| 中国生猪生产情况及后期走势分析 |
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| 引用本文： | 虞华,虞丽娜.中国生猪生产情况及后期走势分析[J].农业展望,2013(12):22-24. |
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| 作者姓名： | 虞华 虞丽娜 |
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| 作者单位： | [1]国家统计局盐城调查队江苏盐城224005 [2]江苏省盐城邮政局江苏盐城224001 |
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| 摘 要： | “十一”黄金周过后终端消费重现疲态，肉类需求平淡，全国各地生猪屠宰企业的收购力度明显减弱，加之市场流通领域的猪肉供应仍然较为充裕，致使猪市承压弱势波动。虽然屠宰企业不断压低生猪出栏价，但养殖户能适时调整生猪出栏量，未见到明显压栏情况；虽然各地生猪行情盘整不断，但全国猪市保持弱势维稳之势。未来一段时间，猪源相对充足，生猪市场整体供应量仍然较大，生猪价格不会出现明显的起伏，猪价在震荡徘徊一个时期后，随着猪肉消费需求的增加，生猪价格会出现一定的涨幅，或在年底进入上行通道，春节前可能是最高点。
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| 关 键 词： | 中国 生猪价格 走势分析 |
China＇s Hog Production and Its Prospect |
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| Institution: | Yu HuaI, Yu Li＇na2 ( 1 Investigation Team of Yancheng, National Bureau of Statistics of China, Yancheng 224005, Jiangsu ; 2The Post Office of Yancheng City in Jiangsu Province, Yancheng 224001, Jiangsu) |
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| Abstract: | Terminal consumption reappeared weakly after Golden Week of National Day, meat demand was fiat. Hog market fluctuated slightly under pressure, because purchasing strength of hog slaughtering enterprises decreased significantly in the whole country, combined with relatively abundant pork in the market circulation. Although hog slaughtering enterprises constantly squeezed down slaughter price, farmers could timely adjust the quantity of slaughtered fattened hogs, so we couldn＇t see obvious overstocked hog. Although hog market changed constantly, the national hog market remained weak and stable. In the foreseeable future, hog source will be relatively abundant and hog market supply will be still enough, so hog price fluctuation won＇t appear obviously. After a period of hog price hovering in a shocking state, with the increase of pork consumption demand, hog price will increase in a certain amount. At the end of 2013, hog price may enter the uplink channel, and reach to the highest point before the Spring Festival. |
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| Keywords: | China hog price trend analysis |
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