| 青海省农业产业结构调整与农业经济增长关系的实证分析 |
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| 引用本文： | 李生梅,陈宗颜.青海省农业产业结构调整与农业经济增长关系的实证分析[J].青海农林科技,2010(3):43-45,70. |
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| 作者姓名： | 李生梅 陈宗颜 |
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| 作者单位： | 青海师范大学生命与地理科学学院,青海,西宁,810008 |
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| 摘 要： | 本文运用灰色关联模型对青海省1991-2008年间的农业产业结构转换的速度和趋势做了定量分析,测算了省农业产业结构变动对农业经济增长的贡献。研究表明考察期间内农业经济增长的2.27%可以由产业结构变动来解释;产业结构变动对区域农业经济增长的贡献具有波动性、阶段性的特点,农业经济表现出不稳定性;2004年以后,农业结构趋于平稳,对农业经济增长表现出稳定的正向作用。研究发现,结构调整对农业经济增长有重要影响且还有较大的上升空间,进而对农业结构调整提出了若干建议。
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| 关 键 词： | 农业结构 农业经济增长 实证研究 青海省 |
Empirical analysis of the Agricultural Industrial Structure and Agricultural Economic Growth in Qinghai |
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| LI Sheng-mei,CHEN Zong-yan.Empirical analysis of the Agricultural Industrial Structure and Agricultural Economic Growth in Qinghai[J].Science and Technology of Qinghai Agriculture and Forestry,2010(3):43-45,70. |
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| Authors: | LI Sheng-mei CHEN Zong-yan |
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| Institution: | (Collage of Life and Geology Sciences,Qinghai Normal University,Xining Qinghai 810008,China) |
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| Abstract: | Based on related agricultural data from 1991 to 2008,this article makes a quantitative analysis of the rate conversion of agricultural structure and trends in Qinghai Province by using the Gray correlation model.The results of study show that 2.27% of agricultural economic growth could be explained by change of a cultural industrial structure.The contributions are characterized by fluctuant stages and different stages,and agricultural economy is instable.Agricultural industrial structure turns to be stable since 2004,which has a positive effect on agricultural economic growth.The results of study also indicate that structural adjustment in agriculture makes an important role in economic growth and there is still much room for economic growth,then the author put forward some constructive advise. |
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| Keywords: | Agricultural industrial structure Agricultural economic growth Empirical analysis Qinghai Province |
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