Fish to 2030: The Role and Opportunity for Aquaculture |
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| Authors: | Mimako Kobayashi Siwa Msangi Miroslav Batka Stefania Vannuccini Madan M Dey James L Anderson |
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| Institution: | 1. The World Bank, Washington, DC, USAmkobayashi@worldbank.org;3. International Food Policy Research Institute, Washington, DC, USA;4. Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations, Rome, Italy;5. Aquaculture/Fisheries Center, University of Arkansas, Pine Bluff, Arkansas, USA;6. Institute for Sustainable Food Systems, University of Florida, Gainesville, Florida, USA |
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| Abstract: | Seafood sector can contribute to the global food supply in an important way, and provide an important source of animal protein. Based on observed regional trends in seafood production and consumption and using a global, partial-equilibrium, multi-market model, this study investigates what the global seafood market may look like in 2030. The model projects that the total fish supply will increase from 154 million tons in 2011 to 186 million tons in 2030, with aquaculture entirely responsible for the increase. The fastest aquaculture growth is expected for tilapia and shrimp, while the largest expansion is expected in India, Latin America and Caribbean and Southeast Asia. Fast-growing seafood demand in China and elsewhere represents a critical opportunity for global fisheries and aquaculture to improve their management and achieve sustainable seafood economy. |
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| Keywords: | feed management market outlook multi-market modeling seafood trade |
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