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基于灰色预测模型测算农业机械化贡献率
引用本文:罗红旗,聂学俊,刘霞.基于灰色预测模型测算农业机械化贡献率[J].农机化研究,2011(10).
作者姓名:罗红旗  聂学俊  刘霞
作者单位:北京工商大学机械工程学院;中国标准化研究院工业与消费品质量安全研究所;
摘    要:测算出农业机械化对农业生产的贡献份额,对农业机械化投入决策具有重要的参考作用。通过采用灰色系统预测方法,建立农业产出、农业机械化投入、物质消耗、劳动力投入和土地面积投入的灰色序列模型,得出农业投入产出总体回归模型,预测农业机械化贡献率。

关 键 词:农业机械化  贡献率  灰色预测模型  

Mechanization Profit Portion Estimation in Agricultural Industry Based on the Grey Model
Luo Hongqi,Nie Xuejun ,Liu Xia.Mechanization Profit Portion Estimation in Agricultural Industry Based on the Grey Model[J].Journal of Agricultural Mechanization Research,2011(10).
Authors:Luo Hongqi  Nie Xuejun  Liu Xia
Institution:Luo Hongqi1,Nie Xuejun 1,Liu Xia2(1.College of Mechanical Engineering,Beijing Technology and Business University,Beijing 100048,China,2.Department of Quality and Safety of Industrial and Consumer Products,China National Institute of Standardization,Beijing 100088,China)
Abstract:Profit Portion estimation for the mechanization in agricultural industry is useful for government strategic decision-making.By applying the prediction methods of the gray system theory,the prediction models were built and their prediction was made,including gross output value,mechnization input,material consumption,labor force participation and land area input.Then the mechanization profit portion in agricultural products industry was estimated.
Keywords:agricultural mechanization  profit portion estimation  gray model  
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