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褐斑病气象预测模型的建立
引用本文:李海霞,刘荣堂,秦赓.褐斑病气象预测模型的建立[J].草业科学,2010,27(2):71-76.
作者姓名:李海霞  刘荣堂  秦赓
作者单位:北京市石景山区园林管理局绿化工程一队,北京,100043;甘肃农业大学草业学院,甘肃,兰州,730030;兰太公司北京分公司,北京,100043
摘    要:在匍匐翦股颖Agrostis stolonifera草坪上利用气象数据和病害发生数据,建立褐斑病Rhizoctonia solani发生期预测模型Y=1/1+e(5.179+0.346T-0.156RH)];褐斑病发病率预测模型x=36.057-2.65T+0.615RH;褐斑病病情指数预测模型y=26.39-1.872T+0.394RH。病情指数与发病率之间相关性显著,得出二者的线性回归模型为y=0.67x-1.303。

关 键 词:褐斑病  预测模型  气象因子

The establishment of meteorological forecasting models for brown patch
LI Hai-xia,LIU Rong-tang,QIN Geng.The establishment of meteorological forecasting models for brown patch[J].Pratacultural Science,2010,27(2):71-76.
Authors:LI Hai-xia  LIU Rong-tang  QIN Geng
Institution:1.First Virescence Project Department of Shijingshan Gardening Bureau;Beijing 100043;2.Pratacultural Department of Gansu Agricultural University;Gansu Lanzhou 730030;3.Lantai Company;Beijing Branch;Beijing 100043
Abstract:Based on information of meteorological and data of brown patch(Rhizoctonia solani) of Agrostis stolonifera,three models were established as follows: 1): the model for infecting time is Y=1/1+e(5.179+0.346T-0.156RH)];2) the model for disease incidence is x=36.057-2.65T+0.615RH;3) the model for disease index is y=26.39-1.872T+0.394RH.The disease incidence(x) was significantly correlated with the disease index(y) as the formula: y=0.67x-1.303.
Keywords:brown patch  foresting model  meteorological factor  
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