| 中国家具产业演化的系统动力学模型构建与仿真分析——基于产业动态能力的视角 |
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| 引用本文： | 李英,赵越,潘鹤思,王学瓅.中国家具产业演化的系统动力学模型构建与仿真分析——基于产业动态能力的视角[J].世界林业研究,2017,30(6):57-62. |
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| 作者姓名： | 李英 赵越 潘鹤思 王学瓅 |
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| 作者单位： | 1.东北林业大学经济管理学院, 哈尔滨 150040 |
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| 基金项目： | 国家自然科学基金面上项目（71373039）；教育部“新世纪优秀人才支持计划”项目（NCET-13-0712）。 |
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| 摘 要： | 文中从产业动态能力的视角出发，遵循“要素更新程度→产业动态能力→产业演化与发展”的脉络，运用系统动力学模型构造中国家具产业演化系统的因果回路图、流图；在此基础上通过收集相关数据进行模型检验与仿真分析，并通过调整产业信息化水平增长率参数来观察中国家具产业质量及绩效的演化情况。研究结果表明，中国家具产业信息水平的提升能够促使产业动态能力提高，进而促进产业质量与绩效的提升，同时证明了产业信息化水平对于中国家具产业的发展具有长期的影响。
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| 关 键 词： | 家具产业 产业演化 系统动力学 仿真分析 产业动态能力 中国 |
| 收稿时间： | 2017/7/7 0:00:00 |
| 修稿时间： | 2017/11/1 0:00:00 |
Systematic Dynamics Model Construction and Simulation Analysis of Evolution of Chinese Furniture Industry:From the Perspective of Industrial Dynamic Capabilities |
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| Li Ying,Zhao Yue,Pan Hesi and Wang Xueli.Systematic Dynamics Model Construction and Simulation Analysis of Evolution of Chinese Furniture Industry:From the Perspective of Industrial Dynamic Capabilities[J].World Forestry Research,2017,30(6):57-62. |
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| Authors: | Li Ying Zhao Yue Pan Hesi and Wang Xueli |
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| Institution: | 1.School of Economics and Management, Northeast Forestry University, Harbin 150040, China2.School of Business, Liaoning University, Shenyang 110136, China |
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| Abstract: | This paper constructed from the perspective of industrial dynamic capabilities the causal loop diagram and flow diagram of evolving system of Chinese furniture industry by following the clue of "element update extent→industrial dynamic capabilities→industrial evolution process" and using the systematic dynamics model. On this basis, model testing and simulation analysis were conducted after collecting relevant data, and the evolution of quality and performance of Chinese furniture industry was observed by adjusting the growth rate of industrial informatization level. The results showed that elevating the industrial informatization level of Chinese furniture industry would help uplift the industrial dynamic capabilities, and then promote the improvement of industrial quality and performance. At the same time, the industrial informatization level was proved to have a long-term influence on the development of Chinese furniture industry. |
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| Keywords: | furniture industry industrial evolution systematic dynamics simulation analysis industrial dynamic capabilities |
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