| 中国农地产权制度改革风险评估 |
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| 引用本文： | 郑财贵.中国农地产权制度改革风险评估[J].西南农业大学学报,2011,33(3). |
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| 作者姓名： | 郑财贵 |
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| 作者单位： | 重庆市土地勘测规划院; |
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| 基金项目： | 国家科技支撑计划课题(2008BAJ08B19); 中国土地勘测规划院资助项目“重庆市农村集体土地产权改革实践研究”(2007102480006) |
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| 摘 要： | 研究目的:定量评估中国农地产权制度朝国有化、私有化和集体所有三种路径进行改革的风险,为农地产权制度改革路径决策提供参考.研究方法:鱼骨图法和层次分析法.研究结果:农地产权制度朝国有化改革的风险系数为0.419 5,朝私有化改革的风险系数为0.375 6,在现有集体所有的基础上改革的风险最小,为0.204 9.研究结论:(1)农地产权制度改革应特别注意规避政治风险(0.602 5);(2)改革应防范群众反对(0.267 5)引发社会动荡的风险(0.228 4);(3)改革需要调查民众的农地产权意愿,维护大多数群众的利益.
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| 关 键 词： | 土地经济 改革风险评估 鱼骨图法 层次分析法 农地产权制度 |
Reform Risk Assessment of Farmland Property Rights System in China |
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| ZHENG Cai-gui Chongqing Institute of Surveying , Planning for L,Chongqing ,China.Reform Risk Assessment of Farmland Property Rights System in China[J].Journal of Southwest Agricultural University,2011,33(3). |
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| Authors: | ZHENG Cai-gui Chongqing Institute of Surveying Planning for L Chongqing China |
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| Institution: | ZHENG Cai-gui Chongqing Institute of Surveying and Planning for Land,Chongqing 400020,China |
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| Abstract: | The purpose of this paper is to quantitatively assess the risk for three approaches for the farmland property rights system reform in China: nationalization,privatization and collectivization to provide reference for the decision-makers,using fishbone diagram and analytic hierarchy process.The result indicates that the reform risk indexes are estimated to be 0.419 5,0.375 6 and 0.204 9 for nationalization,privatization and collectivization,respectively.Thus it is concluded that in the implementation of the ... |
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| Keywords: | land economics reform risk assessment fishbone diagram analytic hierarchy process farmland property rights system |
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