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皖江地区耕地态势及驱动机制数理研究
作者姓名:朱传民  程久苗  李珍
作者单位:安徽师范大学国土资源与旅游学院 安徽芜湖241000(朱传民,程久苗),中国科学院新疆生态与地理研究所 乌鲁木齐830011(李珍)
摘    要:利用1978—2003年耕地及相关的统计和普查数据,定量分析探讨了皖江地区近20余年来耕地数量变化趋势及空间变化规律。在此基础上,应用主成分分析法定量诊断出影响耕地动态变化的主要驱动因子,揭示了耕地变化的驱动机制。加强耕地动态变化研究,分析耕地数量时空变化规律及驱动机制,对今后合理利用耕地资源、控制耕地进一步减少、保持耕地动态平衡具有重要意义。

关 键 词:动态变化  转换系数  耕地重心  驱动机制  皖江地区

Situation of Cultivated Land Change and Its Driving Forces in Wanjiang Region
Authors:Zhu Chuanmin  Cheng Jiumiao  Li Zhen
Institution:1 College of territorial resources and tourism Anhui Normal University Anhui Wuhu 241000; 2Xinjiang Institute of Ecology and Geography Chinese Academy of Sciences UrumQi 830011
Abstract:According to the statistics and detailed-investigation data of cultivated land area from 1978 to 2003, the trend and regional difference of cultivated land change in Wanjing region are deeply discussed with the helps of GIS. Based on which, the mechanism of driving forces for change in the cultivated land areas are dealt with by Principal Component Analysis in this paper. Research on dynamic changes and regional differences and mechanism driving forces of cultivated land are important for cultivated land rational use and maintaining homeostasis of cultivated land etc.
Keywords:Dynamic Change  Conversion Index  Cultivated Land Gravity Center  Driving Mechanism  Wanjiang Region
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