| 暴雨预报的力子天气学模式和应用实例(英文) |
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| 引用本文： | 姜海泉,张剑明.暴雨预报的力子天气学模式和应用实例(英文)[J].农业科学与技术,2012(4):852-856,896. |
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| 作者姓名： | 姜海泉 张剑明 |
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| 作者单位： | 湖南省株洲市气象局 |
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| 摘 要： | 目的]对2010年湖南汛期13次暴雨过程进行力子天气学分析。方法]采用力子天气学原理,通过对2010年出现在湖南的13次区域性暴雨天气过程进行合成分析。结果]2010年湖南汛期的13次暴雨都与自组织的辐合水气流密切相关,暴雨是自组织辐合水汽流爆发后所产生的必然结果;自组织辐合水汽流的孕育区对应未来12-36小时出现暴雨的区域;自组织辐合水汽流孕育区一旦消失,则未来12-36小时不会有区域性暴雨出现;自组织辐合水汽流孕育区产生在大尺度南北力子偶的交汇域。结论]南北力子偶是否存在可以作为汛期区域性暴雨的短期预报模式。
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| 关 键 词： | 汛期暴雨 自组织辐合水汽流 力子天气学 南北力子偶 |
Lizi Synoptic Model for Rainstorm Forecast and its Applicable Sample |
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| Haiquan JIANG,Jianming ZHANG.Lizi Synoptic Model for Rainstorm Forecast and its Applicable Sample[J].Agricultural Science ＆ Technology,2012(4):852-856,896. |
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| Authors: | Haiquan JIANG Jianming ZHANG |
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| Institution: | Zhuzhou Meteorological Bureau,Zhuzhou 412003,China |
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| Abstract: | Objective] The paper was to analyze lizi synoptic meteorology of 13 rainstorm processes during the flood season of Hunan Province in 2010.Method] Using the principle of lizi synoptic meteorology,13 regional rainstorm weather processes occurred in Hunan Province in 2010 were analyzed.Result] Thirteen rainstorms are all closely related to self-organization convergent airflow,rainstorm is the inevitable result after the outbreak of self-organization convergent airflow.The inoculation area of self-organization convergent airflow is accorded with the occurrence area of rainstorm in the next 12-36 h;once the inoculation area of self-organization convergent airflow disappears,there will be no regional rainstorm in the next 12-36 h;the inoculation area of self-organization convergent airflow is produced in the convergence domain of large scale of southern and northern lizi pair.Conclusion] The existence of southern and northern lizi pair can be used as the short-term forecast model of regional rainstorm during flood season. |
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| Keywords: | Rainstorm during flood season Self-organization convergent airflow Lizi synoptic meteorology Southern and northern lizi pair |
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