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气候变化对喀什市粮食产量的影响
引用本文:帕力孜旦·吾不力,迪丽努尔·阿吉.气候变化对喀什市粮食产量的影响[J].现代农业科技,2011(8):287-288.
作者姓名:帕力孜旦·吾不力  迪丽努尔·阿吉
作者单位:1. 新疆师范大学地理科学与旅旃管理学院,新疆乌鲁木齐,830054
2. 新疆师范大学地理科学与旅旃管理学院,新疆乌鲁木齐,830054;新疆干旱区湖泊环境与资源重点实验
摘    要:利用1971—2007年气象资料及相关统计数据,以喀什市为研究区域,运用主成分分析法,定量分析气候变化对粮食产量的影响。研究表明:粮食产量变化波动中上升;气候生产潜力偏低,自然因素在粮食增产中的影响比重越来越高;降水稀少、蒸发旺盛成为限制作物增产的主要因素。

关 键 词:气候变化  粮食产量  主成分分析  新疆喀什

Effect of Climate Changes on Grain Yield of Kashi City
Authors:Palizidan·Wubuli  Dilinuer·Aji
Institution:(1 Xinjiang Normal University Institute of Geography Science and Tourism Management,Urumqi Xinjiang 830054; 2 Xinjiang Arid Area Lakes,Key Laboratory of Environment and Resources)
Abstract:Based on the meteorological data and relative statistical datas from 1971 to 2007,with Kashi City as the study area,quantitative analysis of the impact of climate on grain yield was made by using principal component analysis.The results showed that the grain yield rose with fluctuation;climate productivity was lower,the proportion of natural factors in increasing grain production were higher and higher.Little precipitation and strong evaporation were been the main factors to limit grain yield.
Keywords:climate changes  grain yield  principal component analysis  Kashi Xinjiang
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