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不同模型拟合奶牛泌乳曲线的效果分析
引用本文:程郁昕,胡春晖,田丰.不同模型拟合奶牛泌乳曲线的效果分析[J].中国奶牛,2010(4):24-26.
作者姓名:程郁昕  胡春晖  田丰
作者单位:1. 安徽科技学院动物科学学院,凤阳,233100
2. 江苏省金陵种兔场,南京,211103
基金项目:安徽省教育厅自然科学研究项目 
摘    要:收集921头荷斯坦牛1~5胎共2386胎次的第1~10泌乳月泌乳资料,选择Wood模型和多项式模型拟合奶牛泌乳曲线。结果,Wood模型对该奶牛群1~5胎(第1~10泌乳月)泌乳曲线的拟合精度R2偏低(0.8753~0.9791);剔除第1泌乳月,Wood模型拟合泌乳曲线(第2~10泌乳月)R2显著提高(0.8753~0.9791),拟合效果优秀。多项式模型对1~5胎(第1~10泌乳月)泌乳曲线进行拟合,R2都在0.90以上,拟合精度高,估计误差小。

关 键 词:Wood模型  多项式模型  泌乳曲线  拟合精度

Effects Analysis of Fitting Lactation Curve in Different Models
Cheng Yuxin,Hu Chunhui,Tian Feng.Effects Analysis of Fitting Lactation Curve in Different Models[J].China Dairy Cattle,2010(4):24-26.
Authors:Cheng Yuxin  Hu Chunhui  Tian Feng
Institution:Cheng Yuxin1,Hu Chunhui2,Tian Feng1(1.Animal Science College,Anhui Science , Technology University,Fengyang 233100,2.Jiangsu Jinling Breed Rabbit Farm,Nanjing 211103)
Abstract:To analyze the effects on Holstein lactation curve of different models, the milk yield of 1-10 milk months of 921 Holstein cows(1- 5 parities)was collected, the Wood' s model and the polynomial model were elected to fit the lactation curve of Holstein cows. The results showed that W of the Wood model fitting the lactation curve(1-10 milk months) of Holstein cows at 1-5 parities was on the low side(0.2019-0.4989). If the data of first milk month was eliminated, the W of the Wood's model fitting the lactation curve(2-10 milk months)were all obviously enhanced, ranged from 0.8753 to 0.9791, and the fitting effect of the Wood model was excellent. Fitting the lactation curve(1-10 milk months)of Holstein cows at 1-5 parities by the polynomial model, the R^2s were all above 0.90, the fitting accuracy was high, and the error was low.
Keywords:Wood' s model  Polynomial mode  Lactation curve  R2
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