Geostatistical interpolation and aggregation of crop growth model outputs     

《European Journal of Agronomy》2016

Many crop growth models require daily meteorological data. Consequently, model simulations can be obtained only at a limited number of locations, i.e. at weather stations with long-term records of daily data. To estimate the potential crop production at country level, we present in this study a geostatistical approach for spatial interpolation and aggregation of crop growth model outputs. As case study, we interpolated, simulated and aggregated crop growth model outputs of sorghum and millet in West-Africa. We used crop growth model outputs to calibrate a linear regression model using environmental covariates as predictors. The spatial regression residuals were investigated for spatial correlation. The linear regression model and the spatial correlation of residuals together were used to predict theoretical crop yield at all locations using kriging with external drift. A spatial standard deviation comes along with this prediction, indicating the uncertainty of the prediction. In combination with land use data and country borders, we summed the crop yield predictions to determine an area total. With spatial stochastic simulation, we estimated the uncertainty of that total production potential as well as the spatial cumulative distribution function. We compared our results with the prevailing agro-ecological Climate Zones approach used for spatial aggregation. Linear regression could explain up to 70% of the spatial variation of the yield. In three out of four cases the regression residuals showed spatial correlation. The potential crop production per country according to the Climate Zones approach was in all countries and cases except one within the 95% prediction interval as obtained after yield aggregation. We concluded that the geostatistical approach can estimate a country’s crop production, including a quantification of uncertainty. In addition, we stress the importance of the use of geostatistics to create tools for crop modelling scientists to explore relationships between yields and spatial environmental variables and to assist policy makers with tangible results on yield gaps at multiple levels of spatial aggregation.  相似文献   

雌雄异株植物生长释放/抑制判定及其气候解释     

陶发墙  高露双  王晓明 《北京林业大学学报》2015,37(3):111-117

利用树轮学方法,以长白山雌雄异株植物红豆杉、山杨和水曲柳为研究对象,通过判定雌雄异株树种生长释放/抑制事件及其与气候因子的关系,以期揭示物种属性和性别因素对树木生长释放/抑制事件的影响及其对气候响应机制的差异性。结果表明:3种雌雄植株的生长释放事件大多发生在幼龄阶段,生理特征差异也可能导致不同雌雄植株发生生长释放事件的时间和频率存在一定差异性。性别因素对山杨和红豆杉雌雄植株的生长释放存在显著影响,山杨雌株和红豆杉雄株对外界环境干扰更为敏感,水曲柳雌雄株对环境干扰的响应差异不明显;山杨更易受到外界环境干扰发生生长释放事件;水曲柳植株发生生长释放/抑制事件可能与林窗干扰有关。红豆杉和山杨的生长释放事件与气候因子具有显著相关关系,红豆杉雄株与温度、降水则存在显著正相关关系(P0.05),山杨雄株与温度、降水则存在显著负相关关系(P0.05),山杨雌株与降水呈显著负相关关系(P0.05),植株的生长释放/抑制事件对气候的响应与树木径向生长--逐月气候因子的关系有所不同。因此应当考虑生长--气候因子之间的非线性关系以及物种和性别因素对生长--气候关系的影响,以期完善植株生长对气候的响应机制。   相似文献   

苦瓜转录因子McEIL2的克隆及其表达分析     

高山  许端祥  陈中钐  谢鑫鑫  钟开勤  林碧英  温庆放 《分子植物育种》2015,(6)

本研究从已构建的苦瓜果实均一化文库筛选得到一个EIN3-like同源EST序列,结合RACE技术,克隆得到EIN3基因c DNA全长序列,命名为Mc EIL2(Gen Bank登录号:KF595122)。该基因全长2 122 bp,开放阅读框1 890 bp,编码629个氨基酸,预测该蛋白的分子量为71.58 k D,与黄瓜Cus EIN3、甜瓜Cm EIL1、苜蓿Mt EIL1、绿豆Vr EIL1和番茄Le EIL1的蛋白同源性分别为89.61%、78.37%、71.23%、69.09%和65.66%。Mc EIL2基因的编码蛋白亚细胞定位于细胞核,荧光定量分析表明Mc EIL2基因表达量在幼果期先强后弱,绿熟期最低,破色期表达量大幅增加至最高随后下降,推测该基因参与苦瓜果实成熟软化调控过程。本研究初步明确了Mc EIL2基因在苦瓜成熟过程表达模式,可为今后进一步揭示苦瓜果实成熟软化的分子机制奠定基础。  相似文献   

不同规格穴盘育苗对茄苗及其栽培效益的影响     

周洪  朱鹏飞  徐佳 《蔬菜》2017,(10):11-13

为完善茄子穴盘育苗技术,对比研究了不同规格穴盘育苗的茄苗素质及栽培效益。结果表明:32孔规格穴盘育苗比50孔茄苗素质明显提升;移栽单栋钢架大棚后,32孔穴盘育苗的茄子早熟性比50孔穴盘育苗平均提前5 d,总产量增加15.3%;667 m~2投入成本32孔穴盘育苗比50孔穴盘育苗增加75.3%(35.6元),而收益增加了2 427.9元。因此建议大棚茄子种植采用32孔规格穴盘进行育苗。  相似文献   

Improving cereal yield forecasts in Europe – The impact of weather extremes     

《European Journal of Agronomy》2017

The impact of extreme events (such as prolonged droughts, heat waves, cold shocks and frost) is poorly represented by most of the existing yield forecasting systems. Two new model-based approaches that account for the impact of extreme weather events on crop production are presented as a way to improve yield forecasts, both based on the Crop Growth Monitoring System (CGMS) of the European Commission. A first approach includes simple relations – consistent with the degree of complexity of the most generic crop simulators – to explicitly model the impact of these events on leaf development and yield formation. A second approach is a hybrid system which adds selected agro-climatic indicators (accounting for drought and cold/heat stress) to the previous one. The new proposed methods, together with the CGMS-standard approach and a system exclusively based on selected agro-climatic indicators, were evaluated in a comparative fashion for their forecasting reliability. The four systems were assessed for the main micro- and macro-thermal cereal crops grown in highly productive European countries. The workflow included the statistical post-processing of model outputs aggregated at national level with historical series (1995–2013) of official yields, followed by a cross-validation for forecasting events triggered at flowering, maturity and at an intermediate stage. With the system based on agro-climatic indicators, satisfactory performances were limited to microthermal crops grown in Mediterranean environments (i.e. crop production systems mainly driven by rainfall distribution). Compared to CGMS-standard system, the newly proposed approaches increased the forecasting reliability in 94% of the combinations crop × country × forecasting moment. In particular, the explicit simulation of the impact of extreme events explained a large part of the inter-annual variability (up to +44% for spring barley in Poland), while the addition of agro-climatic indicators to the workflow mostly added accuracy to an already satisfactory forecasting system.  相似文献   

蓝果忍冬成熟期结合力变化规律的测试分析     

赵永超  孔德刚  何宇  张韵  霍俊伟  刘魏 《农机化研究》2016,(4)

为了弄清成熟蓝果忍冬结合力的特性和变化规律、给机械化收获提供技术依据,在蓝果忍冬成熟期间对4个常见品种果实结合力进行了为期16天的跟踪测试。通过分析研究得出:所测试的4个蓝果忍冬品种的结合力分布在0.1~1.7 N之间(P0.05),各品种结合力分布区间略有不同,所测试的野生阿尔泰忍冬、蓓蕾的结合力高于蓝鸟和长白山野生蓝靛果忍冬;各品种结合力随时间呈现出不同程度的下降趋势;同一天内下午的结合力显著大于上午的结合力(P0.05);晴天与阴雨天的结合力无显著性差异。通过因子分析,可将影响结合力的因素测试时间、上下午、相对湿度、温度及天气状况转换成环境因子和时间因子。  相似文献   

河北省2018年第三季度马铃薯价格走势分析     

翟宇  王哲  王悦 《蔬菜》2019,(2):65-67

依据对马铃薯价格的实时监控，以2018年河北省第三季度马铃薯价格为主要研究对象，阐明了2018年河北省马铃薯价格横向水平及纵向变化趋势，并对影响价格的因素进行了数据分析。结果显示：在河北、山东、甘肃3大产区及全国，2018年第三季度河北省马铃薯价格处于最低水平，明显低于全国平均水平，但年同比增幅最大。分析表明：马铃薯库存、气候的变化以及马铃薯收获期是影响第三季度河北省马铃薯价格的主要因素。最后，根据分析结果，提出调整种植结构、适时出售的建议。  相似文献   

Comparison of phenolic profiles and antioxidant activities in skins and pulps of eleven grape cultivars(Vitis vinifera L.)     

Fu-xiang LI  Fu-hua LI  Ya-xuan YANG  Ran YIN  Jian MING 《农业科学学报》2019,18(5):1148-1158

Eleven grape cultivars were analysed to explore the variety differences of fresh grape phenolic profiles. The results showed that free phenolics were predominant in grape skins and pulps, and showed the higher antioxidant activities than bound. In 11 cultivars, Muscat Kyoho extracts had the highest total phenolic content in skins(10.525 mg GAE g~(–1) FW) and pulps(1.134 mg GAE g~(–1) FW), and exhibited the highest DPPH radical scavening capacity(EC_(50)=11.7 μg mL~(–1)) and oxygen radical absorbance capacity(ORAC) value(190.57 μmol TE g~(–1) FW) of free phenolic in skin. In addition, the most abundant phenolics in grape skins were found to be flavonoids such as kaempferol in Kyoho skin(541.2 μg g~(–1) FW), rutin, catechin and epicatechin in Muscat Kyoho skin(262.3, 86.3 and 70.0 μg g~(–1) FW, respectively). Furthermore, the principal component analysis showed a strong difference of phenolic profiles with the cultivars, existing forms and distributions. Pearson correlation coefficient analysis showed a significant linear correlation between total phenolic content and antioxidant activity(P0.05). Therefore, both skins and pulps were rich sources of bioactive phenolic compounds, and Muscat Kyoho was the ideal source among all samples.  相似文献   

诱导Paracin1.7生成的刺激因子的分离与纯化     

田甜  孙艳阳  康杰  宋刚  高冬妮  葛菁萍 《中国农学通报》2020,36(32):17-22

旨在分离纯化枯草芽孢杆菌(Bacillus subtilis)中能够诱导细菌素Paracin1.7分泌的刺激因子,并探明其对副干酪乳杆菌(Lactobacillus paracasei) HD1.7细菌素生成量及群体感应相关基因luxS表达的影响。本研究通过60%硫酸铵沉淀、CM Sepharose Fast Flow弱阳离子交换柱层析中度纯化及Superdex 75凝胶层析精度纯化,将获得的层析分离物与L. paracasei HD1.7共培养,检测共培养发酵液的抑菌活性及luxS基因的转录水平,并用SDS-PAGE与Native-PAGE检测分离物质。结果表明L. paracasei HD1.7抑菌活性为126.68%;luxS基因上调表达,为对照菌株的2.43倍;刺激因子的表观分子量约为30 kDa。本研究利用三步法初步分离纯化出诱导Paracin1.7生成的刺激因子,明确该刺激因子可以启动种间群体感应相关基因luxS,为L. paracasei HD1.7的群体感应研究奠定了理论和技术基础。  相似文献   

Search for regulatory factors of the pituitary-specific transcription factor PROP1 gene     

Naoto NISHIMURA  Hiroki UEHARU  Hiroto NISHIHARA  Shiori SHIBUYA  Saishu YOSHIDA  Masashi HIGUCHI  Naoko KANNO  Kotaro HORIGUCHI  Takako KATO  Yukio KATO 《The Journal of reproduction and development》2016,62(1):93-102

  相似文献