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基于卢卡斯溢出模型的人力资本对耕地产出贡献率的测算——以甘肃省为例
引用本文:刘书安,陈英,赵亚南,王道骏.基于卢卡斯溢出模型的人力资本对耕地产出贡献率的测算——以甘肃省为例[J].水土保持通报,2015,35(4):152-156.
作者姓名:刘书安  陈英  赵亚南  王道骏
作者单位:甘肃农业大学资源与环境学院, 甘肃兰州 730070;甘肃农业大学资源与环境学院, 甘肃兰州 730070;甘肃农业大学资源与环境学院, 甘肃兰州 730070;甘肃农业大学资源与环境学院, 甘肃兰州 730070
基金项目:国家自然科学基金项目"村民关联度与农地利用的关系研究:以甘肃河西走廊为例"(71263003); 甘肃农业大学青年导师基金项目(GAU-QNDS-201201)
摘    要:目的]从农业从业人员人力资本存量角度分析农业从业人员所拥有的人力资本对提高耕地产出率的贡献率,为合理有效利用土地资源提供了理论依据。方法]采用卢卡斯溢出模型作为分析工具,运用SPSS 20.0软件,利用时间序列数据(2002—2012年甘肃省统计数据)对农业从业人员的人力资本存量对提高耕地产出率的贡献率进行分析。结果]甘肃省农业从业人员的人力资本对提高耕地产出率的贡献率和影响率分别为45.26%和5.55%;物质资本对其贡献率和影响率分别为20.29%和2.49%。结论]甘肃省农业从业人员的人力资本对提高耕地产出率的贡献率远大于物质资本的贡献率。因此,开发并利用好农业从业人员的人力资本将成为提高耕地产出率的关键之所在。

关 键 词:耕地产率  人力资本  卢卡斯溢出模型  收入模型  甘肃省
收稿时间:2014/5/18 0:00:00
修稿时间:6/2/2014 12:00:00 AM

Calculation of Contribution Rate of Land Output Based on Lucas Spillover Model of Human Capital -Taking Gansu Province as an Example
LIU Shuan,CHEN Ying,ZHAO Yanan and WANG Daojun.Calculation of Contribution Rate of Land Output Based on Lucas Spillover Model of Human Capital -Taking Gansu Province as an Example[J].Bulletin of Soil and Water Conservation,2015,35(4):152-156.
Authors:LIU Shuan  CHEN Ying  ZHAO Yanan and WANG Daojun
Institution:College of Resources and Environmental Sciences, Gansu Agricultural University, Lanzhou, Gansu 730070, China;College of Resources and Environmental Sciences, Gansu Agricultural University, Lanzhou, Gansu 730070, China;College of Resources and Environmental Sciences, Gansu Agricultural University, Lanzhou, Gansu 730070, China;College of Resources and Environmental Sciences, Gansu Agricultural University, Lanzhou, Gansu 730070, China
Abstract:Objective] We attempts to expound the really important function of farmer's human capital in terms of improving land output from the angle of farmer's human capital stock for the first time in order to provide a theoretical basis for reasonable and effective utilization of land resources. Methods] We analyzed the contribution of farmer's human capital stock in terms of improving land output by using the analyzing tools: revenue model and Lucas Spillover model, SPSS 20.0 software, time-series data(statistical data of Gansu Province in 2002-2012). Results] In Gansu Province, the rates of the contribution and the influence of the farmer's human capital to land output were 89.46% and 10.98%, and these of material capital to land output were 8.26% and 1.01%, which meant that the contribution rate of human capital to land output was far higher than that of material capital. Conclusion] Properly developing and employing human capital will make a great difference on improving land output.
Keywords:land output rate  human capital  Lucas Spillover model  revenue model  Gansu Province
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