呼伦贝尔地区苜蓿人工草地CO_2通量变化特征     

徐丽君  徐大伟  杨桂霞 《草原与草坪》2015,(5):60-64

试验采用密闭箱技术对呼伦贝尔地区种植的苜蓿人工草地进行碳通量研究,采用反硝化-分解作用模型(DNDC)进行模拟。试验结果表明:对苜蓿人工草地CO2通量24h连续观测发现,CO2通量全天变化的平均值(238.15mg/(m2·h)与11∶00(245.32mg/(m2·h)的通量变化值接近,试验从早上9∶00~11∶00进行温室气体的采集方法合理、可行;在整个生长季变化表明,7、8月CO2通量变化较显著(P0.05),且受到降水的影响较大,伴随降水的发生,CO2通量会发生不同幅度的变化,土壤温度和含水量对CO2通量有一定的影响(r0.45,P0.05);通过DNDC模型的模拟,能较好的反映苜蓿人工草地CO2通量的变化情况,但模拟结果数值普遍有些偏高。  相似文献   

林业应用系统本体知识模型的构建方法研究     

薛荟  谭三清 《现代农业科技》2011,(7):19-20

总结了林业应用系统本体构建的基本方法,介绍了本体知识模型的构建思路,以期为本体技术的推广应用提供参考。  相似文献   

含MCVaR的投资组合优化统一模型     

银建华 《湖南农业大学学报(自然科学版)》2011,(3):41-43

研究了Duarte提出的投资组合优化统一模型及条件风险价值（CVaR），分析了以CVaR为风险度量的投资组合优化模型的具体形式，建立了统一七种模型的投资组合优化统一模型，并发现统一模型是一个凸二次规划问题.  相似文献   

粮食生产潜力短期预测的“趋势-波动模型”的验证     

米长虹  刘书田  郑宏艳  李敬亚  黄治平  侯彦林  王农  蔡彦明  王铄今  侯显达 《农业环境与发展》2016,(2):194-200

应用全国、31个省、6个典型地区和16个典型县的数据对粮食生产潜力短期预测的"趋势-波动模型"进行了系统性的验证和讨论。研究结果表明:(1)预测误差大小反映短期生产潜力的预测精度,预测误差大的主要原因是经济发达地区高产农田被大量占用和(或)蔬菜、水果种植面积大幅度增加而短期内使粮食单产下降;(2)小趋势修正方法是"趋势-波动模型"中不可缺少的一部分,它能将大趋势预测不能包括的短期如气象因素、科技投入、社会因素等影响纳入预测中,提高预测精度;(3)就我国近些年来的实际情况而言,越是经济发达的地区短期生产潜力的波动越大;同样发达地区短期潜力存在增加-下降-回升阶段;(4)就短期生产潜力预测精度而言:国家级大于省级、省级大于地区级、地区级大于县级;不同省、不同地区、不同县之间预测精度差别比较大,这与境内气候的互补性和农田抗御自然灾害的能力有关。  相似文献   

Chinese Rural Comprehensive Reform: Theoretical Innovation,Key Contradictions and Countermeasures     

《东北农业大学学报(英文版)》2016,(3):79-89

As a systematic project,Chinese rural comprehensive reform(hereinafter referred to as "the reform") involved multiple dimensions such as rural governance,economy,culture,society and ecology,which laid a solid foundation for the overall reform in China.Western rural development theory had been proved to be insufficient to support Chinese rural reform.Therefore,theoretical innovation became urgent in the fields of rural governance,government functions,public finance and rural-urban integration etc.In recent years,Chinese rural comprehensive reform had been adjusting itself to the requirements of the "new normal".And during the process of agricultural modernization,the bottlenecks included the contradictory relationships between reform,development and overall stability,agricultural simplification and industrial diversification,economic development and environmental protection,rapid development of urban areas and slow progress of rural areas,grassroots governance and democratic supervision etc.Proper countermeasures would help to settle the above contradictions.  相似文献   

带常利率和相依结构更新风险模型的破产概率     

盖维丹 《湖南农业大学学报(自然科学版)》2016,(2):29-33

研究了一类具有常利率及相依结构的Sparre Andersen模型, 模型中假设理赔间隔时间决定下一次理赔额的分布情况. 对一般分布情形, 利用推广后的调节系数方程与递归更新技巧, 得到了此模型的最终破产概率上界的估计. 最后以理赔额和理赔间隔时间都服从指数分布的情况下的实例分析来说明该模型的有效性.  相似文献   

Characterization of Leptospira infection in suckling and weaning rat pups     

《Comparative immunology, microbiology and infectious diseases》2015

Rats are known to be the most important reservoirs of Leptospira spp. However, the leptospiral dose and age at which rats become resistant to Leptospira infection are not yet well elucidated. Aimed to characterize leptospirosis in rat pups, we found that suckling pups (4-, 7-, and 14-day old) are susceptible to leptospires and resistance starts from the weaning age (23-day old). Susceptibility of rat pups was also affected by the infecting dose of the organisms. Jaundice, decrease in body weight, and neurological symptoms prior to moribundity was evident in infected suckling pups. However, 23-day-old infected pups did not manifest any pathological changes and were able to survive the infection similar to adult rats. Based on these results, we propose the suckling rat pup as a novel animal model of human leptospirosis to investigate pathogenesis, development of host resistance, and the mechanisms involved in rats becoming maintenance hosts for leptospires.  相似文献   

互联网专车服务对出租车行业垄断的影响     

肖沛然 《湖南农业大学学报(自然科学版)》2015,(4):21-26

通过数学建模方法可知，由于出租车公司和政府部门追求垄断利润，出租车司机和消费者的福利减少，因此，对消费者和司机来说，出租车行业垄断确实是一种伤害.互联网专车服务以低廉的价格和优质的服务，是打破出租车行业垄断的有力工具.从模型分析揭示的结果可知：传统的出租车行业必须对司机、消费者、公司和政府间的利润分配制度进行深层次的改革.只有这样，才能建立一个和谐的出租车服务体系.  相似文献   

Estimation of Crown Temperature of Winter Wheat and the Effect on Simulation of Frost Tolerance          下载免费PDF全文

T. Persson  A. K. Bergjord Olsen  L. Nkurunziza  E. Sindhöj  H. Eckersten 《Journal of Agronomy and Crop Science》2017,203(2):161-176

Accurate estimation of winter wheat frost kill in cold‐temperate agricultural regions is limited by lack of data on soil temperature at wheat crown depth, which determines winter survival. We compared the ability of four models of differing complexity to predict observed soil temperature at 2 cm depth during two winter seasons (2013‐14 and 2014‐15) at Ultuna, Sweden, and at 1 cm depth at Ilseng and Ås, Norway. Predicted and observed soil temperature at 2 cm depth was then used in FROSTOL model simulations of the frost tolerance of winter wheat at Ultuna. Compared with the observed soil temperature at 2 cm depth, soil temperature was better predicted by detailed models than simpler models for both seasons at Ultuna. The LT50 (temperature at which 50 % of plants die) predictions from FROSTOL model simulations using input from the most detailed soil temperature model agreed better with LT50 FROSTOL outputs from observed soil temperature than what LT50 FROSTOL predictions using temperature from simpler models did. These results highlight the need for simpler temperature prediction tools to be further improved when used to evaluate winter wheat frost kill.  相似文献   

大兴安岭生态功能区建设的区划分析及“G＋X”管理模式构建     

姜钰  姜崧 《安徽农业科学》2011,39(6):3530-3531,3534

依据价值分析理念,对大兴安岭生态功能区进行了区划分析,并构建了大兴安岭生态功能区建设的＂G＋X＂管理模式。  相似文献