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南京市水资源承载状态障碍因素分析
引用本文:高晓琦,董增川,杨光,鲍庆煜,纪小敏,聂青.南京市水资源承载状态障碍因素分析[J].中国农村水利水电,2020(3):39-43,51.
作者姓名:高晓琦  董增川  杨光  鲍庆煜  纪小敏  聂青
作者单位:河海大学水文水资源学院;江苏省水文水资源勘测局南京分局;江苏省水文水资源勘测局
基金项目:江苏省水利科技重点项目(2016003)。
摘    要:通过构建南京市水资源承载状态评价指标体系,运用模糊综合评价法,结合AHP法对南京市各分区2015、2020及2030年的水资源承载状态分别进行评价,并在此基础上利用改进的障碍因素诊断方法对影响南京市水资源承载状态的障碍因素进行识别与分析。结果表明:南京市各分区2015年至2030年的水资源承载状态均处于中等或较差等级,整体呈现先改善后恶化的状态;其障碍因素主要包括水功能区水质达标率、万元GDP排污量、单位面积水资源量及人口密度。通过综合评价与障碍因素分析,为南京市水资源规划与管理提供了科学的依据,具有重要的现实意义。

关 键 词:水资源承载状态  模糊综合评价  障碍因素  南京市

An Analysis of the Obstacle Factors of Water Resources Carrying Status in Nanjing
GAO Xiao qi,DONG Zeng chuan,YANG Guang,BAO Qing yu,JI Xiao min,NIE Qing.An Analysis of the Obstacle Factors of Water Resources Carrying Status in Nanjing[J].China Rural Water and Hydropower,2020(3):39-43,51.
Authors:GAO Xiao qi  DONG Zeng chuan  YANG Guang  BAO Qing yu  JI Xiao min  NIE Qing
Institution:(College of Hydrology and Water Resources,Hohai University,Nanjing 210098,China;Jiangsu Hydrology and Water Resources Investigation Bureau,Nanjing 210029,China;不详)
Abstract:By constructing the evaluation index system of water resources carrying status in Nanjing,this paper uses fuzzy comprehensive evaluation method,combined with AHP method to evaluate the water resources carrying status of each district in Nanjing in 2015,2020 and 2030,and based on this,the obstacle factors affecting water resources carrying status in Nanjing are identified and analyzed by using the improved obstacle factors diagnosis method.The results show that from 2015 to 2030,water resources carrying status in all districts of Nanjing is medium or poor,and the overall situation is first improved and then deteriorated.The obstacles mainly include the water quality compliance rate of water function area,the amount of sewage discharged per 10000 yuan of GDP,the water resource per unit area and the population density.Through comprehensive evaluation and obstacle factor analysis,this paper provides a scientific basis for water resources planning and management in Nanjing,and has important practical significance.
Keywords:water resources carrying status  fuzzy comprehensive evaluation  obstacle factors  Nanjing
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