| 基于谐波分析的降水量预测模型研究 |
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| 引用本文： | 迟道才,王琦,张旭东,沈亚西.基于谐波分析的降水量预测模型研究[J].节水灌溉,2011(10):42-44. |
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| 作者姓名： | 迟道才 王琦 张旭东 沈亚西 |
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| 作者单位： | 沈阳农业大学水利学院,沈阳,110866 |
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| 基金项目： | 辽宁省重大项目(2008NY01); 辽宁省教育厅重点实验室项目(2009S091); 辽宁省科技厅自然基金(20082122) |
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| 摘 要： | 降水量预测是制定防旱、抗涝、救灾对策的重要依据,其预测方法是能够科学准确预测降水的重要手段。基于降水量存在多样性、复杂性及随机性的特点,采用降水距平法对降水量变化进行分析,运用谐波分析法建立降水量预测模型;以葫芦岛地区为例,根据葫芦岛4个气象观测站47 a（1960-2006年）的降水资料,对该模型进行了具体的应用。结...
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| 关 键 词： | 降水量 降水距平 谐波分析 |
Research on Precipitation Prediction Model Based on Harmonic Analysis |
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| CHI Dao-cai,WANG Qi,ZHANG Xu-dong,SHEN Ya-xi.Research on Precipitation Prediction Model Based on Harmonic Analysis[J].Water Saving Irrigation,2011(10):42-44. |
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| Authors: | CHI Dao-cai WANG Qi ZHANG Xu-dong SHEN Ya-xi |
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| Institution: | CHI Dao-cai,WANG Qi,ZHANG Xu-dong,SHEN Ya-xi(College of water conservancy,Shenyang Agriculture University,Shenyang 110866,China) |
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| Abstract: | Precipitation predicting is an important base for making counter measures for drought and flood.The selection of forecasting method is also important for scientific and accurate precipitation predicting.According to the variety,complexity and randomicity characteristic of precipitation,the precipitation residual method is used to analyze the precipitation change and the precipitation prediction model is established based on harmonic analysis.Moreover,the model is applied according to the precipitation data ... |
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| Keywords: | precipitation precipitation residual harmonic analysis |
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