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土地利用结构演变对产业结构转型的有效性分析
引用本文:周显鹏,翟文侠,柯新利.土地利用结构演变对产业结构转型的有效性分析[J].安徽农业科学,2012,40(14):8315-8316.
作者姓名:周显鹏  翟文侠  柯新利
作者单位:咸宁学院资源与环境科学学院,湖北咸宁,437100
基金项目:国家自然科学基金,咸宁学院青年项目
摘    要:运用转型系数(TC),计算得出西宁市土地利用结构和产业结构转型特点:1999~2010年间土地利用结构系数θ1下降了79.55%,但总体演变趋势平缓;产业结构转型系数θ2总体趋势不断下降,下降了36.09%,总体转型系数相对土地利用结构略大;两者年际变化均有所起伏:1999~2007年年际变化较大,2008~2010年年趋于平缓。在自相关和协整模型基础上,分析得出:①西宁市土地利用结构对产业结构转型具有促进作用;②二者存在长期均衡关系。最后,提出了西宁市产业发展的相关政策建议。

关 键 词:土地利用结构  产业结构转型  TC系数  西宁市

Analysis on the Influence of the Evolution of Land Use Structure on Industrial Restructuring
Institution:ZHOU Xian-peng et al(Department of Resources and Environment Sciencee,Hubei University of Science and Technology,Xianning,Hubei 437100)
Abstract:Based on the transform coefficient(TC),the characteristics of land use structure and industrial restructuring in Xining were obtained.The land use structure coefficient θ1 had dropped by 79.55% during 1999-2010,but the overall change tended to be stable;the industrial structure reform coefficient θ2 had dropped by 36.09% during 1999-2010,which was slightly larger than that of land use structure.Both two experienced large fluctuations from 1999 to 2007 but tended to be stable during 2008-2010.Through the autocorrelation and co-integration models,it was found out that the land use structure promoted the industrial restructuring in Xining,and there was a long-term equilibrium between them.Finally some suggestions were proposed for the industrial development of Xining.
Keywords:Land use structure  Industrial restructuring  TC model  Xining
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