| 农业碳排放特征及影响因素分析 ——以安徽省为例 |
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| 引用本文： | 李颖.农业碳排放特征及影响因素分析 ——以安徽省为例[J].安徽农业大学学报,2017,26(6):23-30. |
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| 作者姓名： | 李颖 |
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| 作者单位： | 安徽大学经济学院,安徽合肥,230601 |
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| 摘 要： | 基于种植业和畜牧业2个方面的12类碳源,计算出安徽省2004—2015年的农业碳排放总量和碳排放强度,对安徽省农业碳排放的时间变化和空间方面的特征进行分析,并进一步利用LMDI模型对影响安徽省农业碳排量的主要因素及其对农业碳排放的贡献度进行分解研究.结果表明,研究期间,安徽省农业碳排放总量具有先下降后上升的趋势.来自种植业方面的物资投入对安徽省农业碳排放的影响逐渐增加,来自畜牧业方面的碳排放对安徽省农业碳排放的影响逐渐减弱.农业经济发展水平和农业劳动力规模因素拉动了安徽省农业碳排放量的增加,而农业生产效率因素和农业结构因素则抑制了碳排放量的增加.为促进安徽省农业碳减排,应加快转变农业经济发展方式,优化农业产业结构,高效利用农业资源,积极研发和推广农业碳减排的应用技术,实现畜牧业的可持续发展.
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| 关 键 词： | 农业碳排放 影响因素 LMDI模型 安徽省 |
Characteristics of Agricultural Carbon Emission and Its Influencing Factors :Taking Anhui Province as an Example |
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| LI Ying.Characteristics of Agricultural Carbon Emission and Its Influencing Factors :Taking Anhui Province as an Example[J].Journal of Anhui Agricultural University,2017,26(6):23-30. |
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| Authors: | LI Ying |
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| Institution: | Anhui University |
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| Abstract: | Based on the two aspects and twelve kinds of carbon emission sources in crop farming and animal husbandry in Anhui Province from 2004 to 2015, this study figures out the total amount and intensity of agricultural carbon emission, analyzes the characteristics of time variation and space of the emission, and investigates, through the LMDI model and disaggregate approach, the key factors influencing the emission and their contributing degrees. Results show: the total amount of the emission presents a down and up tendency; the impact that the emission from animal husbandry exerts on agricultural carbon emission of the province is declining; agricultural economic development and agricultural labor forces scale have caused the emission increase, while agricultural production efficiency and agricultural structure have restrained the increase. Therefore, to accelerate emission reduction, government should accelerate transformation of the mode of agricultural economic development, optimize agricultural industry structure, make efficient use of agricultural resources, actively develop and promote the application of emission reduction technology, and achieve sustainable development of animal husbandry. |
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| Keywords: | agricultural carbon emission influencing factors the LMDI model Anhui Province |
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