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环京津山区农业产业化升级与农户增收——一个基于Probit模型的实证分析
引用本文:李彤,刘宇鹏,耿丽敏.环京津山区农业产业化升级与农户增收——一个基于Probit模型的实证分析[J].河北农业大学学报(农林教育版),2012,14(1):106-110.
作者姓名:李彤  刘宇鹏  耿丽敏
作者单位:河北农业大学商学院,河北保定,071001
基金项目:河北省社科联社科发展研究课题“京津冀一体化视角下河北省农业产业化升级对策研究”,河北农业大学非生命与新兴学科发展基金:“河北省新农村建设中农业产业化升级模式典型案例调研”
摘    要:运用环京津山区6个县519个农户的调查数据,通过建立Probit模型,分析了农业产业化促进农户收入增长的影响因素。研究表明:农业产业化经营对增加农户家庭收入的作用确实很明显,其中,家庭农业劳动力数量、家庭耕地数量、龙头企业规模、中介组织数量、生产加工基地数量和产业化覆盖农户数等变量是产业化经营影响农户增收的主要因素。

关 键 词:农业产业化升级  农户增收  Probit模型

Agricultural industrialization upgrade and farmfamily income around Beijing and Tianjin mountainous area
LI Tong,LIU Yu-peng,GENG Li-min.Agricultural industrialization upgrade and farmfamily income around Beijing and Tianjin mountainous area[J].Journal of Agricultural University of Hebei,2012,14(1):106-110.
Authors:LI Tong  LIU Yu-peng  GENG Li-min
Institution:(Agricultural University of Hebei,Baoding 071001,China)
Abstract:Based on the survey date from 519 farm families at 6 counties in the mountainous area around Beijing and Tianjin,a probit model was established to analyze the effective elements on the increase in the income of a farm family by agricultural industrialization.The results revealed that there is indeed an obvious promoting effect of the agricultural industrialization on the household income.Among the main factors influencing the peasant household income are th variables of farming labour forc in a family,family-owned cultivated land,scale of leading enterprises,agency scale of agricultural-products,the number of production and processing base and the number of the family benefited by industrialization.
Keywords:upgrade of agricultural industrialization  farm family income  probit model
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