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Prediction of soil salinity in the Yellow River Delta using geographically weighted regression
Authors:Chunsheng Wu  Gaohuan Liu
Institution:1. State Key Laboratory of Resources and Environmental Information System, Institute of Geographic Science and Natural Resources Research, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, China;2. College of Resources and Environment, University of Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, China
Abstract:It is essential to determine the content and spatial distribution of soil salinity in a timely manner because soil salinization can cause land degradation on a regional scale. Geographically weighted regression (GWR) is a local regression method that can achieve the spatial extension of dependent variables based on the relationships between the dependent variables and environment variables and the spatial distances between the sample points and predicted locations. This study aimed to explore the feasibility of GWR in predicting soil salinity because the existing interpolation methods for soil salinity in the Yellow River Delta are still of low precision. Additionally, multiple linear regressions, cokriging and regression kriging were added to compare the accuracy of GWRs. The results showed that GWR predicted soil salinity with high accuracy. Furthermore, the accuracy was improved when compared to other methods. The root mean square error, correlation coefficient, regression coefficient and adjustment coefficients between the observed values and predicted values of the validation points were 0.31, 0.65, 0.57 and 0.42, respectively, which were better than that of other methods, indicating that GWR is an optimal method.
Keywords:Salinization  local regression model  environmental variables  spatial interpolation  Yellow River Delta
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