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山西省农业机械化发展现状及其影响因素分析
引用本文:王卓敏,崔清亮.山西省农业机械化发展现状及其影响因素分析[J].农业工程,2022,12(6):20-25.
作者姓名:王卓敏  崔清亮
作者单位:山西农业大学农业工程学院,山西 晋中 030801
摘    要:机械化是促进农业生产力的重要标志,对山西省农业机械化动态变化情况进行分析,挖掘制约其均衡发展的主要因素,对精准制定山西省农业机械化发展策略具有重要意义。在对山西省2004—2019年农业机械化水平发展趋势比较分析的基础上,根据山西省农业机械化发展的特点及现状,运用主成分分析法提取了影响山西省农业机械化水平的2个主成分,并创建了多元线性回归模型。结果表明,除农业机械户年末机构数量和乡村农业机械从业人员数量呈负相关外,机电灌溉面积、机播面积、人均农业生产总值、机械植保面积、机收面积、机耕面积、大中型拖拉机数量、农村居民人均可支配收入、节水灌溉类机械数量与农业机械化水平均呈正相关,对山西省农业机械化发展具有显著的促进作用。因此,提高农机总动力,促进大中型农业机械的使用和农机具合理配套,同时保证农业生产总值、农村居民人均可支配收入的大幅度提高,是提高山西省农业机械化水平的重要举措。 

关 键 词:农业机械化    影响因素    主成分分析    回归模型    农机总动力    山西省
收稿时间:2021/12/29 0:00:00
修稿时间:2022/2/18 0:00:00

Development Situation and Influencing Factors of Agricultural Mechanization in Shanxi Province
WANG Zhuomin and CUI Qingliang.Development Situation and Influencing Factors of Agricultural Mechanization in Shanxi Province[J].Agricultural Engineering,2022,12(6):20-25.
Authors:WANG Zhuomin and CUI Qingliang
Institution:College of Agricultural Engineering,Shanxi Agricultural University,Jinzhong Shanxi 030801,China
Abstract:Agricultural mechanization is an important symbol of promoting agricultural productivity. Analyzing the dynamic changes of Agricultural Mechanization in Shanxi Province and excavating the main factors restricting its balanced development are of great significance to accurately formulate the development strategy of Agricultural Mechanization in Shanxi Province. This paper compares and analyzes the development trend of agricultural mechanization level in Shanxi Province from 2004 to 2019. According to the current characteristics and current situation, two principal components are extracted by using the principal component analysis method, and establishes a multivariate linear regression model. The results show that, in addition to the negative correlation between the number of agricultural machinery households at the end of the year and the number of rural agricultural machinery employees, the Electromechanical irrigation area, machine sowing area, per capita agricultural GDP, mechanical plant protection area, machine harvest area, machine tillage area, the number of large and medium-sized agricultural tractors, the per capita disposable income of rural residents. The number of water-saving irrigation machinery is positively correlated with the level of agricultural mechanization, it is helpful to promote the development of agricultural mechanization in Shanxi Province. Therefore, improving the total power of agricultural machinery, promoting the rational matching of agricultural machines and tools and ensuring the increase of agricultural GDP and per capita disposable income of rural residents are important measures to improve the level of Agricultural Mechanization in Shanxi.
Keywords:Agricultural mechanization  influencing factors  present situation  principal component analysis  regression mode
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