Modelling optimal timing and frequency of insecticide sprays for knockdown in preparation for other control measures |
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| Authors: | Hugh J Barclay John W Hargrove Robert Steacy P van den Driessche |
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| Institution: | 1. Pacific Forestry Centre, Victoria, Canada;2. SACEMA, DST/NRF South African Centre of Excellence in Epidemiological Modelling and Analysis, Stellenbosch, South Africa;3. Department of Mathematics and Statistics, University of Victoria, Victoria, Canada |
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| Abstract: | A modelling investigation was conducted into optimizing the number of sprays and inter-spray interval to reduce an insect population to a low level, for example, prior to pheromone trapping or the release of sterile males. The model population was age-structured and density-dependent. If spray mortality is 100% for each spray, then the ideal spraying schedule is easily determined from the durations of the various life stages. For spray mortality of less than 100%, a simulation was used to determine optimal spraying schedules. Relative length of the larval period, fertility rate and age to first oviposition were found to be the most important biotic parameters for this determination. Their importance is magnified as spray mortality decreases. The stage targeted by sprays and the percent mortality caused by each spray are also important in determining the required number of sprays. Using medfly (Ceratitis capitata Wiedmann) biotic parameters as an example when the spray targets adults, it appeared that neither the stage at which density-dependent mortality takes effect, nor the form of the adult survivorship curve are important in determining the optimal spray schedule. |
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| Keywords: | Insecticidal reduction knockdown optimal spray regime sterile insect technique medflies |
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