Towards the sustainable intensification of agriculture—a systems approach to policy formulation     

Leslie G. FIRBANK 《农业科学与工程前沿(英文版)》2020,7(1):81-89

The sustainable intensification of agriculture involves providing sufficient food and other ecosystem services without going beyond the limits of the earth’s system. Here a project management approach is suggested to help guide agricultural policy to deliver these objectives. The first step is to agree measurable outcomes, integrating formal policy goals with the often much less formal and much more diverse goals of individual farmers. The second step is to assess current performance. Ideally, this will involve the use of farm-scale metrics that can feed into process models that address social and environmental domains as well as production issues that can be benchmarked and upscaled to landscape and country. Some policy goals can be delivered by supporting ad hoc interventions, while others require the redesign of the farming system. A pipeline of research, knowledge and capacity building is needed to ensure the continuous increase in farm performance. System models can help prioritise policy interventions. Formal optimization of land use is only appropriate if the policy goals are clear, and the constraints understood. In practice, the best approach may depend on the scale of action that is required, and on the amount of resource and infrastructure available to generate, implement and manage policy.  相似文献   

基于粒子群算法优化BP神经网络的土壤含水量短期预测模型     

牛曼丽  李新旭  张彦军  雷喜红  王艳芳  李蔚 《蔬菜》2020,(8):24-30

为提高土壤含水量预测精度,基于物联网监测数据,提出了粒子群算法(PSO)优化BP神经网络的土壤含水量预测方法。首先应用主成分分析法筛选出影响土壤含水量的关键影响因子,然后构建8-5-1的BP神经网络拓扑结构,应用粒子群算法优化BP神经网络的初始权值和阈值。结果表明:与传统BP神经网络相比,新模型优化了网络结构,避免了陷入局部最优解,具有良好的预测效果;模型的评价指标平均绝对误差、平均绝对百分误差、误差均方根分别为0.259 2、0.010 5和0.135 6,与单一BP神经网络相比,预测精度更高,可满足实际的土壤含水量预测的需要。  相似文献   

幼龄期压砂地枸杞产量和品质多指标耦合灌溉制度优化     

马波  黄勇  田军仓 《干旱地区农业研究》2020,38(1):140-147

为提高宁夏中部干旱带幼龄期压砂地枸杞灌水效率,保障枸杞产量和品质,进行了3水平灌水定额(300、225 m~3·hm~(-2)和150 m~3·hm~(-2))的田间对比试验,采用综合指标增量最优方法对灌溉制度进行了优化。研究发现:枸杞5月上旬萌芽期耗水以土壤蒸发为主,日耗水量0.6～1.2 mm,6月中旬进入夏果花期耗水量增大,日耗水量2.5～3.7 mm,7月中旬枸杞夏果期耗水量继续增大,达2.4～4.3 mm,7月下旬日耗水量最大,为3.2～4.7 mm,8月中旬耗水量下降,日耗水量3.0～4.2 mm。灌水定额对枸杞产量影响显著(P0.05),灌水定额300 m~3·hm~(-2)时产量最高,为1 402.65 kg·hm~(-2);灌水定额225 m~3·hm~(-2)时枸杞多糖、β-胡萝卜素和黄酮较高,含量分别为4.56%、0.15%和0.41%;灌水定额150 m~3·hm~(-2)时枸杞甜菜碱含量较高,为0.77%。进一步通过综合指标增量最优方法进行优化,结果表明β-胡萝卜素含量最高时得到综合指标增量最大,为-5.4%,总耗水量为450 mm。枸杞夏果花期进入需水关键期,阶段耗水量达70 mm以上,进入6月中旬枸杞需水量增大,旬耗水量达29 mm以上。可见,幼龄期压砂地枸杞产量及品质指标均达到最优的耗水量较难获得,但是在β-胡萝卜素含量最高时可以获得产量和品质多指标耦合的最优耗水量,据此进行灌溉制度优化,可以一定程度上实现幼龄期压砂地枸杞优质高产。  相似文献   

Precipitation forecasting by large-scale climate indices and machine learning techniques     

Mehdi GHOLAMI ROSTAM  Seyyed Javad SADATINEJAD  Arash MALEKIAN 《干旱区科学》2020,12(5):854-864

Global warming is one of the most complicated challenges of our time causing considerable tension on our societies and on the environment. The impacts of global warming are felt unprecedentedly in a wide variety of ways from shifting weather patterns that threatens food production, to rising sea levels that deteriorates the risk of catastrophic flooding. Among all aspects related to global warming, there is a growing concern on water resource management. This field is targeted at preventing future water crisis threatening human beings. The very first stage in such management is to recognize the prospective climate parameters influencing the future water resource conditions. Numerous prediction models, methods and tools, in this case, have been developed and applied so far. In line with trend, the current study intends to compare three optimization algorithms on the platform of a multilayer perceptron (MLP) network to explore any meaningful connection between large-scale climate indices (LSCIs) and precipitation in the capital of Iran, a country which is located in an arid and semi-arid region and suffers from severe water scarcity caused by mismanagement over years and intensified by global warming. This situation has propelled a great deal of population to immigrate towards more developed cities within the country especially towards Tehran. Therefore, the current and future environmental conditions of this city especially its water supply conditions are of great importance. To tackle this complication an outlook for the future precipitation should be provided and appropriate forecasting trajectories compatible with this region's characteristics should be developed. To this end, the present study investigates three training methods namely backpropagation (BP), genetic algorithms (GAs), and particle swarm optimization (PSO) algorithms on a MLP platform. Two frameworks distinguished by their input compositions are denoted in this study: Concurrent Model Framework (CMF) and Integrated Model Framework (IMF). Through these two frameworks, 13 cases are generated: 12 cases within CMF, each of which contains all selected LSCIs in the same lead-times, and one case within IMF that is constituted from the combination of the most correlated LSCIs with Tehran precipitation in each lead-time. Following the evaluation of all model performances through related statistical tests, Taylor diagram is implemented to make comparison among the final selected models in all three optimization algorithms, the best of which is found to be MLP-PSO in IMF.  相似文献   

羊肚菌营养袋制作原料的化学成分分析及配方优化     

苗人云  刘天海  罗建华  唐利民  黄忠乾  彭卫红  甘炳成  谭昊 《食药用菌》2020,28(2):112-118

为优化羊肚菌营养袋的原料组成与配比,以食药用菌栽培基质中常用的4种秸秆及谷壳、麦粒、麦麸,通过主成分分析归纳各原料的营养组成属性,设计出9个营养袋配方进行栽培试验,比较出菇产量,得出高产营养袋原料组合为谷壳和麦粒;再以谷壳与麦粒按11种不同的重量比混合制成营养袋进行栽培试验,综合考量制作成本、出菇产量、经济效益等因素后,最终得到高产高效的羊肚菌营养袋配方(重量比)为谷壳19%、麦粒79%、石灰1%、石膏1%。  相似文献   

优化预处理及脱毒工艺以制备玉米芯半纤维素水解液     

王家旺  杨晓峰  刘国明  葛菁萍 《中国农学通报》2020,36(20):28-35

为了降低玉米芯半纤维素水解液中的乙酸、糠醛和酚类等有毒物质含量,使可利用糖类含量增加。本研究以玉米芯为原料制备水解液,对预处理及脱毒工艺进行优化,并利用高效液相色谱(HPLC)检测优化效果。结果表明,10~20目的玉米芯在10%氨水浸泡24 h后,可将乙酸和酚类物质的脱除率,分别提高至93.4%和32.3%,而糠醛的含量也大大降低。经过真空浓缩、CaO脱毒以及2%活性炭吸附后,使有毒物质含量再次降低,此时的水解液可完全用于菌株的发酵试验,达到了去除的目的。本文所得到的最佳水解液处理步骤,其结果符合菌株发酵用标准,说明水解液处理方式的不同,直接影响着水解液的制备。这为研究和利用木质纤维素等可再生资源提供了思路,也为发酵生产奠定了理论基础。  相似文献   

不同发酵条件对荔枝产香菌发酵茶品质的影响     

马煜明  玉云  朱雯  高玉佩  黄友谊 《西北农业学报》2020,30(5):736-744

经过长时间的工艺优化,国内不同地区的黑茶风味已趋于稳定,为了进一步改善发酵茶品质,生产更具特色的发酵茶,利用课题组前期已筛选出的一株适用于茶叶发酵的优良产香菌ZYF3单菌发酵青砖茶原料(一芽四五叶)。在实验室条件下,以灭菌后青砖茶为发酵原料,探究该菌株在不同接菌量、不同茶坯含水量、不同发酵温度和不同发酵时间下对发酵茶感官品质和理化品质的影响。结果表明:在不同发酵条件下,产香菌ZFY3发酵茶品质差异显著,当接种量为1.2%～1.3%(mL/g)、茶坯含水率为45%、发酵温度为32℃、发酵时间为20 d时,发酵茶综合品质最佳。不同发酵条件能明显改善荔枝产香菌发酵茶品质,并且促进发酵茶特殊风味的形成。  相似文献   

菜心游离小孢子培养高频胚诱导培养基优化     

杨易  陈汉才  沈卓  周轩  黎庭耀  杜志炜  杨丽璇  张艳 《广东农业科学》2020,47(5):43

【目的】对菜心小孢子培养的诱导培养基进行优化,以提高胚胎诱导率,创制优良DH系应用于育种实践。【方法】设置不同蔗糖浓度和激素(6-BA和NAA)浓度组合的NLN诱导培养基,以10份不同基因型的菜心为试材,进行小孢子培养及出胚率分析,筛选最佳诱导培养基。【结果】7份材料诱导出胚状体,不同基因型间的胚胎诱导率差异显著,说明基因型是影响小孢子形成的主要因素;在无激素处理中,100 g/L蔗糖浓度NLN(NLN-10)小孢子胚诱导率最高,出胚材料诱导率在3.45～30.46胚/皿;NLN含量减半的1/2 NLN-10培养基处理出胚率约为NLN-10处理的2/3;130 g/L蔗糖浓度NLN处理出胚率显著降低,最高仅为14胚/皿,蔗糖浓度为160 g/L的NLN(NLN-16)处理未出现胚状体;在NLN-10中分别添加0.1 mg/L 6-BA和NAA,促进出胚效果最佳,出胚率最高的 Rt19006达46.93胚/皿,是不添加激素处理的1.5倍;当NLN-10 中6-BA和NAA浓度均达到0.2 mg/L时,胚胎生长发育受到抑制。【结论】筛选出可有效促进菜心小孢子出胚的诱导培养基配方,即100 g/L蔗糖浓度的NLN+6-BA 0.10 mg/L +NAA 0.10 mg/L。  相似文献   

生鲜肉类食品供应链碳排放测算及动态优化研究     

陈静  王姗  欧灿英  姜旭 《中国农业大学学报》2020,25(6):165-182

以生鲜肉类食品供应链作为研究对象,基于生命周期理论界定生鲜肉类食品供应链碳排放的系统边界,并结合系统动力学方法建立生鲜肉类食品供应链的系统动力学模型,探讨肉类食品供应链的碳排放问题。研究结果表明:1)1t生鲜肉在其生命周期内产生的碳排放为166.97kg,其中生产、运输、仓储和销售环节中碳排放分别占总供应链的28.68%、52.37%、8.90%和10.04%,运输环节对全供应链的碳排放贡献率最高。2)动态优化研究发现,运输环节改变长途运输方式、生产环节废弃物回收利用及优化生产设备效率、销售环节降低设备功率取得的碳排放优化效果最佳,在2018年供应链碳排放分别降低了41.10%、4.70%、1.61%和1.25%。3)目前优化运输能源结构、开发可再生的清洁能源已成为大势所趋,且模拟结果表明,运输中燃烧生物柴油可降低供应链碳排放的13.10%,减排效果较为显著。4)在生鲜肉预冷过程中降低制冷系统能耗、在冷藏及销售过程中提高设备空间利用率可分别使供应链年碳排放降低2 100、1 600t,虽实施效果较小,但该措施便于操作,是降低供应链碳排放的有效途径。  相似文献   

基于ANSYS Workbench的自走式农机底盘的优化设计     

吕莹  李华  冯金龙  李志伟 《湖南农业大学学报(自然科学版)》2020,46(6):742-748

针对丘陵山区地块面积小、农机底盘作业转向难的问题,设计了转向灵活、转弯半径小的摆转转向底盘。底盘由转向装置、浮动装置、液压系统、发动机,前桥、后桥、控制系统、PTO输出等组成,采用水冷系统以及CVT无级变速的汽油发动机与液压系统结合,实现底盘的动力匹配;通过ANSYS Workbench构建摆转转向底盘前桥、后桥、整体机构的力学模型,分析各机构不同状态下的变形参数的变化趋势,并对底盘机构易于损坏的部位进行优化。结果表明：前桥转向机构附近的配件对前桥的变形影响较大,采用5 mm厚度方钢的前桥结构变形量为0.85 mm,优化后的前桥所安装的配件采用模块化分配,使用10 mm以上方钢加工制作,保证前桥变形量稳定控制在0.3~1.0 mm;优化后的底盘后桥最大等效应力为14 MPa,变形量为0.25 mm,分别较优化前降低了33.33%和28.57%,机架的结构稳定性得到改善。通过压力测试仪器对实物平台的测试,底盘在行驶过程中的压力变化曲线平稳,启动和停止阶段所受的压力在可控制的范围内;底盘的行驶直线度、偏驶率均低于1%,且不受底盘载重的影响。  相似文献