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多指标综合评价方法应用的系统回顾与展望
引用本文:王 聪,丁子玮,姜 培,潘绪斌.多指标综合评价方法应用的系统回顾与展望[J].植物保护,2022,48(6):187-192.
作者姓名:王 聪  丁子玮  姜 培  潘绪斌
作者单位:(1. 中国检验检疫科学研究院植物检验与检疫研究所, 北京 100176; 2. 中国农业大学, 北京 100193; 3. 全国农业技术推广服务中心, 北京 100125)
基金项目:中国检验检疫科学研究院基本科研业务费(2021JK007);国家重点研发计划(2021YFC2600403)
摘    要:蒋青等于1994年-1995年创立的多指标综合评价方法经历二十多年的应用、众多研究人员的拓展和改进,有力地推动了我国在有害生物风险分析领域的发展。本文收集了国内已有的参考和应用此方法开展有害生物风险分析研究的文献,梳理了该方法的应用案例,开展了相关文献的可视化分析,更加直观地展示了多指标综合评价方法的应用进展、研究热点和发展趋势。面对未来全球有害生物新发、突发和常态化等风险分析实际需求,有必要对该方法进行优化。通过对该方法的系统回顾,总结了该研究方法的特点和变化情况,并基于该方法与其他国际同类方法的比较对其进一步发展进行了展望。

关 键 词:有害生物    有害生物风险分析    半定量评估    关联性分析
收稿时间:2022/6/23 0:00:00
修稿时间:2022/7/9 0:00:00

Systematic review and perspective of the application of multi-index comprehensive evaluation method
WANG Cong,DING Ziwei,JIANG Pei,PAN Xubin.Systematic review and perspective of the application of multi-index comprehensive evaluation method[J].Plant Protection,2022,48(6):187-192.
Authors:WANG Cong  DING Ziwei  JIANG Pei  PAN Xubin
Institution:(1. Institute of Plant Inspection and Quarantine, Chinese Academy of Inspection and Quarantine, Beijing 100176, China; 2. China Agricultural University, Beijing 100193, China; 2. National Agro-Tech Extension and Service Center, Beijing 100125, China)
Abstract:The multi-index comprehensive evaluation method, established by JIANG Qing et al. in 1994-1995, has experienced more than 20 years of application and improvement, which has effectively promoted the development of pest risk analysis in China. Based on the collection of domestic research literatures on the application of this method, we carried out a visualized analysis of relevant literatures, and intuitively demonstrated the application progress, research hotspots and development trend of multi-index comprehensive evaluation method. Facing the actual needs of risk analysis such as new outbreaks and normalization of global pest outbreaks in the future, it is necessary to optimize this method. Through systematic review of this method, its characteristics and changes were summarized and its further development was prospected based on the comparison between this and other international methods.
Keywords:pest  pest risk analysis  semi-quantitative assessment  correlation analysis
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