| 日照市生态足迹与经济增长关系的计量分析 |
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| 引用本文： | 杨凯齐,李俊莉,曹金秋,曲彩媛,孙文佳,王英楠.日照市生态足迹与经济增长关系的计量分析[J].水土保持通报,2017,37(2):302-307,312. |
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| 作者姓名： | 杨凯齐 李俊莉 曹金秋 曲彩媛 孙文佳 王英楠 |
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| 作者单位： | 曲阜师范大学地理与旅游学院,山东日照,276826 |
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| 基金项目： | 国家自然科学基金项目“国家可持续发展实验区转型机理与途径研究”（41601613）；日照市科技局应用技术研究与开发项目（2014SZPT002）；国家级大学生创新训练计划项目（201510446010） |
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| 摘 要： | 目的]测算日照市1994—2013年生态足迹构成及其承载状况,剖析生态足迹与经济总量以及3次产业之间的关系,为日照市生态城市建设提供理论借鉴。方法]综合应用生态足迹、协整理论和误差修正模型。结果]1994—2013年日照市人均生态足迹的变化呈现波动中增长的态势,年均增长率7.23%;人均生态足迹构成中,化石地所占比例最高;人均生态承载力不能满足人均生态足迹的需求,表现出生态赤字,研究期内生态压力指数增长了3.42倍;生态足迹的GDP弹性为0.489 5,其3次产业的弹性依次为0.651 5,0.624 2,-0.378 6。结论]日照市经济增长方式属于资源消耗型,生态足迹与GDP,3次产业之间存在长期稳定关系,为使资源、环境与经济、产业之间协调发展,提高资源利用效率、发展循环经济、升级第三产业势在必行。
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| 关 键 词： | 生态足迹 生态承载力 协整理论 误差修正模型 |
| 收稿时间： | 2016/9/1 0:00:00 |
| 修稿时间： | 2016/10/2 0:00:00 |
Econometric Analysis of Relationship Between Ecological Footprint and Economic Growth in Rizhao City |
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| YANG Kaiqi,LI Junli,CAO Jinqiu,QU Caiyuan,SUN Wenjia and WANG Yingnan.Econometric Analysis of Relationship Between Ecological Footprint and Economic Growth in Rizhao City[J].Bulletin of Soil and Water Conservation,2017,37(2):302-307,312. |
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| Authors: | YANG Kaiqi LI Junli CAO Jinqiu QU Caiyuan SUN Wenjia and WANG Yingnan |
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| Institution: | College of Geography and Tourist, Qufu Normal University, Rizhao, Shandong 276826, China,College of Geography and Tourist, Qufu Normal University, Rizhao, Shandong 276826, China,College of Geography and Tourist, Qufu Normal University, Rizhao, Shandong 276826, China,College of Geography and Tourist, Qufu Normal University, Rizhao, Shandong 276826, China,College of Geography and Tourist, Qufu Normal University, Rizhao, Shandong 276826, China and College of Geography and Tourist, Qufu Normal University, Rizhao, Shandong 276826, China |
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| Abstract: | Objective] The constitution of ecological footprint and condition of ecological carrying capacity in Rizhao City were measured during 1994-2013. The relationship between the ecological footprint and Rizhao''s GDP, the ecological footprint and the three industries was analyzed to provide theoretical suggestion for ecological construction. Methods] Based on theories of the ecological footprint, co-integration, error correction model, the constitution of ecological footprint. Results] There was an increasingly tendency in the fluctuating of the per capita ecological footprint, an average annual growth rate of 7.23%. Fossil energy land accounted for the highest proportion of the per capita ecological footprint. The per capita ecological carrying capacity could not meet the needs of the per capita ecological footprint, which revealed the ecological deficit obviously, ecological pressure index increased by 3.42 times during study period. The GDP elasticity of ecological footprint was 0.489 5, and the three industries elasticity of ecological footprint were 0.651 5, 0.624 2,-0.378 6 separately. Conclusion] The economic development in Rizhao City relied on consumption of substantial resources in a long run, there was long-term and stable relationship among ecological footprint, Rizhao''s GDP and the three industries. In order to promote coordinative development of resource, environment, economy and industry of Rizhao City, improving the efficiency of resource utilization, developing circular economy and upgrading the third industry are imperative. |
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| Keywords: | ecological footprint ecological carrying capacity co-integration error correction model |
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