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近半个世纪来和田地区气温变化分析
引用本文:孟彩侠,黄领梅,沈冰,秦胜英,李淼,武飞周.近半个世纪来和田地区气温变化分析[J].干旱区资源与环境,2007,21(1):51-53.
作者姓名:孟彩侠  黄领梅  沈冰  秦胜英  李淼  武飞周
作者单位:1. 西安理工大学,西安,710048;重庆交通学院,重庆,400074
2. 西安理工大学,西安,710048
3. 新疆和田河管理局,和田,848000
4. 中国水利水电第十四工程局,昆明,650041
基金项目:新疆和田世界银行贷款项目
摘    要:本文采用和田地区1954—2003年气温实测资料,使用滑动平均法计算气温年际及季节变化趋势;计算统计特征值来分析气温年内变化特征。得出如下结论:和田地区年气温有增加的趋势;夏季、秋季、冬季气温也有增加的趋势且冬季气温值增幅较大;标准差及变差系数都是冬季变化较为剧烈;偏度系数在夏季及秋季为正值;峰度系数值在冬季较大。

关 键 词:气温  滑动平均  统计特征值
文章编号:1003-7578(2007)01-051-03
收稿时间:2006-03-11
修稿时间:2006年3月11日

Analysis on the Temperature Variety of Hotan Area During the Second Half of Last Century
MENG Cai-xia,SHEN Bing,HUANG Ling-mei,QIN Sheng-ying,LI Miao,WU Fei-zhou.Analysis on the Temperature Variety of Hotan Area During the Second Half of Last Century[J].Journal of Arid Land Resources and Environment,2007,21(1):51-53.
Authors:MENG Cai-xia  SHEN Bing  HUANG Ling-mei  QIN Sheng-ying  LI Miao  WU Fei-zhou
Abstract:The observed data of temperature during 1954~2003 in Hotan area were used,the annual and seasonal change trends are analyzed by moving-average method;the statistical characteristics were calculated to analyze the variation feature of temperature within a year.The resuts showed that the annual average temperature had an increasing trend;summer,autumn and winter average temperature also had an increasing trend and the amplitude in winter was bigger;the change of standard deviation and coefficient of variation were acute during winter;the coefficients of skewness were positive value during summer and autumn;the kurtosis coefficients were bigger during winter.
Keywords:temperature  moving-average method  statistical characteristics
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