocks are best estimated by sampling at the nodes of a centrally placed grid with its interval equal to the block side divided by the square root of the sample size. For spherical semi-variograms the same configuration is almost optimal. The estimation variance of a bulked sample can be identical with that of a kriged estimate where the semi-variogram is linear and equal portions of soil are taken from each node on the optimally configured grid and provided the soil property is additive. For spherical semi-variograms the above is approximately true. Comparisons with estimates that take no account of known spatial dependence show that the true variances can be much less than those apparent using classical theory, and the necessary sampling effort much less. Within block-variances are often needed for planning, and an appendix gives two-dimensional auxiliary functions from which they can be calculated for linear and spherical semi-variograms. 相似文献