| 应用GOMPERTZ模型预测交通生成量 |
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| 引用本文： | 李海涛,曹成海.应用GOMPERTZ模型预测交通生成量[J].农业装备与车辆工程,2007(4):39-40. |
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| 作者姓名： | 李海涛 曹成海 |
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| 作者单位： | 黑龙江八一农垦大学,工程学院,黑龙江,大庆,163319 |
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| 摘 要： | 应用GOMPERTZ模型预测了出行强度，并通过实际数据对GOMPERTZ模型参数进行了标定，采用实例对模型进行了比较分析。结果证明了GOMPERTZ模型用于小区居民出行强度预测的可行性，以及具有一定的优越性。再根据小区预测年的的人口便可以得到小区的交通生成量。
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| 关 键 词： | GOMPERTZ模型 小区居民出行强度 交通生成量 |
| 文章编号： | 1673-3142(2007)04-0039-02 |
| 修稿时间： | 2006年11月5日 |
Forecast of Traffic Generation Using GOMPERTZ Model |
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| LI Hai-tao,CAO Cheng-hai.Forecast of Traffic Generation Using GOMPERTZ Model[J].Agricultural Equipment & Vehicle Engineering,2007(4):39-40. |
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| Authors: | LI Hai-tao CAO Cheng-hai |
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| Abstract: | Traveling intensity is forecasted with GOMPERTZ model, and demarcation is carried out through the actual data to the GOMPERTAZ model parameter, comparative analysis to the model is done by an example. The result has proven the feasibility, even as well as certain superiority of the GOMPERTZ model used in forecast of the traveling intensity of plot inhabitants. Then according to the population of the plot forecast year the traffic generation of the plot is obtained. |
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| Keywords: | GOMPERTZ model traveling intensity of plot inhabitants traffic generation |
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