| 全球气候变化对高寒山区融雪径流的影响及其敏感性分析 |
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| 引用本文： | 穆振侠,姜卉芳.全球气候变化对高寒山区融雪径流的影响及其敏感性分析[J].中国农村水利水电,2010,0(4):8-11. |
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| 作者姓名： | 穆振侠 姜卉芳 |
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| 作者单位： | 新疆农业大学水利与土木工程学院,乌鲁木齐,830052 |
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| 基金项目： | 国家自然科学基金资助项目 |
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| 摘 要： | 以天山西部山区为研究区,采用多种数理统计的方法以研究区1957-2005年实测的水文、气象资料为基础进行趋势变化及全球气候变化对降水、气温、径流影响的分析,并借助RS和GIS以新安江模型为基础建立了研究区数字水文模型,并对2005年融雪径流进行模拟。利用该模型结合不同的未来气候情景假设分析高寒山区融雪径流对气候变化的响应和敏感性。
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| 关 键 词： | RS/GIS 气候变化 融雪径流 高寒山区 新安江模型 |
| 收稿时间： | 2009-06-29 |
| 修稿时间： | 2009-11-30 |
The Effects of Global Climate Change on Snowmelt-runoffs in High Cold Alpine Areas and a Sensitivity Analysis of Them |
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| MU Zhen-xia
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JIANG Hui-fang.The Effects of Global Climate Change on Snowmelt-runoffs in High Cold Alpine Areas and a Sensitivity Analysis of Them[J].China Rural Water and Hydropower,2010,0(4):8-11. |
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| Authors: | MU Zhen-xia JIANG Hui-fang |
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| Institution: | MU Zhen-xia,JIANG Hui-fang(College of Water Conservancy , Civil Engineering,Xinjiang Agricultural University,Urumqi 830052,China) |
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| Abstract: | The west of the Tianshan mountains is used as a research area.By using various methods of mathematical statistics and based on the available hydrological and meteorological data between 1957 and 2005,the tendency change and the effects of global climate change to precipitation,temperature,snowmelt-runoff is analyzed.The digital hydrological model based on Xinanjiang model is established by means of RS and GIS,and the snowmelt-runoff is simulated during 2005.Using this model and assuming different future cli... |
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| Keywords: | RS/GIS climate change snowmelt-runoff high cold alpine areas Xinanjiang model |
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