| 用GM(1.1)模型对青南地区雪灾的预测 |
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| 引用本文： | 芦光新.用GM(1.1)模型对青南地区雪灾的预测[J].青海草业,2000(3). |
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| 作者姓名： | 芦光新 |
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| 作者单位： | 青海大学农牧学院草业科学系!青海西宁810003 |
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| 摘 要： | 根据雪灾发生的离均系数 (S)≥ 2 .0时 ,就会发生雪灾的这一规律 ,应用 GM(1 .1 )模型对青南地区雪灾可能发生的趋势进行了预测 ,并且提出了防御雪灾的对策。
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| 关 键 词： | 青南地区 雪灾 预测 |
Application of GM(1.1)Model on Forecasting of Snow Disasters in Qing nan Region |
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| IU Guang-xing.Application of GM(1.1)Model on Forecasting of Snow Disasters in Qing nan Region[J].Qinghai Prataculture,2000(3). |
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| Authors: | IU Guang-xing |
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| Abstract: | This paper utilized deviation cofficient(s) of snow disasters When deviation coefficient of snow disasters beyomded2.0,Snow disasters would ocur,and using GM(1.1) Model forecast the tendency of snow disasters.providing defensive countermeasure of snow disasters. |
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| Keywords: | Qingnan region snow disasters forecast |
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