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THE MONTE-CARLO METHOD FOR RELIABILITY EVALUATION OF LARGE SCALE COMPOSITE GENERETION-TRANSMISSION SYSTEMS
作者姓名:Li  Wenyuan  Sun  Hongbo  Zhou  Jiaqi
作者单位:Li Wenyuan Sun Hongbo Zhou Jiaqi
摘    要:The paper presents a Monte-carlo method for reliability evaluation of large scale composite generation transmission systems. The method, which possesses coputational rapidity and sufficient accuracy,is based on combining the dispersed sampling techique with the analysis approach and the optimization model of power not supplied. Because the amount of calculation increases only linearly with, the number of elements, it is specially sui- table for large scale systems. The Monte-carlo sampling draws more near the real situation than determinate state enumeration in simulating occurrence of power system outages. Also, the method can be easily generalized to involve multi-states of elements, multi-levels and stochastic distribution of loads. The results of IEEE-RTS, as example, are given and compared with ones obtained by using the other two methods.

关 键 词:Reliability    composite  systems    Monte-Carlo  Method    dispersed  sampling  technique  

THE MONTE-CARLO METHOD FOR RELIABILITY EVALUATION OF LARGE SCALE COMPOSITE GENERETION-TRANSMISSION SYSTEMS
Li Wenyuan Sun Hongbo Zhou Jiaqi.THE MONTE-CARLO METHOD FOR RELIABILITY EVALUATION OF LARGE SCALE COMPOSITE GENERETION-TRANSMISSION SYSTEMS[J].Storage & Process,1989(3):92-98.
Authors:Li Wenyuan Sun Hongbo Zhou Jiaqi
Institution:Li Wenyuan Sun Hongbo Zhou Jiaqi
Abstract:The paper presents a Monte-carlo method for reliability evaluation of large scale composite generation transmission systems. The method, which possesses coputational rapidity and sufficient accuracy,is based on combining the dispersed sampling techique with the analysis approach and the optimization model of power not supplied. Because the amount of calculation increases only linearly with, the number of elements, it is specially sui- table for large scale systems. The Monte-carlo sampling draws more near the real situation than determinate state enumeration in simulating occurrence of power system outages. Also, the method can be easily generalized to involve multi-states of elements, multi-levels and stochastic distribution of loads. The results of IEEE-RTS, as example, are given and compared with ones obtained by using the other two methods.
Keywords:Reliability  composite systems  Monte-Carlo Method  dispersed sampling technique  
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