Bayesian zero-inflated predictive modelling of herd-level Salmonella prevalence for risk-based surveillance     

Benschop J  Spencer S  Alban L  Stevenson M  French N 《Zoonoses and public health》2010,57(Z1):60-70

The national control programme for Salmonella in Danish swine herds introduced in 1993 has led to a large decrease in pork-associated human cases of salmonellosis. The pork industry is increasingly focused on the cost-effectiveness of surveillance while maintaining consumer confidence in the pork food supply. Using national control programme data from 2003 and 2004, we developed a zero-inflated binomial model to predict which farms were most at risk of Salmonella. We preferentially sampled these high-risk farms using two sampling schemes based on model predictions resulting from a farm's covariate pattern and its random effect. Zero-inflated binomial modelling allows assessment of similarities and differences between factors that affect herd infection status (introduction), and those that affect the seroprevalence in infected herds (persistence and spread). Both large (producing greater than 5000 pigs per annum), and small herds (producing less than 2000 pigs per annum) were at significantly higher risk for infection and subsequent seroprevalence, when compared with medium sized herds (producing between 2000 and 5000 pigs per annum). When compared with herds being located elsewhere, being located in the south of Jutland significantly decreased the risk of herd infection, but increased the risk of a pig from an infected herd being seropositive. The model suggested that many of the herds where Salmonella was not detected were infected, but at a low prevalence. Using cost and sensitivity, we compared the results of our model based sampling schemes with those under the standard sampling scheme, based on herd size, and the recently introduced risk-based approach. Model-based results were less sensitive but show significant cost savings. Further model refinements, sampling schemes and the methods to evaluate their performance are important areas for future work, and these should continue to occur in direct consultation with Danish authorities.  相似文献   

Avian assemblages in eucalypt forests,plantations and pastures in northern NSW,Australia     

Tina Hsu  Kris French  Richard Major 《Forest Ecology and Management》2010

Eucalypt plantations are expanding rapidly in Australia, and their value for native fauna requires investigation. The relative conservation value of young eucalypt plantations was investigated through assessment of avifauna richness, abundance and composition using transect surveys incorporating point counts in five broad habitat types—dryland forests, riparian forests, dryland plantations, riparian plantations, and riparian pastures (strips of riparian vegetation surrounded by pastures). A total of 73 species were recorded during formal surveys. Species richness and abundance were comparable among all habitat types except dryland plantations, which supported fewer species and in lower numbers. The avifauna assemblage differed according to broad habitat types. Forest habitats (dryland and riparian) harboured more forest- and woodland-dependent species, and a greater abundance of nectarivores and insectivores. Riparian plantations supported a similar number of forest- and woodland-dependent species to forest habitats, but also retained some open-country species. Riparian pastures had the highest cumulative species richness, reflecting a diverse mix of forest- and woodland-dependent birds and open-country species. It was the preferred habitat type for granivores and vertebrate eaters. Dryland plantations were dominated by common species and omnivores, and supported fewer forest- and woodland-dependent birds, insectivores and frugivores compared with other habitat types. The presence of riparian strips increased avifauna diversity and abundance in plantations and pastures to a greater extent than predicted by the proportional area of riparian habitat. The importance of riparian habitats needs to be recognised and incorporated into management policies if biodiversity conservation is to be an objective of plantation establishment.  相似文献   

Cardiovascular-renal axis disorder and acute-phase proteins in cats with congestive heart failure caused by primary cardiomyopathy     

Mengmeng Liu  Liza S. Köster  Geoffrey T. Fosgate  Christopher C. Chadwick  Íñigo Sanz-González  Peter David Eckersall  Paul R. Wotton  Anne T. French 《Journal of veterinary internal medicine / American College of Veterinary Internal Medicine》2020,34(3):1078-1090

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Clinical and subclinical mastitis in smallholder dairy farms in Tanzania: risk, intervention and knowledge transfer     

Karimuribo ED  Fitzpatrick JL  Bell CE  Swai ES  Kambarage DM  Ogden NH  Bryant MJ  French NP 《Preventive veterinary medicine》2006,74(1):84-98

In a cross-sectional study of 400 randomly selected smallholder dairy farms in the Tanga and Iringa regions of Tanzania, 14.2% (95% confidence interval (CI)=11.6-17.3) of cows had developed clinical mastitis during the previous year. The point prevalence of subclinical mastitis, defined as a quarter positive by the California Mastitis Test (CMT) or by bacteriological culture, was 46.2% (95% CI=43.6-48.8) and 24.3% (95% CI=22.2-26.6), respectively. In a longitudinal disease study in Iringa, the incidence of clinical mastitis was 31.7 cases per 100 cow-years. A randomised intervention trial indicated that intramammary antibiotics significantly reduced the proportion of bacteriologically positive quarters in the short-term (14 days post-infusion) but teat dipping had no detectable effect on bacteriological infection and CMT positive quarters. Other risk and protective factors were identified from both the cross-sectional and longitudinal included animals with Boran breeding (odds ratio (OR)=3.40, 95% CI=1.00-11.57, P<0.05 for clinical mastitis, and OR=3.51, 95% CI=1.29-9.55, P<0.01 for a CMT positive quarter), while the practice of residual calf suckling was protective for a bacteriologically positive quarter (OR=0.63, 95% CI=0.48-0.81, P相似文献   

Irrigated guayule — Evapotranspiration and plant water stress     

D.A. Bucks  F.S. Nakayama  O.F. French  W.W. Legard  W.L. Alexander 《Agricultural Water Management》1985,10(1):61-79

Natural rubber is a critical agricultural material, and guayule (Parthenium argentatum Gray) is the most promising domestic, agricultural source. A study on guayule was initiated to provide information on the water requirements and plant water stress behavior for this new perennial crop. Measured evapotranspiration averaged 3000, 2410, 2040, 1720, 1470 and 1520 mm, from May 1981 to December 1982, in decreasing order of water applications on the six irrigation treatments from the wettest to the driest. These evapotranspiration values indicated that the water use by guayule can be higher than many former estimates for an arid-type crop. Plant canopy temperatures also showed a progressive increase in plant water stress as irrigation water amounts decreased. The two-fold decrease in evapotranspiration from the wet to dry treatments corresponded to a four-fold increase in plant water stress indices based on remote infrared thermometer measurements. Both the concepts of stress degree days and crop water stress index, evaluated over the entire growing cycle, correlated well with the measured evapotranspiration. Even though the guayule plant can withstand long periods of drought, moisture stress will occur within a relatively short period of time after an irrigation for the guayule crop.  相似文献   

Prevalence, regional distribution and control of blowfly strike in England and Wales.     

N P French  R Wall  P J Cripps  K L Morgan 《The Veterinary record》1992,131(15):337-342

The prevalence and control of blowfly strike in England and Wales was investigated by a postal survey of 2451 sheep farmers, divided into five regions, who were asked about the blowfly seasons of 1988 and 1989. These were important years for the control of blowfly strike because the number of compulsory dips for the control of sheep scab was reduced from two to one in 1989. The response rate was 74.2 per cent. A larger proportion of farmers in the south west and south east reported strike (90 per cent), than in the north of England (60 per cent). The proportion of sheep with strike showed a similar regional variation (0.7 per cent in the north of England to 2.8 per cent in the south west). Dipping was the most common method of blowfly control, followed by tail amputation, dagging, spraying and cyromazine. Twenty per cent of farmers reported reducing the frequency of dipping in 1989, and of those 20 per cent increased the frequency of spraying and 20 per cent used cyromazine.  相似文献   

Subcutaneous clostridial infection in broilers   总被引：2，自引：0，他引：2  

C L Hofacre  J D French  R K Page  O J Fletcher 《Avian diseases》1986,30(3):620-622

A flock of 12,500 broilers 36 days of age experienced a sudden increase in mortality. Post-mortem lesions were emphysema, severe enteritis, and a serosanguineous fluid in the subcutaneous tissue of the breast and thighs; there was no evidence of a loss in the integrity of the skin. Clostridium perfringens and C. septicum were isolated from the affected subcutaneous tissue. Histopathological and serological examination indicated previous infection with infectious bursal disease virus. The subsequent immunosuppression and severe enteritis may have permitted the clostridia access to the circulatory system, with localization in the subcutaneous areas of the breast and thighs. Mortality returned to normal 48 hours after potassium penicillin G was administered via the drinking water.  相似文献   

Pathologic sideroblasts and siderocytes associated with chloramphenicol therapy in a dog     

Harvey JW  Wolfsheimer KJ  Simpson CF  French TW 《Veterinary clinical pathology / American Society for Veterinary Clinical Pathology》1985,14(1):36-42

Siderotic granules were recognized in blood erythrocytes from a male Boxer dog with suppurative prostatitis, cystitis and pyelonephritis that was being given high dosage chloramphenicol therapy. Siderotic inclusions were recognized in the cytoplasm of 96% of the rubricytes and metarubricytes in a bone marrow aspirate. Siderotic inclusions were numerous and in some cases formed a ring around the nucleus. This perinuclear location suggested that pathologic mitochondrial iron accumulation had occurred, resulting in the formation of "ringed" sideroblasts. The occurrence of pathologic sideroblasts was confirmed by electron microscopy. Blood siderocytes and bone marrow sideroblasts disappeared after cessation of chloramphenicol therapy.  相似文献   

Treatment of equine leg wounds using skin grafts: Thirty-five cases, 1975-1988          下载免费PDF全文

French DA  Fretz PB 《The Canadian veterinary journal. La revue veterinaire canadienne》1990,31(11):761-765

A retrospective study was conducted on 35 equine patients with lower leg wounds that were managed utilizing skin graft procedures. Two pinch graft, five punch graft, seven tunnel graft, eight split-thickness mesh graft and thirteen full-thickness mesh expansion graft procedures were performed in the initial treatment. The average wound size was 188 cm². Twentyfour cases had pregrafting complications: 10 wounds developed sequestra; three wounds were grossly contaminated and infected; and 11 cases developed granulation tissue complications prior to grafting. Graft failure following the initial procedure was seen in 12 cases and occurred with all techniques except pinch grafting. Graft failure was often attributable to poor quality of granulation tissue as well as anatomic site, especially the dorsal surface of the tarsus. An average of two additional grafting procedures was required to successfully treat initial failures. Pinch grafts took the longest time to epithelialize (70 days), followed by punch grafts (47 days). Both were similar in terms of being the least durable and least cosmetically acceptable of all techniques used. Split-thickness and full-thickness mesh expansion grafts were technically the most difficult, but showed the most rapid epithelialization (28 days), greatest durability, and the best cosmetic appearance. Tunnel grafts provided a practical technique for grafting cases which were either not suited for, or which had failed with, mesh expansion grafts.  相似文献   

M. Martin, Small Animal ECGs – An Introductory Guide, 2nd ed., Blackwell, 2007, ISBN 9781405141604, 120pp; £24.99 (soft).     

Anne T. French   《Veterinary journal (London, England : 1997)》2008,176(3)

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