利用广义线性模型预测家畜离散性状育种值     

殷宗俊  张勤 《中国畜牧杂志》2006,42(11):1-4

将广义线性混合模型(GLMM)引入动物离散性状的遗传分析及个体的遗传评定,初步比较了GLMM方法与一般线性方法(LM)的估计效果。模拟研究的性状为单阈值二项分类性状,选用的连接函数为对数连接μi=eη/(1+eη),方差函数为V(μi)=μ(i1-μi)/n,试验设计为全同胞-半同胞混合家系,参数估计采用Fisher迹法。结果表明:GLMM方法能较准确地估计公畜的个体育种值,在个体的遗传评定效果方面要明显优于常规的线性方法,其预测的育种值排序结果与真实育种值的排序之间存在极显著的相关性(P<0.001)。  相似文献   

落叶果树需冷量及其估算模型研究进展   总被引：2，自引：0，他引：2  

赵海亮  赵文东  高东升  于德林  孙凌俊  高圣华 《北方果树》2007,(6):1-3

落叶果树的需冷量得到满足,才能顺利完成自然休眠,进行下一个生长发育循环(尤其是正常开花结果),否则其他环境条件再适宜,果树也不萌芽开花,即使萌芽也不整齐,生长结果不良,达不到促成栽培的目的[1].因此,对落叶果树需冷量及其估算的研究至关重要,成为落叶果树设施栽培成败的关键.本文仅就需冷量估算模型进行介绍,以期为设施栽培和更完善的需冷量估算提供理论依据.……  相似文献   

Neutral models for testing landscape hypotheses   总被引：5，自引：0，他引：5  

Robert H. Gardner  Dean L. Urban 《Landscape Ecology》2007,22(1):15-29

Neutral landscape models were originally developed to test the hypothesis that human-induced fragmentation produces patterns distinctly different from those associated with random processes. Other uses for neutral models have become apparent, including the development and testing of landscape metrics to characterize landscape pattern. Although metric development proved to be significant, the focus on metrics obscured the need for iterative hypothesis testing fundamental to the advancement of the discipline. We present here an example of an alternative neutral model and hypothesis designed to relate the process of landscape change to observed landscape patterns. The methods and program, QRULE, are described and options for statistical testing outlined. The results show that human fragmentation of landscapes results in a non-random association of land-cover types that can be describe by simple statistical methods. Options for additional landscape studies are discussed and access to QRULE described in the hope that these methods will be employed to advance our understanding of the processes that affect the structure and function in human dominated landscapes.  相似文献   

Testing assumptions of cost surface analysis—a tool for invasive species management   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

Emily K. Gonzales  Sarah E. Gergel 《Landscape Ecology》2007,22(8):1155-1168

Applied ecology could benefit from new tools that identify potential movement pathways of invasive species, particularly where data are sparse. Cost surface analysis (CSA) estimates the permeability (friction) across a landscape and can be applied to dispersal modelling. Increasingly used in a diversity of applications, several fundamental assumptions that might influence the outputs of CSA (cost surfaces and least-cost pathways) have yet to be systematically examined. Thus, we explore two issues: the presumed relationship between habitat preferences and dispersal behaviour as well as the degree of landscape fragmentation through which an organism moves by modelling a total of 18 sensitivity and dispersal scenarios. We explored the effect of fragmentation by altering the friction values (generally assigned using expert opinion) associated with patch and linear features. We compared these sensitivity scenarios in two sites that differed in fragmentation. We also used eastern grey squirrels (Sciurus carolinensis) as an example invading species and compared diffusion models and two contrasting cost surface dispersal scenarios. The diffusion model underestimated spread because squirrels did not move randomly through the landscape. Despite contrasting assumptions regarding dispersal behaviour, the two cost surfaces were strikingly similar while the least-cost paths differed. Furthermore, while the cost surfaces were insensitive to changes in friction values for linear features, they were sensitive to assumptions made for patch features. Our results suggest that movement in fragmented landscapes may be more sensitive to assumptions regarding friction values than contiguous landscapes. Thus, the reliability of CSA may depend not only on the range of friction values used for patches but also the degree of contiguity in the landscape.  相似文献   

应用草坪生态系统于城市生态建设的思考   总被引：2，自引：2，他引：2  

陈仕贵  黄璜  杨知建  向佐湘  张志飞 《草业科学》2007,24(6):76-80

通过对作为生态城市的重要子系统--草坪生态系统的含义及其生态效益的认识,提出一些有利城市生态建设的种草新模式,并对应用草坪生态系统于城市生态建设过程中存在的一些问题进行探讨.  相似文献   

不同退耕模式林草初夏小气候效应   总被引：5，自引：0，他引：5       下载免费PDF全文

姜艳  徐丽萍  杨改河  任广鑫 《干旱地区农业研究》2007,25(2):162-166

通过对安塞县几种不同类型退耕还林还草模式,如混交林、人工灌木林、野生灌木林及林中革地进行了小气候观测,分析了不同退耕模式林草配置下的主要小气候特征,采用平行对比观测法定点定时观测了空气温湿度,土壤温度,水面蒸发并与对照裸地进行了对比.结果表明4种不同退耕模式林草配置在6月高温时期能显著降低空气温度和地表温度的日均值,提高空气湿度和土壤湿度,减少水面蒸发等,具有明显的调节功能.4种不同退耕模式日平均空气温度变化呈不对称的单峰曲线,较对照裸地可以降低0.41℃～1.2℃;0～20 cm各深度的土壤温度基本都是混交林＜人工灌木林＜野生灌木林＜林中草地＜对照裸地,混交林内地面最高温度为34.78℃,明显比对照裸地42.54℃低;空气相对湿度日动态呈"U"型变化,其中对照裸地相对温度日均值最低,混交林日均值最大,为55.2%,比对照裸地高3.95%;水面蒸发量为裸地最大,混交林及灌木林能有效减少水面蒸发,减少量较对照裸地可达50.54%和55.20%.  相似文献   

美国杏李不同栽培模式适应性评价   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

斯琴格日乐  德永军  王兵  白秀兰  吴慧  张彦廷  高秀丽 《干旱区资源与环境》2007,21(11):141-145

本文通过对不同品种不同栽培模式美国杏李生长和林地土壤含水量动态变化分析表明:栽培模式3抗旱性好,在研究地可广泛应用;栽培模式2在研究地比较适合在有一定灌溉条件的地区应用;栽培模式1抗旱性适中,可在研究地土壤水分条件尚好的地区应用;栽培模式5可在研究地土壤水分条件尚好的地区控制应用;栽培模式4在研究地不宜采用。  相似文献   

Predicting the age of fish using general and generalized linear models of biometric data: A case study of two estuarine finfish from New South Wales, Australia     

Faith A. Ochwada  James P. Scandol  Charles A. Gray 《Fisheries Research》2008,90(1-3):187-197

Direct ageing of fish can be a laborious and expensive task when age estimates from a large population are required, and often involves a degree of subjectivity. This study examined the application of general and generalized linear models that predict the age of fish from a range of efficiently and objectively measured covariates. The data sampled were from yellowfin bream (Acanthopagrus australis (Sparidae) (Owen, 1853)) and sand whiting (Sillago ciliata (Sillaginidae) Cuvier, 1829) populations from New South Wales, Australia. The covariates evaluated in the models were fish length, otolith weight, sex and location (the estuary from which the fish were sampled). Akaike Information Criteria were used for model selection and residual plots of the final models revealed a satisfactory fit to the observations. The best fitting model for each species included all covariates. An additional investigation considered whether general and generalized linear models that predict age from two different categories of biometric information outperform age-length keys with respect to subsequent estimates of total mortality from catch-curve analysis. The two categories of biometric information differed in the ease and cost with which the information could be collected. The first category only included fish length and location as covariates, whilst the second category also included otolith weight and sex. It was found that traditional age-length keys outperformed the predictive models that estimated age from only fish length and location, because the results from the models were prone to significant bias. However, when otolith weight and sex were added as covariates to the predictive models, some of them, including a generalized linear model with a Poisson-distributed response variable, performed similarly to the age-length key. Given that otolith weight and the sex of fish are cheaper to quantify than age from a sectioned otolith in many situations, general or generalized linear models may represent a cheaper and faster method of estimating mortality compared to age-length keys. Such models can also easily incorporate the influence of spatial, temporal and demographic variation.  相似文献   

变量筛选方法对郁闭度遥感估测模型的影响比较   总被引：2，自引：0，他引：2  

琚存勇  邸雪颖  蔡体久 《林业科学》2007,43(12):33-38

比较基于偏最小二乘回归的Bootstrap方法与传统的平均残差平方和(RMSq)准则所选变量建立模型的精度差别.结果表明:Bootstrap方法是一种更优秀的变量筛选方法,比RMSq方法精度提高约5%;而且它不受变量多带来的运算困难的限制,更便于实际应用.  相似文献   

Modelling of soil nutrient budgets: an assessment of agricultural sustainability in Nepal     

S. Brown  H. Schreier  P.B. Shah  L.M. Lavkulich 《Soil Use and Management》1999,15(2):101-108

Abstract. Sustaining soil fertility under agricultural intensification and expansion onto marginal lands is a significant challenge in the Nepalese Middle Mountains. In a detailed watershed study it was shown that the overall soil fertility is poor, forest soils display the poorest conditions as a result of biomass removal, and sustaining agriculture is questionable due to the transformation from traditional to multiple cropping systems. Parent material is a significant factor influencing low phosphorus status while insufficient inputs create deficiencies in total carbon, nitrogen and bases. A nutrient budget model was developed to assess inputs, redistribution and losses relative to soil fertility. Yield, input and management data obtained from farm interviews, and soil analysis data were used in the calculation of nutrient budgets. Results from modelling indicate declining soil fertility under rainfed agriculture, forest and rangelands, and marginal conditions under irrigated agriculture subject to intensive cultivation. Nutrient deficits were relatively low for irrigated rice-wheat systems, which benefit from nutrient inputs via sediments and irrigation waters, but the introduction of triple cropping showed greater deficits. Nutrient balances were most critical under rainfed maize production where 94% of the farms were in deficit. Current shortages of organic matter make elimination of nutrient deficits problematic but improvement of composting, biological N-fixation and fertilizer efficiency and reducing erosion were found to be potential options.  相似文献