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牙克石市近50年气候变化特点及旱涝趋势分析
引用本文:张艳娟.牙克石市近50年气候变化特点及旱涝趋势分析[J].内蒙古农业科技,2012(5):99-100,112.
作者姓名:张艳娟
作者单位:牙克石市气象局,内蒙古牙克石,022150
摘    要:利用牙克石市1961-2010年的年平均气温、年降水量、大风、无霜期日数资料分析了牙克石市近50年来的气候变化趋势及旱涝发生特点。分析结果表明:近50年来,牙克石市年平均气温为上升趋势,每10年平均上升了0.32℃。年平均气温波峰及波谷均为明显上升趋势,其中波峰有12~20年周期,波谷有10~16年周期;年降水量变化不是特别明显;旱涝出现的概率呈现出了增加的趋势;大风日数呈明显减少的趋势;无霜期基本无明显的变化。

关 键 词:气候变化  气温  降水  大风  无霜期  旱涝趋势

Yakeshi City in Recent 50 Years Climate Change Characteristics and Trend Analysis of Drought and Flood
ZHANG Yan-juan.Yakeshi City in Recent 50 Years Climate Change Characteristics and Trend Analysis of Drought and Flood[J].Inner Mongolia Agricultural Science and Technology,2012(5):99-100,112.
Authors:ZHANG Yan-juan
Institution:ZHANG Yan-juan(Yakeshi City Meteorological Bureau,Yakeshi 022150,China)
Abstract:The use of Yakeshi city 1961-2010 year annual average temperature,annual precipitation,wind,frost-free days of Yakeshi city in recent 50 years climate change and drought waterlogging occurrence characteristics.Analysis results show that:in the past 50 years,Yakeshi City,the annual average temperature is rising,the average increase of 0.32℃/10.The annual average temperature of wave crest and trough are clearly on the rise,which has 12-20 year cycle peaks,troughs have 10-16 year cycle;annual precipitation variation is not particularly evident;drought and flood occurrence probability of showing a tendency to increase;gale days showing a decreasing trend;frost-free period basically has no obvious change.
Keywords:Climate change  Temperature  Precipitation  Wind  Frost-free period  Trend of drought and flood
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