| 对中国—巴基斯坦自由贸易区贸易效应的引力模型分析 |
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| 引用本文： | 段丽丽,布娲鹣&#;阿布拉.对中国—巴基斯坦自由贸易区贸易效应的引力模型分析[J].云南农业大学学报,2009,3(4):42-46,55. |
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| 作者姓名： | 段丽丽 布娲鹣&#;阿布拉 |
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| 作者单位： | 新疆农业大学经济与管理学院,新疆乌鲁木齐830052 |
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| 摘 要： | 与巴基斯坦建立自由贸易区是中国近来积极参加区域经济合作的又一次重大尝试。运用引力模型，估计和考察影响中国与巴基斯坦双边贸易量的因素以及中国与巴基斯坦的贸易潜力，得出自由贸区的建立将更有利于提高两国的经贸合作水平，减少两国对区外其他国家的依存度。此外，认为两国之间发展双边贸易的潜力尚未充分发挥，在经济全球化和区域经济一体化的背景下，中国和巴基斯坦签订FTA对两国具有重要意义。
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| 关 键 词： | 引力模型 自由贸易区 贸易潜力 |
Based on Gravity Model to Analysis on Trade of the China-Pakistan Free Trade Area |
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| Institution: | DUAN Li-li, BU Wajian · A BuLa (College of Econonics and Management, Xinjiang Agricultural University, Ulumqi 830052, China) |
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| Abstract: | It is another major attempt for China to establish a free trade area with Pakistan in recent regional economic cooperation. Based on Gravity Model, this paper made an empirical analysis on the trade factors affecting both sides volume of China and Pakisan, and estimated Chinese and Pakistan＇s trade potential, then came to the conclusion that the establishment of FTA can better promote the cooperation of economical trade, and the degree of dependency between the two countries will be promoted. The bilateral trade potential between both countries is not fully developed yet, and also has certain expansion bilateral trade space. All of these show that in the economic globalization and under the regional economies integration＇s background, it is of great significance for China and Pakistan to sign FTA. |
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| Keywords: | gravity model free trade area trade potential |
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