| 农村劳动力价格上涨与劳动力转移对作物种植结构的区域性影响差异 |
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| 引用本文： | 黄玛兰,李晓云,曾琳琳.农村劳动力价格上涨与劳动力转移对作物种植结构的区域性影响差异[J].农业现代化研究,2019,40(1):98-108. |
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| 作者姓名： | 黄玛兰 李晓云 曾琳琳 |
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| 作者单位： | 华中农业大学经济管理学院 |
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| 基金项目： | 国家自然科学基金项目（71673102）；中央高校基本科研业务费专项基金（2662016PY060） |
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| 摘 要： | 利用1981—2015年29省面板数据,研究了农村劳动力价格上涨与转移对全国及不同劳动力流动类型分区农业种植结构和粮食内部结构变化的影响。结果表明:在全国层面,农村劳动力价格上涨与转移均对粮食及棉花种植比例有显著负向影响,对蔬菜及油料作物种植比例有显著正向影响。在粮食作物内部,劳动力价格上涨对水稻和小麦生产具有负向影响,对玉米生产具有正向影响;劳动力非农转移促进了小麦种植比例增加,减少了水稻和玉米种植比例。在不同劳动力流动类型分区中,农村劳动力价格上涨与转移对不同区域作物种植比例的影响存在显著差异。劳动力价格上涨对3个分区的蔬菜生产具有正向影响,对粮食作物生产具有负向影响;对劳动力流入和流出区水稻生产具有负向影响,对劳动力流动持平区具有正向影响。农村劳动力转移对3个分区的蔬菜、油料作物及小麦生产具有正向影响,对玉米生产具有负向影响;对劳动力流出和流动持平区水稻生产具有负向影响,而对劳动力流入区水稻生产具有正向影响。最后,文章提出相应优化区域种植结构布局的建议。
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| 关 键 词： | 农村劳动力价格 劳动力转移 作物种植结构 粮食作物 区域差异 |
| 收稿时间： | 2018/7/29 0:00:00 |
| 修稿时间： | 2018/10/24 0:00:00 |
Different reginal impacts of rural labor price increase and rural labor mitigation on crop structure in China |
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| HUANG Ma-lan,LI Xiao-yun and ZENG Lin-lin.Different reginal impacts of rural labor price increase and rural labor mitigation on crop structure in China[J].Research of Agricultural Modernization,2019,40(1):98-108. |
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| Authors: | HUANG Ma-lan LI Xiao-yun and ZENG Lin-lin |
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| Institution: | College of Economics and Management,Huazhong Agricultural University,College of Economics and Management,Huazhong Agricultural University,College of Economics and Management,Huazhong Agricultural University |
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| Abstract: | Based on a panel data of 29 provinces from 1981 to 2015, this paper examined different reginal impacts of rural labor price increase and rural labor mitigation on crop structure in China. Results show that both of the rapid increase of rural labor price and labor migration had significant negative impacts on grain and cotton planting areas, whereas they had positive impacts on vegetable and oil-bearing crops in general. Within grain crops the rapid increase of rural labor price was negatively related to rice and wheat planting areas, but positively related to corn acreage. Among the grain crops rural labor migration helped increase the proportion of wheat area but decrease the proportion of rice and corn areas. As to the three labor floating categories, different impacts of increasing rural labor price and labor migration on crops area had been observed. The rapid increase of rural labor price imposed the following influences: positive impacts on the proportion of vegetable areas, negative impacts on the proportion of grain areas in those three classified regions and on the proportion of rice area in migration-in and migration-out regions, and positive impacts in inactive regions which had a smaller floating population. Simultaneously, agricultural labor migration imposed significant positive impacts on vegetable, oil-bearing crops and wheat in all regions and some negative impacts on corn areas. With respect to rice, labor migration had some negative impacts in migration-out and in inactive regions and some positive impacts in migration-in regions. Implications to improve the regional crop planting structure had been summarized at the end of this paper. |
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| Keywords: | rural labor price rural labor migration crop structure grains spatial variation |
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