| 荆南干堤综合安全模型应用风险评价体系研究（英文） |
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| 引用本文： | 王亚军.荆南干堤综合安全模型应用风险评价体系研究（英文）[J].浙江水产学院学报,2011(3):230-242. |
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| 作者姓名： | 王亚军 |
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| 作者单位： | 浙江海洋学院船舶与建筑工程学院,浙江舟山316004 |
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| 基金项目： | 浙江海洋学院科研项目（21045032610）;浙江海洋学院科研启动项目（21045011909） |
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| 摘 要： | 为获得荆南长江干堤的安全特性,在层次分析法及模糊一致理论基础上,考虑堤防工程水、土两相系材料的特点,建立了模糊综合评判系统结构模型。通过正态型的模糊分布隶属函数,结合两种权值理论实现了对堤防工程的安全综合评判。在模糊综合评判结论的基础上,结合模式识别的间接方法,提出了广义多维加权模糊识别模型,实现了对典型堤身段的安全模式识别,并对模型指标体系作了敏感性分析。
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| 关 键 词： | 水、土两相系材料 正态型模糊分布隶属函数 安全综合评判安全模式识别 广义多维加权模糊识别模型 敏感性分析 |
Safety Model Comprehensive Judgement Application and Risk Evaluation System Research for Main Embankment of Yangtse Rive in Southern Jingzhou Zone of China |
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| Authors: | WANG Ya-jun |
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| Institution: | WANG Ya-jun(School of Naval Architecture and Civil Engineering of Zhejiang Ocean University,Zhoushan 316004,China) |
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| Abstract: | Inclusive of the consideration for Solid-Liquid double phase character of dike construction,fuzzy comprehensive judgement system model was set up on the basis of Analytic Hierarchy Process as well as Fuzzy Consistency Theorem.With normal membership of fuzzy function,dike construction safety comprehensive judgement was realized by the help of weighted theorem that had been fabricated in the foregoing contents.With indirect theorem of model discrimination,generalized multi-dimension weighted fuzzy discriminating model was set up on the basis of fuzzy comprehensive evaluation.Furthermore,dike section system safety model discrimination for representative dike section was realized and sensitivity analysis for model system was carried out. |
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| Keywords: | solid-liquid double phase character normal membership of fuzzy function safety comprehensive judgement dike section system safety model discrimination generalized multi-dimension weighted fuzzy discriminating model sensitivity analysis |
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