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康平县近50年热量资源趋势分析与农业可持续发展
引用本文:孙福义,姜涛,陈凤涛.康平县近50年热量资源趋势分析与农业可持续发展[J].安徽农业科学,2009,37(20):9540-9542.
作者姓名:孙福义  姜涛  陈凤涛
作者单位:1. 辽宁省康平县气象局,辽宁康平,110500
2. 吉林省集安市气象局,吉林集安,134200
3. 吉林省榆树市气象局,吉林榆树,130400
摘    要:[目的]研究康平县热量资源变化趋势,为农业可持续发展提供气候依据。[方法]应用最小二乘法进行线性拟合及Excel程序,分析热量资源趋势变化及差异。[结果]在近50年里,平均气温升高1.6 ℃,∑T≥0 ℃积温增加了315 ℃,∑T≥10 ℃积温增加了280 ℃。50年经历3个温度“拐点”,从1989年后温度上升趋势明显。冬半年气温升高幅度较大,夏半年气温升高较缓。[结论]热量条件的改变,农业结构需要重新整合,“陈旧的农业气象指标”需要重新确认研究,才能适应农业的可持续发展。

关 键 词:热量  趋势  可持续发展  康平县

Trend Analysis of Heat Resource in Recent 50 years of Kangping County and Agricultural Sustainable Development
SUN Fu-yi et al.Trend Analysis of Heat Resource in Recent 50 years of Kangping County and Agricultural Sustainable Development[J].Journal of Anhui Agricultural Sciences,2009,37(20):9540-9542.
Authors:SUN Fu-yi
Institution:SUN Fu-yi et al(Kangping Weather Bureau,Liaoning Province,Kangping,Liaoning 110500)
Abstract:Objective]To study the trend of Kangping County Change heat resources for sustainable agricultural development based on the provision of climate.Method] The linear least squares fitting and Escel procedures, changes of heat resource trends and differences were analyzed.Result] The average temperature raised 1.6℃, ΣT ≥ 0℃ accumulated temperature increased 315℃, ΣT ≥ 10℃ accumulated temperature increased 280℃ in recent 50 years.Through the three "inflection point", temperature upward trend became significant from 1989.Temperature range was larger when in winter, more moderate in summer.Conclusion] The changes in heat conditions, required the new integration of the agricultural structure,"the old agro-meteorological indicators"confirmed needing new research to adapt to the sustainable development of agriculture.
Keywords:Heat  Trends  Sustainable development  Kangping County
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