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铁岭地区降水量与玉米产量相关分析及预测模型研究
引用本文:吉相臣,刘昂,康玉侠.铁岭地区降水量与玉米产量相关分析及预测模型研究[J].现代农业科技,2012(5):306-308,313.
作者姓名:吉相臣  刘昂  康玉侠
作者单位:1. 辽宁省水文水资源勘测局铁岭分局,辽宁铁岭,112000
2. 辽宁西北供水有限责任公司
摘    要:利用铁岭地区1980—2008年玉米原始产量和典型生育期降水量等基础资料,分析了玉米产量与降水量相关性,参考农业部门得出的玉米各生育期降水量需求特点,提出了显著影响玉米产量的降水量关键期,建立了预测模型。同时对影响玉米产量的水文气象因素进行分析,提出建议。

关 键 词:降水量  玉米产量  相关分析  预测模型  辽宁铁岭

Correlation Analysis and Study on Predication Model of Rainfall and Maize Yield in Tieling Area
Authors:JI Xiang-chen  LIU Ang  KANG Yu-xia
Institution:1(1 Liaoning Province Hydrology and Water Resources Survey Bureau Tieling Branch,Tieling Liaoning 112000;2 Liaoning Northwest Water Supply Co.,Ltd)
Abstract:Based on maize original output and typical growth period rainfall in Tieling area from 1980 to 2008,correlation between maize yield and rainfall was analyzed.Taking water requirement characteristics in every growth period of maize from agricultural department as reference,the rainfall critical period which effect maize yield was put forward,and the precipitation prediction model was established.Meanwhile the hydrological and meteorological factors influencing maize yield were analyzed,and some suggestions were put forward.
Keywords:rainfall  maize yield  correlation analysis  predication model  Tieling Liaoning
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