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S. E. Metcalfe J. D. Whyatt R. G. Derwent K. Bull H. Dyke 《Water, air, and soil pollution》1995,85(4):2619-2624
The roles of sulphur (S) and nitrogen (N) in causing critical loads exceedance across the UK show considerable spatial variability at the present time. Over much of lowland Britain it appears that the environment can only be protected by reducing N deposition, whilst in upland areas (e.g. most of Scotland and Wales) reductions in S deposition are the primary requirement. Using the Hull Acid Rain Model (HARM) the effects of current and possible future emissions control legislation on critical loads exceedance can be explored. Based on HARM output, the implementation of the UNECE Sulphur Protocol (1994) will bring about a substantial reduction in the amount of S being deposited in the UK, especially in central and southern parts of the country. Some areas will remain where additional reductions in S are required. Over most of the country, however, the need to reduce N deposition will become paramount. The changing contributions and significance of non-UK sources can be estimated. 相似文献
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M. Brown H. Dyke S. M. Wright R. A. Wadsworth K. R. Bull A. Farmer S. Bareham S. E. Metcalfe D. Whyatt C. Powlesland 《Water, air, and soil pollution》1995,85(4):2589-2594
Concern about the environmental effect of air pollution on areas of high conservation value in the UK has prompted the statutory agencies to initiate an investigation on these areas. For this, critical loads maps have been used together with predicted air pollution data, monitored air pollution data and remotely sensed land cover information within a geographic information system (GIS). Additional information on designated Sites of Special Scientific Interest (SSSI) for England and Wales have also been incorporated. This provides the framework for examining potential impacts to these sites under various current and future scenarios. The approach allows for the investigation of the impacts of individual point sources as well as complete national scenarios. Preliminary results are provided from analysis of a single pollutant (sulphur). These indicate that nationally up to 52% of the area of SSSI's (5000 km2) are at risk from soil acidification. Using this approach it has been possible to apportion the load on any SSSI, thereby enabling the ecological impacts of each point source to be identified. This information can then be used to assess priorities for regulatory controls. 相似文献
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This study reassesses the application of the geochemical model MAGIC in the prediction of long-term changes of water quality in response to changes in atmospheric deposition. It does so within the Monte Carlo based GLUE methodology in which it is possible to evaluate the performance of sets of model parameters in predicting the available observations as a means of constraining the uncertainty in current and future predictions. This work was prompted by previous work which showed that, for a typical upland site in Wales, MAGIC predictions were dominated by the depositional scenario used. Uncertainties in the depositional scenario are taken into account by using estimates of uncertainty for the different depositional sources including European anthropogenic sources as produced by the HARM model. The results show almost no change in predictive uncertainty bounds, in the form of 5th and 95th percentiles of the likelihood-weighted distributions, owing to tight observational data constraints. The implications of this lack of change with respect to predictive capability and possible over-constraint by observed data are discussed. 相似文献
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Murray Jon Fennell Joseph T. Blackburn George Alan Whyatt James Duncan Li Bo 《Precision Agriculture》2020,21(3):473-483
Precision Agriculture - Within the agrifood sector, the production of high yields is a driver for UK orchard husbandry. Currently, orchard tree management is typically a non-discriminatory method... 相似文献
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K.R. Bull J.R Hall J. Cooper S.E. Metcalfe D. Morton J. Ullyett T.L. Warr J.D. Whyatt 《Water, air, and soil pollution》2001,130(1-4):1229-1234
In many countries there has been much concern over maintaining biodiversity in natural ecosystems in the face of pressures such as changing land use and pollution. The 1992 UN Convention on Biodiversity calls upon signatories to develop national strategies for the conservation and sustainable use of biodiversity. In the UK, the potential impacts of sulphur and nitrogen deposition at the national level are being assessed using national critical loads and modelled deposition maps, together with available information on the occurrence of habitats and plant species. This simple approach gives an indication of the areas where atmospheric deposition may have impacts on biodiversity. The results of the analyses are presented and the strengths and weaknesses of the methods used are discussed. This first approach to considering the effects on biodiversity shows the importance of including the effects of atmospheric deposition in any biodiversity action plan. It also highlights those areas where more or improved information is required for the national strategy. With the modelled deposition data available, it would seem that reduced impacts are to be expected by 2010. However, higher resolution deposition data, better estimates of ammonium deposition, consideration of temporal aspects and the dynamics of change, and the use of higher resolution biological data sets are likely to suggest greater impacts than current predictions. 相似文献
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R. A. Wadsworth M. J. Brown K. R. Bull S. E. Metcalfe D. Whyatt C. Powlesland 《Water, air, and soil pollution》1995,85(4):2613-2618
The availability of national maps of critical loads for soils, vegetation and freshwaters helpsenable the assessment of the effects of large point sources of pollution in the UK. The deposition footprint of most major sources has been modelled and combined in a GIS with a national critical loads database. As part of an integrated pollution control strategy (IPC) it may be helpful to rank point sources in order of their effects on the environment. A comparison of the discriminating power and effectiveness of several ranking schemes has been carried out. A variety of ranking schemes were investigated, such as; total area where sulphur deposition exceeds the critical load or average mass deposited on areas where the critical load is exceeded. Their relative merits were compared for several current and future scenarios, such as, actual 1993 emissions or predicted emissions for 2001. Rankings for the unit emissions provided a measure of the pollution potential of each source and were a complex function of the location of sensitive areas and meteorological conditions. Rankings under other scenarios tended to be dominated by the relative magnitude of the emissions. Comparison between the ranking schemes was made using non-parametric statistics. The comparisons reveal complex interactions between different schemes. The approach is providing practical solutions to a pollution control strategy based on maximising environmental benefits. 相似文献
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J. D. Whyatt J. R. Stedman S. E. Metcalfe G. W. Campbell 《Water, air, and soil pollution》1995,85(4):1961-1966
Precipitation composition has been measured daily at five UK EMEP sites since 1987. Sulphur dioxide and sulphate aerosol concentrations are also measured daily at the sites. Back trajectories and wind sectors calculated by the Norwegian Meteorological Institute have been used to characterise the variation in wet deposition in terms of air mass source. Contributions to wet deposition from various source regions have been estimated for Eskdalemuir. Observations from the EMEP sites have been compared with output from the Hull Acid Rain Model (HARM). HARM is a Lagrangian model using simplified meteorology but straight-line trajectories. Results are compared on a site-by-site and sector-by-sector basis and the model reproduces the general features of pollutant concentration and wet deposition indicated by the measurements. The possible effects of future reductions in emissions of SO2 and NOx on precipitation concentrations by wind sector are described. 相似文献
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Metcalfe S. E. Derwent R. G. Whyatt J. D. Dyke H. 《Water, air, and soil pollution》1998,107(1-4):121-145
It is now recognised that a multi-pollutant, multi-effect approach needsto be adopted to address the range of problems caused by atmosphericpollution. In this paper we use a relatively simple trajectory model (HARM)to explore the coupled behaviour of sulphur dioxide (SO2),oxides of nitrogen (NOx) and ammonia (NH3) andthe possible effects of future reductions in emissions of these pollutantson depositions of S and N across Great Britain. The performance of HARM withrespect to concentrations and depositions of NOy andNHx is assessed by comparison with data from nationalmonitoring networks. A range of emissions scenarios are modelled and theeffects of these reductions on critical loads exceedance are explored usingthe critical loads function (CLF), which allows both the acidification andeutrophication effects of S and N deposition to be explored simultaneously.Spatial variations in the reductions of deposition of S and/or N required tomeet critical loads are described. Reductions in emissions of the precursorsof strong acids (SO2 and NOx) yield benefits interms of ammonium deposition as a result of their coupled chemistry. Thedevelopment of strategies to control nitrogen deposition will need to take this non-linearity in to account. 相似文献
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