| “一带一路”沿线国家对华原木出口贸易效率与潜力 |
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| 引用本文： | 熊立春,程宝栋.“一带一路”沿线国家对华原木出口贸易效率与潜力[J].世界林业研究,2018,31(1):91-96. |
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| 作者姓名： | 熊立春 程宝栋 |
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| 作者单位： | 北京林业大学经济管理学院, 北京 100083 |
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| 基金项目： | 北京林业大学科技创新计划项目“中国与一带一路沿线国家林产品贸易成本、便利化及其潜力研究”（2017zl01）。 |
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| 摘 要： | 利用"一带一路"沿线主要国家与中国双边原木贸易数据,文中实证分析影响沿线国家对华原木出口主要因素,并进一步测算出其原木出口贸易效率与潜力。结果表明:中国人造板和木家具出口量、沿线国家人均GDP、国土面积、与中国是否有共同边界、距离和经济规模相对差异等指标是影响对华原木出口的主要因素;2007年以后,沿线国家对华原木出口贸易效率逐年降低,年平均效率低于0.5,而原木出口贸易潜力则逐年提升。从保障我国原木贸易安全、降低原木进口成本以及加大对"一带一路"沿线国家林业投资等方面提出相应建议。
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| 关 键 词： | 原木出口 一带一路 贸易效率 贸易潜力 随机前沿引力模型 |
| 收稿时间： | 2017/7/28 0:00:00 |
| 修稿时间： | 2017/12/29 0:00:00 |
Efficiency and Potentials of Countries Along " One Belt and One Road"to Export Logs to China |
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| Xiong Lichun and Cheng Baodong.Efficiency and Potentials of Countries Along " One Belt and One Road"to Export Logs to China[J].World Forestry Research,2018,31(1):91-96. |
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| Authors: | Xiong Lichun and Cheng Baodong |
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| Institution: | School of Economics and Management, Beijing Forestry University, Beijing 100083, China |
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| Abstract: | In this paper, we used the bilateral log trade data between China and countries along the "One Belt and One Road" to make an empirical analysis of the major factors that affect these countries'' logs export to China, and then calculated the efficiency and potentials of their log export to China. The results showed that China''s wood-based panel and wood furniture export volume, per capita GDP in the countries, land area, whether to border China, distance and relative differences in economic size are the main factors affecting their logs export to China. After 2007, the efficiency of their logs export trade to China has decreased year by year with the average annual efficiency at less than 0.5, while the log export trade potential increased year by year. Finally, we put forward some suggestions for the log trade security, cost reduction of imported logs and investment increase in the countries along the "One Belt and One Road". |
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| Keywords: | log export One Belt and One Road trade efficiency trade potential stochastic frontier model |
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