| 霜冻灰色马尔柯夫链预测模型及其应用 |
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| 引用本文： | 吕新,李晔.霜冻灰色马尔柯夫链预测模型及其应用[J].中国农业气象,1997,18(5):45-47. |
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| 作者姓名： | 吕新 李晔 |
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| 作者单位： | 石河子农学院农科系，石河子气象局 |
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| 摘 要： | 用灰色马尔科夫预测方法，对石河子初霜冻出现时间进行了分析预测，结果表明，１９９５年预测初霜冻出现在１０月１８日，与实况１０月１８日完全一致。
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| 关 键 词： | 马尔柯夫链 预测模型 霜冻 灰色预测 |
The Grey Markov Chain Model for Prediction of First Frost and Its Utilization |
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| Lu Xin,Luo XianpingLi Hua.The Grey Markov Chain Model for Prediction of First Frost and Its Utilization[J].Chinese Journal of Agrometeorology,1997,18(5):45-47. |
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| Authors: | Lu Xin Luo XianpingLi Hua |
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| Abstract: | The occurrence of the first frost in Shihezi was analyzed by using the Grey Markov Chain model for prediction of first frost. The results showed that the predicted date of occurrence of the first frost in 1995 was on October 18th, which tallied with the actual situation. |
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| Keywords: | Grey Markov chain predicting model First frost |
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