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临汾市主要气象灾害变化特征分析
作者姓名:杨斌斌  张丽丽  任玉欢  尹文耀  代淑媚
作者单位:山西省临汾市气象局,山西临汾 041000;山西省临汾市蒲县气象局,山西蒲县041200;山西省气候中心,山西太原 030000
基金项目:山西省重点研发计划“气候变化对临汾市农业生产影响的技术研究”(201803D2210291)。
摘    要:利用临汾市气象观测站1954—2018年气象观测资料,采用线性趋势估计、MannKendall检验等统计方法,对临汾市6种主要气象灾害的变化特征进行了研究。结果表明:暴雨、高温、雷暴主要发生在夏季,高发期均为7月,年平均发生日数分别为1.9、19.6、26.8 d;干旱、大风、雾在全年时段都有发生,干旱的高发期为秋冬季,春季为大风多发期,4月最多,雾多发生在秋冬季,11月为高发期,年平均日数分别为137.7、5.5、17.5 d。从气象灾害发生的年平均日数来看,依次为干旱>雷暴>高温>雾>大风>暴雨。近65年来,临汾市暴雨、干旱、雷暴、大风这4种气象灾害有减少趋势,其中雷暴、大风减少趋势明显,而高温、雾则明显增加。

关 键 词:临汾市  气象灾害  变化特征  M-K

Analysis on the Change Characteristics of Main Meteorological Disasters in Linfen City
Institution:(Linfen Meteorological Bureau,Linfen,Shanxi 041000)
Abstract:Based on the meteorological observation data of Linfen City from 1954 to 2018,using the statistical methods of linear trend estimation and Mann-Kendall test,the change characteristics of six major meteorological disasters were analyzed.The results showed that rainstorm,high temperature and thunderstorm mainly occured in summer,the multiple period was July,and the annual average number of days were 1.9,19.6 and 26.8 days;drought,gale and fog occured throughout the year,the multiple period of drought was autumn and winter,spring was the multiple period of gale,most in April,fog occured in autumn and winter,November was the multiple period,and the annual average number of days were 137.7,5.5,17.5 days.According to the annual average days of meteorological disasters,the order was drought>thunderstorm>high temperature>fog>gale>rainstorm.In the past 65 years,rainstorm,drought,thunderstorm and gale in Linfen City decreased,thunderstorm and gale decreased obviously,but high temperature and fog increased obviously.
Keywords:Linfen City  Meteorological disaster  Change characteristics  MK
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